I've trained as a neuroscientist and written a book about consciousness. I've worked in machine learning and built products for over 20 years and now use AI a fair bit in the ed-tech work we do. So I've seen how the field has progressed and also have been able to look at it from a perspective most AI/engineering people don't -- what does this artificial intelligence look like when compared to biological intelligence.…
Powered flight offers a cautionary tale for AI. The first confirmed powered flight was in 1903. For the next 60 years, someone broke the airspeed record almost every year. The current record was set in 1976. Nobody has broken that record for 48 years. There are concerns that the state of AI will show a similar pattern, with rapid improvements followed by a plateau.