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A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

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Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#91
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bringing ourselves to terraform another planet will be very easy -- the one who pushes the button will be one who hasn't looked at the planet long enough to be attached to it.

Isn't it already common knowledge that Mars cant be terraformed? No magnetosphere, cold core too iirc (and thats related to the moons being tidally locked.

Oh my! I'd say that judgement is a bit premature.

We are talking about a planet-scale engineering project; something that is millions of times the scale of anything that has been attempted.

We have only d 13 landing on it, and only something 70 space craft have travelled to Mars or beyond[1].

We have only just found traces of water there, and who knows what else is available (or not).

We have never even attempted to terraform anything, and the closest we've come has been maybe things like desert control programs.

And yet it is supposed to be common knowledge that "it can't be done"? Sure, that is likely to be true, but the idea that we already know the specific things that will stop us seems unlikely.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Solar_System_probes

Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Alternatively: Use public transit, encourage friends and family not to be wasteful, invest in alternative fuel sources, vote for people who will use taxpayer dollars to invest in alternative fuel sources, so on and so forth. What is anybody else going to do that you can't do yourself already?

While personal effort is laudable, and your kind of thinking is neccessary, it will not change things. The decisions that can actually change something are made on government level and depend on believes ingrained into culture / society. A nice example is Israel and it's shortage of water. There, children are educated from very early on (kingergarden) to be careful with and conserve water wherever possible. It's a co…

PS: of course change can also happen bottom up, if the people feel strongly enough about it.

But that's usually only the case for things that can be felt, witnessed and judged more directly.

Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#93
There hasn't been very good news from the Antartic lately.

After seeing the reception Brian Cox received lately by Australian senator Malcom Roberts on an episode of QanA it's pretty clear we have no hope in world leaders doing anything significant about it. There is way too much self-interest and sociopathic behaviour going on by the majority within these circles of governance and "power".

Too many of us are waiting for the UN to just fix this issue; however, we've relied on the UN and it's narratives of change for too long and the truth is, we the masses need to change our own behaviour, it's our responsibility, somewhere we lost our way. I know there are good people working in these organisations and others like it, doing really good things, there just isn't enough of them or they're not having a big enough impact.

It seems pretty clear that democratic governance has severely failed us on this issue and many others in recent years, and as a society I think we need to try to understand why and correct it. Democracy is obviously not a bad idea, but in most western countries, the current configuration seems to be problematic and corrupt. It's not sustainable.

I have a strong feeling it's now too little to late and the only hope now is to take matters into our own hands by ignoring what democratically elected "leaders" are telling us they're doing and start doing it, get our own hands dirty. Divest, install solar panels (decentralisation of power production is important), consume, travel, eat thoughtfully, don't have so many kids etc.

By the look of it, the only way to make it through the madness ahead will be kindness and compassion for the earth, all living things and each other . If not, mother nature will each us a very harsh lesson, I think she is already starting to balance the books.

Unfortunately this storm is not just going to blow over, it would be nice if it would, but it's not going to.

Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#94
post #81
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why is it so important that we terraform other planets? Is it really a desirable thing to spread across the solar system and beyond like mold on stale bread?

Well, it's too damn crowded on this planet.

I'm currently in Antarctica, the giant cold dead place, and I can assure you that being crowded is one thing we do not suffer from.

Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#95

Does anyone know where I can find estimations of sea level rise over the next 10 to 200 years? I always hear horror stories of 20 meter rises but don't know what the ranges of "consensus" are...

Seems likely that the "Bathtub Model" we have in our heads is all wrong, and sea-level change is going to be highly variable in different parts of the planet. Go and watch one of Jerry Mitrovica's videos[1] to get a good idea... According to his models, some places will likely see sea-levels fall by as much as (iirc) 25m, to others where sea-levels will rise by 5 to 8m by the end of this century. Goodbye ports, goodb…

Thanks. He isn't actually saying these numbers (-25 m, 8m) are expected in 2100, he's stating that the peak higher sea level in the older but comparable times (that is during https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eemian around 115 kyears ago) was up to 7 meter higher on the extreme points. Which is a good illustration that the "bathtub mental model" is false. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is much more constrained to cite that, they present the following (the 2013 results):

https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_Cha...

The worst projected total average increase at 2100 is around 40 cm if we do some corrections in our fossil fuels use and around 80 cm (on average) if we don't (so called "business as usual", they technically call it "RCP8.5" (1)). The local increases (which we now know can be significantly different) are drawn with the scale up to around 1 m for the "some corrections scenarios" if I understood. But it will go up afterwards for hundreds of years, and it can't be stopped.

Mitrovica believes these are too conservative as even the current measurements already hit the upper bounds. It seems anyway the world is more or less behaving in the "business as usual" sense regarding the fossil fuels.

1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Representative_Concentration_P... It's worth always looking at the RCP8.5, as that's what's going to happen if no significant changes happen. It's not "the most improbable" but "the most probable if nothing changes" and I admit I personally tend to see the graph with more paths as "OK this one is the highest, it's extreme" when it's the default one!

Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#96
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Let's see how terraforming this one works out before we go off terraforming another.

You don't experiment on your production planet. Mars could be a decent staging planet!

We will probably end up pushing changes to Prod then when everything goes wrong realise we were not testing apples with apples, and then it's too late cause nobody took a backup because we were so sure there would be no issues.

Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#97
post #2

> "I have spent so much time now looking at the satellite images, and I really love this ice shelf, it would be such a tragic thing to see this thing go." Reminds me of Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars trilogy. We humans can fall in love with large chunks of ice just by looking at them long enough. How will we ever bring ourselves to terraform another planet?

It also reminded me of the Mars trilogy, but because the separation of a major Antarctic ice shelf and the resulting mass flooding on Earth was the trigger for the second revolt on Mars.

Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#98
post #91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn't it already common knowledge that Mars cant be terraformed? No magnetosphere, cold core too iirc (and thats related to the moons being tidally locked.

Oh my! I'd say that judgement is a bit premature. We are talking about a planet-scale engineering project; something that is millions of times the scale of anything that has been attempted. We have only d 13 landing on it, and only something 70 space craft have travelled to Mars or beyond[1]. We have only just found traces of water there, and who knows what else is available (or not). We have never even attempted to…

Don't mistake me.

I love the idea of terraforming Mars, to the point of spending a lot of time understanding the challenges to achieving success.

Conceptually there is always tech which we are yet to discover, but that just pushes the conversation into hand wavy territory, and discussing the details is always more fun.

The simplest plans are to start a runaway green house effect, in order to warm the planet up.

That alone requires signficant but potentially achievable feats of engineering.

But as I remember, the unsolved issue remains in maintaining a stable atmosphere, one which isnt sheared away by solar wind.

This is why the tidal locking issue is the problem. The core is solid on Mars, and the idea of spinning up a planet to rotate puts us beyond space elevator tech and nearing solar engineering levels of ambition.

As someone else suggested, there's the idea of having a super conducting magnet on the equator to create the field.

That's still below solar engineering, but a feat of such magnitude that underground habs win out as an option for the foreseeable future.

Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#99
post #58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'd be more interested in criticism of the content, rather than the format. There's aiming for serious, and then there's just posturing.

I'm not sure what that means, but there was little content in what you posted, merely the repetition of a cliché. We've asked you before to stop posting unsubstantive comments to Hacker News, and I need to repeat that. It's clear that you're capable of better.

I think I'll just make a new account on a fresh IP and profile and see how it goes. This is getting old in a hurry. Thanks for turning a regular user into something a little less straightforward though, top moderating.

Re: A huge crack is spreading across one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

#100
post #91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Oh my! I'd say that judgement is a bit premature. We are talking about a planet-scale engineering project; something that is millions of times the scale of anything that has been attempted. We have only d 13 landing on it, and only something 70 space craft have travelled to Mars or beyond[1]. We have only just found traces of water there, and who knows what else is available (or not). We have never even attempted to…

Don't mistake me. I love the idea of terraforming Mars, to the point of spending a lot of time understanding the challenges to achieving success. Conceptually there is always tech which we are yet to discover, but that just pushes the conversation into hand wavy territory, and discussing the details is always more fun. The simplest plans are to start a runaway green house effect, in order to warm the planet up. That…

> But as I remember, the unsolved issue remains in maintaining a stable atmosphere, one which isnt sheared away by solar wind.

Yeah, any atmosphere you give Mars will evaporate over some millions of years.

The obvious workaround is to regenerate it at the same rate. Much like a tire you need to reinflate it now and then.

Humanity will also probably figure out some better tech during the next million years, but even if not, this should work.

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