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It’s Time to Build

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Re: It’s Time to Build

#881
post #432

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> This is what you get when you build your whole system around the optimization of one variable -- profit -- and put essentially religious faith into the unproven idea that the Invisible Hand of the Market will make everything work. But this isn't what the whole US system is built around. That's (at least part of) the problem. As others have pointed out elsewhere in this discussion, many of the things Andreessen says…

> But this isn't what the whole US system is built around. That's (at least part of) the problem. As others have pointed out elsewhere in this discussion, many of the things Andreessen says he thinks we need to build are thinks that the free market would like to build, but can't because of legal and regulatory barriers. Really? Which thing? I haven't really been sold a narrative that "regulatory barriers" are in the…

> I haven't really been sold a narrative that "regulatory barriers" are in the way of securing domestic manufacturing capacity or building high speed rail.

You don't need to be "sold a narrative". You just need to go read the reams and reams of Federal and State regulations that any new manufacturing plant or high speed rail system (not to mention any other business) needs to satisfy.

> It's securing the initial and sustained capital to build the systems.

But in order for that capital to be used for a new venture, the people who have it need to see a reasonable prospect of a return. If you don't think regulatory barriers are the reason why people with lots of capital don't see a reasonable prospect of return in ventures that, on the face of it, would seem to have an obvious potential for good returns, what do you think is the reason?

> They do not make guarantees of efficiency.

More precisely, the conditions under which a free market is maximally efficient are very often not satisfied in the real world. But I did not claim that free markets were always maximally efficient. I said they are as efficient as possible; in other words, under whatever conditions you have, free markets are more efficient than any other alternatives. Under conditions where free markets are not maximally efficient, central planning is even worse.

> Folks have been duped into buying into a scheme where they think they need aristocracy to survive.

I think there is a sense in which this is true, but it's not the one you describe. The problem I see is that people think they need to be governed by experts--an intellectual "aristocracy", not a financial one. The manipulation of the financial system by the government printing money and skewing the incentives of financial institutions is certainly part of that, but not all of it.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#882

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I want to make sure you know that this post is full of bizarre falsehoods. New York and Seattle definitely have ventilator shortages. California had a shortage and that federal reserve of ventilators netted us a small number of broken devices that had to be repaired. Lucky us, the State had a corporate partner that could do it. I especially want to take issue with this falsehood: > All three are in plentiful supply.…

Where are you getting your information? Re: Ventilators in New York. New York doesn't have a ventilator shortage and never did. It had a predicted shortage based on bad simulations, but never a real one. In fact it's now sending ventilators elsewhere: https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/04/coronavirus-crisis-ve... "On April 2, Cuomo predicted the state would run out of ventilators in six days “at the current burn rat…

Sorry, I already have decided in another post your "Swiss Doctor's" summary isnt't very credible and that National Review article seems to have an awful lot of hedging in it.

Thank you for the effort, but I don't believe there is much more to say on the subject.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#883
Okay but how does a "knowledge worker" like me, and many of the other readers of HN who work in jobs with little exposure to large-scale structures, get started building the city of the future? I have no idea where to even begin.

I learned how to program by watching tutorials and doing online coding classes. This is how I am used to learning. This method of learning isn't going to work when it comes to say, starting a startup that will build a new monorail. This is such a huge blockage for me and probably others with limited exposure to industries outside of software.

Has anyone ever felt this way and how did you overcome it?

Re: It’s Time to Build

#884
post #394

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For any new law submitted, two others have to be removed

This just leads to longer laws, you need to restrict number (and range, eg only stuff in the dictionary) of words.

Lawmaking word golf must be fun.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#885

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Another benefit of a hard-money system (bitcoin would be better than gold nowadays) is that governments can only wage war by spending hard money. And they can only get hard money by extracting it from citizens. It puts a very strong limitation on the government’s ability to wage war, when they need to convince us all to pay for it rather than printing money. Another common trope is that deflation limits the economy.…

I generally agree with your viewpoint, but the argument against deflation isn't from needing to clerically split currency units, but rather that having currency itself appreciate delays purchases and causes the economy to stall. But deflation doesn't seem to have held computing back much. And when someone wants a loaf of bread, they're going to buy it regardless of being able to save if they wait a week. I do agree t…

It makes people prefer to buy what they truly need. And over time, things cost less. It incentivizes saving over consumption. And with private money, there can be alternatives to a single currency. The hardest money is saved, and the softer money is spent first.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#886
The boom/bust cycle, which they don't have in China, means that anything capital intensive will be given back to the banks on the next down turn and resold to somebody else if a big fish doesn't acquire it between market crashes. That's why nobody builds capital intensive stuff that has a long term ROI, at least in this country.

For example, watch Tesla go broke and give all that beautiful capital they've built back to their creditors before this is all over. This doesn't happen in China, even though lots of companies have debts they haven't paid on in years because the government just buys the bad debts off the banks and the banks continue to lend.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#887
post #790

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I build tech enabled, innovative physical infrastructure solutions Can you explain what it is you do without copying and pasting a line from your pitch deck? This sentence could literally mean any of at least a dozen completely different things.

Sure. Tbh, I didn't really want this comment to be an opportunity to pitch my company or make it too specific about our solution as there are many different types of solutions, categories and problems that could use innovation capital that are second in line. flair.co is us. We have taken money from investors, those that aren't afraid of energy problems, that aren't afraid of energy efficiency, and that invest in mea…

Is this post a parody?

Re: It’s Time to Build

#888

Ok, assume I'm bought into this idea - where would I even begin? What are some companies working on these kind of fundamental building things problems? I know of the Boring Company, though haven't really heard anything from them since the flamethrowers a few years back. Sidewalk labs was doing some cool things in Toronto, but I think they've been running into big regulatory issues too and it one point it sounded like…

I'm in exactly the same boat as you. I want to help build the city of the future, but as a data scientist, I have no idea where to start.

This is advice I haven't followed myself, but might start following: talk with people who are working on building megastructures--not necessarily in your city--and ask how they got started. There aren't any online bootcamps for how to build a monorail, so "tribal knowledge" is probably the only way to go.

I'll let you know if this methodology works for me!

Re: It’s Time to Build

#889
post #821

I’m a founder, this piece stirs my heart. However, build what exactly? I don’t disagree with building hospitals and important public infrastructure. However: 1) More exponential growth isn’t by definition for the better 2) We need to ask ourselves, brutally and honestly, what actually needs building, and what doesn’t? Aside from the obvious tangible tech and infrastructure we can build, there are also many tacit thin…

> [...] if we continue having paralyzing social inequality and international conflict, which destroy what we build

"We" (meaning the US and other developed Western nations) don't have "paralyzing social inequality". Social inequality, yes, but it's far, far from paralyzing. Also, "we" might be involved in international conflicts, but these destroy only a tiny fraction of what we build.

Your if-condition evaluates to false.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#890
post #855

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I believe we have reached a point where most people are in an equilibrium of comfort and desire, where the desire to innovate and do more, is perfectly balanced out by the present comforts we are able to enjoy. People are so doped up on Netflix, cheap takeaway, porn etc. There is relative safety, lack of disease and war for the most part. People no longer desire to improve the world. It's about maximising the small p…

This is the kind of response that comes from, and please excuse my language, someone who doesn't know what the fuck they're talking about. There is barely a safety net. There is barely any institutional support for innovation. Accessing either is a competitive process that is purposely obfuscated to reduce costs. The downside involved in preparing for and executing on innovative ideas is potentially lethal for the in…

It's not obvious to me your comment has more truth than the one you're replying to. Either argument could be made. Why the rude animus towards the original poster?
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