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Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

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Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#801
post #747

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So, this is one man, who bought, moved, and then installed 500kg of explosives in 4 places in front of a married couple, right?

>in front of a married couple Is this supposed to imply the story is implausible because the couple wasn't in on the plot and would rat the third guy out? If so, all 3 are suspects and presumably are in on the plot, so this argument falls flat on its face.

Only one man is suspect, a married couple is not.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#802
post #430

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The case last year with the gas pipeline, the Chinese / Russian owned left Kaliningrad, and then while sailing, dropped its anchor before the pipeline and cable, and then dragged it over them, and then raised it. It was apparently accidental, yet both the Chinese and Russians didn't want the crew interviewed, the Estonian and the Finnish authorities both shrugged and didn't really care, and the Estonian energy prices…

> IMO very very likely sabotage, and brushed under the rug in fear of Russian escalation. But what can they do? Imagine you are the leader of a small European country like the Netherlands, and one day Russia decides to shot down your passenger plane with 300 people on board. You can do absolutely nothing. But once a proxy war started, of course the Netherlands are doing their best to make Putin pay for the lives of t…

Yep, they can and they did:

https://english.defensie.nl/downloads/publications/2024/09/2...

Or the Netherlands section here:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_aid_to_Ukra...

350+ APCs, 150+ MBTs, Patriot bateries, SPGs, F16s - I'm sure those on the receiving end do think that their Donbas proxies could have been a bit less trigger happy when the loaned them that Buk AA system back in 2014.

Those 298 inoccent victims, 193 of them citizens of Netherlands will be avenged many times over.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#803
post #771

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I do not get news from Joe Rogan podcasts, and as such, it is unnecessary and inappropriate to claim so. Something that people seem to not realize is that the Minsk Agreements refer to two accords (Minsk I in 2014 and Minsk II in 2015) aimed at ending the conflict in eastern Ukraine, specifically in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, where pro-Russian separatists had declared independence with alleged support from Russ…

> I am sorry but providing additional aid at this stage would likely prolong the war rather than bring about a resolution. That would only give Putin time to replenish his forces and attack again. The time to act is now. If the Russians lose, we might be looking at another USSR style dissolution of Russia: more breakaway Central Asian and Caucasus republics and maybe a break from Russian interference. Make no mistake…

> This is a good opportunity for the US to weaken Russia

Have you ever considered that US giving Ukraine lots of money & weapons weaken the US, too? Imagine if Ukraine and Russia worked together to achieve it.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#804

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The last time it happened, the Russian ship had also been seen unnaturally going back and forth over the cable where the damage occurred. These damages do not happen by themselves. Considering the current international situation and the fact that it happened in a short time in several places unnaturally in a limited region, the Baltic Sea, you have to be very naive if you do not see this as probable sabotage.

well, we did blow up their pipeline, so not like we didnt open the salvo for making international resources fair game

Who is „we“?

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#806

I dislike the immediate jumping to “war, sabotage, destruction!” that happened in this article. Cable breakage happens quite often, and sometimes are caused by such menial things as sea debris, or at times, sharks chewing on them [1]. [1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/melissacristinamarquez/2020/07/...

[deleted]

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#807
post #698

It's worth mentioning that cable breakages happen quite often; globally about 200 times per year [1] and the article itself mentions that just last year, two other cables and a gas pipeline were taken out by an anchor. The Gulf of Finland is evidently quite shallow. From what I understand, cable repair ships are likely to use ROVs for parts of repair jobs but only when the water is shallow so hopefully they can figur…

Right. It's indeed worth pointing out that while this certainly looks like Russian terrorism, it's really fairly bad terrorism, all things considered, and not particularly hard or expensive to mitigate. It's basically a "Putin tax" on the industrial democracies in the reason. I don't see how this helps Russia at all, honestly. Putin has a real shot, given the state of US politics, at salvaging something approximating…

> it's really fairly bad terrorism

The goal at this stage is not the outcome of some minor outage, but signaling that they are prepared and ready to go ahead with major acts of sabotage. This is the local thugs smashing some furniture in your store as a warning.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#808

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is a misleading framing. The two cables last year were not taken out by an anchor as an accident, it was literally a ship putting down its anchor just before the cable and then dragging it over the cable. In other words, sabotage. There's no point in trying to color any of this with rose tinted glasses when it's clear who's done it and why.

> when it's clear who's done it and why. Is it though? From my understanding it's clearly sabotage, but who's responsible is open to some debate. Compare to NordStream, it's still not officially determined who's responsible.

There has been an arrest warrant for a Ukrainian diver. https://www.heise.de/en/news/Nord-Stream-Arrest-warrant-for-...

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#809

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're saying Russia couldn't have invaded Ukraine successfully in 2018, if the US and Europe were not providing support, and no sanctions were levied on Russia?

You're saying Russia couldn't have invaded Ukraine successfully in 2018 They didn't invade successfully in 2022, either. Meaning they were never able to invade successfully at any year before that. The whole war is a gigantic delusion for them, remember. But as for evidence that they needed about 7-8 years to build their resources to a point where its regime thought they could invade successfully: One of the pieces o…

You're ignoring half of what I'm saying. In 2022, they had to deal with the US and Europe providing aid and arms to Ukraine, and sanctions levied on Russia, because they didn't have their stooge in the White House.

If they invaded in 2018, they wouldn't have had to deal with any of those things. That is, if Trump actually is a Russian agent. So why did they wait until the situation was much worse for them in order to invade?

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#810

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Russia and Russia alone is responsible for "kick-starting" this war. And providing Ukraine with aid so that they don't get steamrolled is not morally wrong. Nor is refusing to do so so that Russia can more quickly get around to torturing and repressing the population a moral right.

[flagged]
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