My prediction is that Bitcoin will become fully institutionalized within twenty years, to the point that the “Bitcoin” held by investors are entirely disconnected from the theoretical blockchain. A similar thing happened with stocks. Not so long ago they used to be physical pieces of paper. You could trade shares peer-to-peer and even anonymously by handing over the share certificate to someone in person. For dividen…
You know, those coins that satoshi mined are too high risk for our blockchain and bitcoin. So we just blacklisted all of them. And basically also all that haven't moved in 1 year from the date we did. Sorry your coins are forever dirty and no miner will include transactions with them in a block...
Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
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Re: Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
#892Earlier quoted context omitted.
Bitcoin didn’t go to zero with people buying it through shady exchanges operated out of tax havens, and you think Bitcoin will go to zero AFTER its available to every investor in the US through every finance app and is being sold by giant hedge funds?
> and you think Bitcoin will go to zero AFTER its available to every investor in the US through every finance app and is being sold by giant hedge funds? The reasoning is (I'm not saying I believe this will happen just that it is an interesting thought experiment) that if people quit the shady exchanges and start trading Bitcoin ETF in substantial numbers it could begin to starve the crypto network of transaction fee…
"Nobody Goes There Anymore, It’s Too Crowded"
Re: Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
#893Earlier quoted context omitted.
The popularity of these scammy exchanges despite the massive red flags shows that this is actually what customers want. They don't want the theoretical advantages of permissionless blockchains and private keys, they just want penny stocks that trade 24/7 and are called "crypto" because it sounds cool. So institutions will take advantage of that desire for convenience and work with regulators to turn "crypto" into jus…
This is right on the money. It's incredible to think about really: the one technical feature that truly differentiates crypto from all other forms of currency -- namely, a cryptographically strong guarantee that no one else can touch your money -- gets thrown away routinely and no one minds at all.
Re: Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
#894Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm going to need more context here on the ChipMixer claims. Let's say a tracked party deposits amount A in CM style mixer, and then receives private keys corresponding to amounts B, C, D, E, F, G, previously deposited in the blockchain, which happen to add up to A minus a random 0 to 4% mixing fee. You have full view of A and know that it's being deposited to CM with 100% confidence. As long as nothing moves on the…
But we don't have to search for those keys in all of the deposits that CM ever made - only in the ones that stopped churning and mixing. Maybe they try to control the dynamics of their lots to be statistically indistinguishable from the withdrawals - but that requires a vastly larger pool of capital and continuous operational effort, and I have a hunch they do not in fact do that. Furthermore, if you are a client, ho…
In the restricted scenario provided, it really is logically impossible to know the ownership transfer happened. Your attack requires knowing all inputs into the laundry, which you won't have in the general case, they'll look like any other transfers in the blockchain.
Even if a mixer is busted, I can be pretty sure they abide by their public claim to not keep any history older than a few hours after the mixing is complete, secret keys and all, because it's not in their interest for such evidence of crimes to exist.
Re: Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
#895Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think its purpose was to provide fresh blood to the John Birch Society. It seems to be working remarkably well, in that respect.
Yes, a common side effect of going down the deep bitcoin rabbit hole and discovering how the world really works.
Re: Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
#896Earlier quoted context omitted.
" Don't be snarky. " https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
Genuinely mortified. I'll resist the urge in future. Thanks for keeping HN such a great site Dan.
Btw I know comments like that are fun when talking to friends or whatever. We just have that guideline because of how they influence discussion on a large internet forum...not for any ethical reason or anything like that.
Re: Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
#897Earlier quoted context omitted.
Commodity currency does have a "disincentive to investment" which has a measurable negative effect on the economic climate. This was first identified and studied by Silvio Gesell in the early 20th century, then John Maynard Keynes a few decades later. Removing this disincentive is what ushered in the post-WW2 period of prosperity and growth that we're still living in today. The part your analysis is missing is that f…
The USD was a 'commodity currency' up until 1971 thanks to Bretton Woods. It was convertible to gold at a fixed rate, and other currencies were, in turn, pegged to the USD. The idea was to have the stability/security of a backed currency, with the convenience of a fiat one. The security was intended to come from the fact that if the US printed too many dollars, devaluing the USD, then other countries would buy up tho…
Top answer here is good.
Sorry someone posting a link to the absolutely insane conspiracy-tinged 1971 site gets an auto-ignore from me. Have a good life.
Re: Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
#898Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Wealth can't really use to purchase anything with is not real wealth. If you can't convert bitcoin to $/€ it becomes effectively worthless I agree, that is why Bitcoin was supposed to be electronic cash, you were supposed to be able to pay for everything with it. Bitcoin (BTC) doesn't scale today to this purpose, but you can still use it to pay directly for some products and services as long as the other party will…
And how would seller pay taxes? They didnt get any fiat, they can't off-ramp it presumably(otherwise buyer would have done it), and now guy with a gun comes and demands his share, what happens?
[0] https://www.mail-archive.com/cryptography@metzdowd.com/msg09...
Re: Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
#899Earlier quoted context omitted.
You know, those coins that satoshi mined are too high risk for our blockchain and bitcoin. So we just blacklisted all of them. And basically also all that haven't moved in 1 year from the date we did. Sorry your coins are forever dirty and no miner will include transactions with them in a block...
Do you seriously think you can convince all mining pools to start blacklisting addresses like this?! The entire reason why it exists in the first place is to prevent interventions like this, it's what gives btc "value". Your chances are about as good as the USA trading their oil in ruble.
Re: Spot Bitcoin ETF receives official approval from the SEC
#900Earlier quoted context omitted.
What do you imagine the US could do with its weapons cache to demand global compliance? Even extremely authoritarian governments that have tried to stamp out crypto usage internally have been unsuccessful, so it's not like the USG could just lean on other governments to demand compliance.
any sovereign state or multinational needs to deal in dollars. and the USG controls that rail. well. call me when you can trade and refine oil purely in bitcoin. no one accepting bitcoin to buy things is holding that bitcoin. I beg every blockchain as money people to please, please obsess over monetary theory first!!
So the US controls those international settlement rails, what does it do with that power to control BTC? Like I said, they can lean on governments, but those governments don't really have the power to ban it internally, so what can it really do with that leverage?