Earlier quoted context omitted.
3.2 per 100,000 is not "a double digit percentage". https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2021/08/20/1029628...
A 0.0032% hospitalization rate doesn't pass the smell test. That's hundreds of times less than the reported fatality rate!
FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
881–890 of 1001 posts
Re: FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
#882My biggest concern now is around seeing those who hedged their willingness to get the vaccine on its approval instead find a new reason not to get it. So with that in mind, I'm much more keen on seeing how employers will decide on vaccination mandates now that at least one vaccine is fully approved. Any news yet on whether any more employers are likely implementing mandates (if they haven't already this morning) base…
This approval doesn't change a thing, about no known long term effects of viral vector vaccines (first time approved by any medical agency in world in November 2019) and mRNA vaccines (first time approved by any medical agency in world in December 2020). Sorry for not wanting to inject myself with unproven technology with unknown long term effects. Why politicians and certain pharma companies keep pushing these vacci…
You're refusing the "beta" (installed by billions of users) version of something that can save your life because you (mistakenly) believe the choice is between that, and staying as you were before.
It's not. That's no longer true with the Delta variant. Now it's really a choice between "carefully designed, just officially declared stable" vaccine with billions of users vs getting the "totally unstable, totally doesn't care about your health, completely unknown long term effects" SARS-CoV-2 virus forcefully installed on you.
You will get antibodies one way or another, and there is orders of magnitude more risk and uncertainty associated with getting them through infection rather than controlled vaccination.
Furthermore, there has never been in history any vaccine side effect that occurred later than a few weeks after administration at most.
There is just no theoretical basis for why anything wrong would happen here.
Are you demanding 100% certainty ? Sure, you won't get it here but you also didn't get it with anything else you ever did in medicine and you can live with that.
With Delta, ICUs (and even more so long covid clinics) are full of unvaccinated "healthy non obese non smoking relatively young" guys like you.
If you're not afraid of Covid, rationally you should be even less afraid of getting a vaccine.
To put things in perspective, here are the odds in young males for the most talked about vaccine side effect (myocarditis, which usually resolves in a few days), vs the odds of getting severe Covid at your age :
Re: FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
#883Earlier quoted context omitted.
Surely the point of a placebo in this case was to measure effectiveness rather than detect long term side effects. There are other methods of establishing a control such as comparing to the general population.
Not if the general population is mandated to be vaccinated.
Anyway none of your comments actually address the science involved. A few factoids without any context is not useful.
Re: FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
#884Earlier quoted context omitted.
Astrazeneca and J&J are both non-mRNA vaccines.
AZ isn't available in the United States. OK, fine, it's not just mRNA. It's novel tech vs. well known tech like attenuated/inactivated virus. Beyond that, Covaxin is the only that I'm aware of that is performing well under delta.
https://www.covid-datascience.com/post/israeli-data-how-can-...
Re: FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
#885Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's kinda fun seeing it happen in real-time in the comments though. Lol. These people will be the joke of history books. I can imagine the line already: "While many were hopeful that FDA approval would assuage the large amount of vaccine skepticism, it did not seem to change the narrative." I will continue laughing at their pathetic graves and funerals while being frustrated at their impact on me.
How quickly we've gone from "comply to save just one life" to "laughing at their pathetic graves and funerals." Like... what the hell? Do we not see a problem here?
Society is going through a mass psychosis event and people need to seriously prepare to see (or be a victim of) the next major genocide in world history.
Recommended: https://www.amazon.com/Affirming-Psychosis-Appeal-Adolf-Hitl...
Re: FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
#886Earlier quoted context omitted.
Unvaccinated people are prolonging the pandemic, and everything about it: restrictions, lockdowns, healthcare workers' extreme overwork, you name it. Let's also not forget those of us who have friends and family who have compromised immune systems or who cannot be vaccinated for legitimate medical reasons, or children under 12 who cannot yet be vaccinated. Anti-vaxxers are actively causing those people harm. I care b…
Governments are prolonging the restrictions and lockdowns. Unvaccinated people are not doing that. Governments are. Demonizing unvaccinated people is the language of an abuser: "Look what you're making me do to you." The way out of abuse isn't ever to comply with the abuser's demands.
Re: FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
#887Earlier quoted context omitted.
Vaccinations are most effective if we reach herd immunity, which requires others to get vaccinated. The safety is not “perceived”, it’s scientifically verified by tracking hospitalization and death rates as it’s been rolled out at a global scale. The reason herd immunity is so important is that those that are immunocompromised _cannot_ safely get a vaccination and thus rely on there being enough vaccinated individual…
Unfortunately, with Delta variant transmission rate and vaccine breakthrough probability, and the fact that no vaccine yet has a sterilization effect, we will not reach herd immunity. This is a done deal. Let's work on alternative strategy.
The existing mRNA vaccines were pretty close to having a sterilizing effect (unexpected and very good surprise) on the previous variants.
There is still hope that the Delta-specific updates (Moderna is already testing theirs) will restore that level of efficacy, and there's also ongoing research on intranasal vaccines which should work even better for that.
Re: FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
#888Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'll start by saying I am vaccinated, got it the first week immunocompromised people could: But I do not believe that this is valid at all, being that this is the very first mRNA vaccine. >By looking at other vaccines historically and seeing that side effects tend to happen in the first few weeks. I feel like what you are saying is basically like someone asking "How do we know that self driving cars will be safe on t…
This is not the first mRNA vaccine. It's the first to reach full approval, but we've been testing them in humans for a decade now. https://ec.europa.eu/research-and-innovation/en/horizon-maga...
Re: FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
#889Earlier quoted context omitted.
Its totally healthy to both believe that the vaccine makes sense for you, and still respect, love, include, and accomodate people who decide it isn't right for them. We're all different, and the world is very complicated; that's what makes life so awesome.
Scientific matter: Vaccines save lives, protect people around you and improve your personal odds as well. (I am a biochemist) Political matter: What is the extent to which we want to allow people to make their own decisions when these decisions have an impact on the well-being of others? Whatever your answer to the second question is (an exercise which I leave to the reader) is going to have an impact on the degree o…
Nearly every decision one makes has an impact on the well-being of others. On the one end, you can't shoot someone just because you feel like it. On the other end, a teenage boy asks a girl out, the girl Decides to reject him, and he is so devastated he commits suicide. Somewhere in the middle, I decide to drive to work today, my wheel goes flying off, I careen into oncoming traffic killing myself and another; if only I had Decided to take the bus today.
Obviously we, as a society, draw a line somewhere. I don't know if where we draw that line today is actually the correct place, or if there even is a "correct" place to draw it.
My opinion on vaccine mandates, right now, is: They're probably bad. Not because of personal liberty, though that may be a valid argument; I'm just not sure (I'm not sure I'll ever be sure; I'm willing to admit that decision is above my pay grade). But because the vaccines we have right now are actually not great at stopping the spread of the virus. They do save lives and keep people out of the hospital, but that's separate from the argument that they keep your coworkers safe. We're definitely sacrificing personal liberty, which may be bad, for tenuous benefit.
There's another similar argument: Keeping preventable cases out of the Hospital is a public good, because medical care is a limited resource that is VERY stressed right now. This, actually, resonates more with me. I think this is a stronger argument for vaccine mandates. Your personal liberties may have to end when you call 911 and expect someone else to answer and save your life, and I think demanding wide vaccination is morally superior to refusing care to a dying man because he chose not to get vaccinated.
But the bigger issue with this argument is determining why the medical system is so close to the brink of collapse; I suspect it has less to do with COVID, and more to do with doctors and nurses being treated like shit, which significantly pre-dates COVID, leading to burnout and people leaving the industry. I have a vivid memory from 20 years ago, being 10 or something, sitting in the car with my mom after her nurse shift, she's near tears and asks me if I think its fair that Brittany Spears can make millions but nurses make almost nothing. I still feel guilt today, making so much money in tech, while our nurses (and teachers, and many other insanely important industries) make so little; it isn't right. If we, as a society, were significantly better at supporting our healthcare providers, its possible we could support personal liberty and manage the consequences of that liberty, at least in this domain. (and, to be clear, that support isn't just paying more; its also mental health, and time off, and streamlining management, and training more people to join the industry. its a big problem)
There's also one argument against mandates which resonates very well with me: That the systems we have in place to validate vaccinations rarely take into account natural immunity. If this were intentional, e.g. natural immunity sucks so we need you to get a vaccine, then that's one thing. But it seems like this is a discussion we simply haven't had, in the US. Natural immunity seems to be a thing, so we should be inclusive and give people that path. But we aren't; we demand the Record Card. This seems to be a net bad; either policymakers need to say "natural immunity isn't effective at stopping infection" or mandates need to allow for a positive test result, at any point in the past (e.g.) year, to be sufficient as a replacement for a vaccine.
One local company has taken on the policy "vaccination or get tested twice a week". This is utter insanity, and its a big reason why so much of America, on both sides of the political spectrum but especially the right, has lost faith in the system. These policies essentially, to many people, say "sacrifice your personal liberty, or significantly inconvenience both you and our health care system by getting tested a ton." Private companies should not have the ability to put that kind of stress on our already stressed health care system in the dumb pursuit of utilizing their expensive office real estate. At the very least, the government needs to step in and say that companies cannot demand ongoing testing; that I 100% support. If a company decides to mandate only vaccination after that, I think that's far more gray, and while I am fully vaccinated, it still doesn't sit right with me. But, maybe its the right decision for them and their workers.
Re: FDA Approves First Covid-19 Vaccine
#890Earlier quoted context omitted.
> What's insufficient about the existing National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program? Max compensation is $250k. Life insurance values my life far more. Documents are under seal. Payouts are paid by the tax payer, not the manufacturers. Cases are heard by HHS and defended by DOJ (more taxes footing the bill). HHS has repeatedly refused to add certain injuries to their compensation tables even after CDC directed rese…
I'd heard others arguing for it and hadn't personally investigated it, so I appreciate the response! I do think that given my own evaluation of the risks and rewards, the NVICP is perfectly sufficient for my own needs, but I can certainly see how one would be opposed to this on a systemic level, or if you believe the risk-reward ratio skews differently
How do you reach this conclusion?
At a max $250k per life, paid through a secret court with the deck stacked against the plaintiff, it doesn't appear to be sufficient for anyone's needs.