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We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

newyorker.com

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Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#821
post #802

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This isn't really borne out by the statistics. Real median personal income has been trending up for a century now, the longest dips (before an upwards trend would ensue) were periods of 5 years of mild deterioration. [0] It also doesn't sit well with my personal anecdata. My life and that of my friends is way better than their parents. I've literally travelled to all major continents in the world for recreational tra…

I think most people dont meet in houses anymore. Perhaps because they have roommates? And yes I know people in the past had them too. On a side, a thread full of 600k per year FAANG programmers writing that life is easy for everyone is incredibly ironic.

> I think most people dont meet in houses anymore.

Even if that was true (no data offered), that's a choice, not some kind of economic inevitability...

And again even if it was true, no it's not because of roommates, the number of people per household has gone down over time, not up, for decades.

And no it's also not because we live in smaller homes, the average size of homes has gone up also, for decades. We now have about 2.5x more square footage per-person in our homes than 50 years ago.

And we all know that are homes are way more equipped with entertainment than ever before (internet with the world's content at our fingertips, home cinema, home libraries, home music sets etc).

As for the 600k FAANG, I've never earned more than 100k, never worked in tech, and grew up on welfare. I've been a bottom 10% of the economic ladder for about 80% of my life, and a top 10% (not top 0.1%) for about 20% of my life. Regardless of background, I think we can speak about facts borne out by the data.

Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#822
post #812

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This outlook on life is a perilous endeavor. Eliminate lesser friends, curate your circle to find better ones, talk to a professional about your ill-advised beliefs on humanity at large. It's not an easy process, but it's a necessary one. Write it down, make a plan.

These "ill-advised beliefs" are extremely valid beliefs. Most humans are just ignorant and human history has shown that plenty of times. I admire people blind enough to see the good in humanity

Your attitude is sadly widespread in tech. I don't know if it's because of rejection, or fear, or something else, but we really are nothing more than the social world we live in. Substituting that for a theoretically perfect AI 'companion' is hollow and destructive. It's like watching the movie 'Her' and thinking - wow, that looks great.

Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#823
post #706

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Yes. There are nearly 4M migrants in Japan today, up from 1M in 1990.

Yes, but what about white Westerners? I considered/am considering doing the whole teaching English/officiating weddings thing, but you hear a LOT of stories of white visitors getting the ol' 'X' when trying to even enter stores....

Of everyone I’ve heard that has done that, it’s rare to find someone who felt so excluded as a gaijin that it wasn’t a net positive experience. Most look back on it pretty fondly.

In terms of solving their population collapse, I think white Westerners aren’t really an important demographic for them to attract though, with our very foreign culture and values on top of our very different language. If Japan can bring itself to stomach the idea of bringing lots of foreigners in to prevent the country from collapsing, they ought to import people from some of their closer neighbors, with which they have more similar language and more collectivist culture.

Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#824
post #257

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Though it's popularized to blame social media and phones, economics should not be overlooked. Pay for young generations is lagging and restaurants and bar prices are super high. Public spaces for informal gatherings has shrunk - eg fewer malls

This isn't true in the US. Young people in US consume much more of those things you listed than people over 40 did at the same age. Young people have more purchasing power than previous generations. EDIT: Data from the fed and payroll providers show this overwhelmingly to be the case, but just to add some color/anecdote. I found all of the first jobs I had in highschool and just after. 3/3 of my first roles now adver…

That is because there has been tremendous stagnation in wages outside of software in the middle. Huge compression between the middle and min wage.

My first job as a cook pays basically the same as what my first processional job pays now. It was a huge win for me at the time and now would have been no raise at all.

I think this is expressed in the jump in housing prices since covid too. So young people have better purchasing power besides for the one thing everyone wants.

Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#825

Paul Bloom (the author if this article) is pretty legendary in the psychology realm. This is not your average run of the mill writer looking to tap into the doomer vibe. He makes a pretty detailed argument about why loneliness can be a much bigger and more complex problem than its tame name suggests, and the subtle ways in which AI has the potential to exacerbate it.

> Paul Bloom (the author if this article) is pretty legendary in the psychology realm.

Even though the headline caught my attention and agrees with my own intuitions, I was committing the all-too-common HN sin of going through the comments without even having clicked on the article—I am too lazy by default for a full New Yorker article, however much I appreciate their quality.

However, as soon as I saw you mentioned it was written by Paul Bloom, I made a point of reading through it. Thanks!

Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#826

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I have yet to meet a single person that doesn't lose weight steadily but surely down to a healthy level by even just _attempting_ 16/8 intermittent fasting combined with at least 30 minutes of cardio every day -- even a brisk walk will do as long as it makes you warm and sweat. Even if you miss some days with cardio and only manage 12/12 with intermittent fasting some days, it's literally impossible for the body to g…

It’s not about fasting or even cardio, it’s about caloric restriction. Fasting reduces the calories you eat, and cardio increases the calories you burn.

Fasting also leads to breaking down fat via lipolysis during ketogenesis. Burning calories via exercise, including cardio, primarily stops you from _gaining_ weight.

So yes of course at the end of the day it is about calorie restriction, but fasting helps force your body into a state where it needs to break down stored calories -- ie. fat tissue.

Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#827

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why ever would you compare children and immigration? I love my parents and I’d have solidarity for my country fellows (France here). Immigrants don’t generally earn much, let alone work legally and pay taxes. They are not paying our retirement. They require doctors and produce our “medical deserts” (the name we use in France where social security fails because of lack of practicians). They also wouldn’t fight for us…

> Immigrants don’t generally earn much, let alone work legally and pay taxes. They are not paying our retirement. They require doctors and produce our “medical deserts” (the name we use in France where social security fails because of lack of practicians). My mother is a doctor and her father was a doctor before, and both are immigrants (from Scotland to Australia) - my grandfather was already a doctor when he immigr…

> France also has huge numbers of socially disadvantaged immigrants,

> mismanaged immigration-who, not how many

Until I got here I was going to post to suggest that you were allowing yourself to believe that because some of the immigrants were of the successful type that there wasn’t a vast number of immigrants who are very poor and of the type GP was talking about.

But I, you and GP agree on the “mismanagement of who.”

I believe Western countries, especially the Left in Europe, UK, and US, are in a very awkward state right now because it’s obvious that we are losing the very things that make our countries attractive to these economic immigrants if we keep the de facto open borders policies (meaning most professionals can’t immigrate to the UK without years of paperwork and just the right job offer, but if someone with no marketable skills and a long criminal record and no ID shows up on a dinghy he gets free hotel for several years while they prepare to adjudicate his claim that he faces danger at home).

Anyway anyone not in utter denial knows the above is unsustainable but they also are uncomfortable knowing that the people of hundreds of completely failed countries are suffering, and in theory if we could let one of them come to France, Australia, USA, UK, he/she would be better off. But they don’t know how to reconcile “can save a few” with “can’t literally bring all poor people here without destroying our country.”

Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#828
post #612

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your emotions for the AI are real, but the AI's emotions for you aren't.

why is electricity in your brain real? and fake in the AI?

The electricity in both things are real, and it's unkind to twist the words of the person you responded to that way. They specifically mentioned emotions, not electricity. An AI will be completely unaffected by anything said to it.

Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#829

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A 20-30% increase in prices does not match what I've observed. Restaurant prices are up 50-100% over the past decade. This isn't hard to check: look at old and new menu photos on yelp. Banh mi have gone from $3 to $6 in less than ten years. My local gas station mexican place (which has excellent food) has seem a price increase of 50% since 2019 and more like 100% since 2016. Coffee ditto, but luckily I don't buy coff…

Your observations are limited, if you average over large enough an area you will see a different story

I think you are right but the expectations of young people are up much more.

These are all relative valuations with your pears and expectations. No one cares we are all vastly more wealthy than people living a 100 years ago.

People know how much Jamie Dimon is worth. No one cares they basically have more abundance today than JP Morgan himself.

It is also the difference that when I was in my 20s I had no illusions that I was going to become Michael Jackson or a popular TV sitcom actor since I never danced, sang or acted. Now though you do have that anxiety since people your own age are famous and wealthy from nothing more than network effects.

When I was in my 20s the only people that seemed to have disposable income were drug dealers lol. It was easy to not feel anxiety that I wasn't as well off as a drug dealer.

Re: We may not like what we become if A.I. solves loneliness

#830
post #637

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People who live on the internet assume this is true because they only deal with people who also live on the internet. Just because we're not all documenting everything that we do to a nebulous public doesn't mean it doesn't happen. Much of what happens in the social world isn't articulated or available for scientific study. You might be surprised to know that bars, clubs, gyms, concerts, trivia nights aren't empty. "…

> "In decline" is the sort of state that's can only be articulated in abstract terms. It absolutely is not. It's very concrete and is a real problem. In the UK, for example, there's a well documented trend of pubs and clubs shutting as business declines. And this has real world impacts or causes, the number of people who are single is rising substantially: https://archive.is/kyk2L This isn't rationalizing personal lo…

> In the UK, for example, there's a well documented trend of pubs and clubs shutting as business declines.

Just to be clear, this is a sign of a cultural shift. Pubs are an old English tradition that people aren't interested in as much anymore. They would rather go to a sushi restaurant or go get curry. Same thing has happened with fish and chips shops.

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