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FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

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Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#871
post #617

Earlier quoted context omitted.

U.S. Department of Justice lawyers are already closing in.[1] Using customer funds held in custody is theft. Period. People go to jail for this. This may be the biggest embezzlement of customer funds held in custody in history. Most scams involve misuse of funds invested, not just held in custody. The biggest outright theft of this type seems to have been Peregrine Financial.[2] That was $200 million, far smaller tha…

> This may be the biggest embezzlement of customer funds held in custody in history. I wouldn't be surprised to learn that the amount of actual customer funds that went in were much smaller than claimed. Keep in mind FTX was mostly 'perpetuals' -- fake assets. It might be that a lot of the customer funds were just fictional gains, also may be that a lot of them were paper value owned by SBF entities. I've been trying…

> It might be that a lot of the customer funds were just fictional gains, also may be that a lot of them were paper value owned by SBF entities.

That's true for the numbers used when reporting on Bernie Madoff's Ponzi scheme. Much of the $50B was fictional gains.

There were even clawbacks on the gains of those who withdrew before the collapse.

Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#872

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There’s this incredulous passage from Sequoia article that’s been taken down since. Make of it what you will At this point, mid-2019, SBF decided to double down again—and scratch his own itch. He would bet Alameda’s multimillion-dollar trading profits on a new venture: a trading exchange called FTX. It would combine Coinbase’s stolid, regulation-loving approach with the kinds of derivatives being offered by Binance a…

Quick detour: expected value alone does not optimally maximize your long term outcome. Bet sizing (a la Kelly Criterion) is just as critical. E.g. if you had a weighted coin that was 50-50 odds with 3-to-1 payout, you wouldn't bet your whole bankroll on just one flip.

SBF said he disagrees with kelly bet sizing because his utility function is closer to linear: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1337250702104485893

Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#873

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There’s this incredulous passage from Sequoia article that’s been taken down since. Make of it what you will At this point, mid-2019, SBF decided to double down again—and scratch his own itch. He would bet Alameda’s multimillion-dollar trading profits on a new venture: a trading exchange called FTX. It would combine Coinbase’s stolid, regulation-loving approach with the kinds of derivatives being offered by Binance a…

The super stupidity of using math to dazzle people around you is my greatest lesson from this. In my highly technical field, I can use math without treating it like some precious scripture. But it’s good to know it is so unfamiliar to a normal person in the VC world, I can use it to justify even a startup doing genocide as a platform or something.

> He "calculated the odds he'd fail at 20%"....

What calculation? What's the formula that gives you the odds that your Ponzi scheme will be discovered? What can possibly "model" that, aside from a scifi-level reality simulation? It's not even math, it's math LARPing.

Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#874

Howdy HN, as some of you may know from previous comments of mine, I’m always on the hunt for swag from dead companies (Lehman Brothers letterhead, Theranos shirts, Clinkle phone case, Enron desk art, et al). The more fraudulent the collapse, the more interested I am. I’d love to get ahead of the ball on this one so if anyone here has any, and I mean any, FTX swag you somehow have picked up over the years, I’m a very…

This is a very Reddit post, doesn’t really promote any kind of discussion at all.

Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#875
post #474
post #448

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Coinbase doesn't offer the leverage that offshore exchanges do. FTX was popular originally because they offered 100x leverage Sounds like a red alarm for me. There's probably a good reason domestic exchanges don't let you extend out that far... particularly on extremely volatile securities.

That kind of gets into philosophy of what governments are for: should they protect people who make bad decisions from themselves? Does the answer change if people are actively marketing the bad decision? Does the attempt at doing so suggest they're actively trying to keep poor people from getting rich? (This comment is an explanation of a viewpoint, and not an endorsement.)

> That kind of gets into philosophy of what governments are for: should they protect people who make bad decisions from themselves?

Since governments usually have to enforce the consequences of those decisions, ye.

Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#876
post #549

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We strongly advise against depositing Wait, withdrawls are completely frozen and the company is done for, but they are still accepting deposits?!

How would they be able to stop people making deposits?

By no more accepting deposits?

Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#877

Howdy HN, as some of you may know from previous comments of mine, I’m always on the hunt for swag from dead companies (Lehman Brothers letterhead, Theranos shirts, Clinkle phone case, Enron desk art, et al). The more fraudulent the collapse, the more interested I am. I’d love to get ahead of the ball on this one so if anyone here has any, and I mean any, FTX swag you somehow have picked up over the years, I’m a very…

I have a ton! But you can’t have any.

Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#878
post #549

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We strongly advise against depositing Wait, withdrawls are completely frozen and the company is done for, but they are still accepting deposits?!

They've at least turned off signups. There are still people who believe . This is the top comment on FTX on Coinmarketcap, posted yesterday: $FTT -- Take a screenshot of this post 1. Someone is going to buy out FTX and this exchange is not shutting down. By someone I mean Elon Musk kind of people. 2. No. FTT isn't going to wipeout if we talk about the fall, most of the cryptos have all fallen significantly. So a cryp…

So sad, it’s like the people who sell their shoes for one more bet at the track..

Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#879

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think they thought they were honest and doing things properly, and didn't realize that their holding of FTT was making them as bad as the other frauds before. I think these ouroboros are complex enough that even main players don't necessarily understand the position they've put themselves in.

Let’s not treat senior management and owners of a company that has gambled away billions of dollars of customers (and investors) money as kids. They should get jail time from what I’ve read so far. They were either criminally stupid or did this on purpose. It really wasn’t that complex. This isn’t even close to 2008 complexity since this was all happening within one organization With the same owner SBF.

Yup, "accidentally criminal" is still criminal.

Re: FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns

#880

Howdy HN, as some of you may know from previous comments of mine, I’m always on the hunt for swag from dead companies (Lehman Brothers letterhead, Theranos shirts, Clinkle phone case, Enron desk art, et al). The more fraudulent the collapse, the more interested I am. I’d love to get ahead of the ball on this one so if anyone here has any, and I mean any, FTX swag you somehow have picked up over the years, I’m a very…

Great now we know how to put you both in competition to get better offers.
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