Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think there's a difference between the scientific method (our study and understanding of observed uniformity) and the historical method (our study and understanding of events and their explanation, particularly how one event causes another). Furthermore, there's a difference between historical study (did it happen?) and frequentism (how often has it happened?). For example, if we are using words such as "didn't hap…
I don't believe the historical reality of Jesus would give or remove credibility from the Bible. Discovering that the city of Troy really existed doesn't prove that the Iliad and Odyssey happened, either, or that the Greek Gods were real. Jesus could very well have existed, while not being the Son of God. The most crucial claim that the Bible makes is the one that all religions make - which is that the supernatural e…
It would for Biblical literalists and many fundamentalists. For those people, there's no metaphorical dimension to their beliefs -- the Garden of Eden is a real place, Noah's Ark is hidden somewhere on the slopes of Mt. Ararat, the Shroud of Turin is a legitimate historical artifact, and the Ark of the Covenant ... shall I go on?
> The most crucial claim that the Bible makes is the one that all religions make - which is that the supernatural exists, and takes precedence over the natural world.
Yes, that's true, but there's a world of difference between accepting the existence of a supernatural dimension, and requiring that it leave artifacts in the physical world.
> ... the leap between Jesus being real and Jesus being Christ is pretty much infinite.
Not for True Believers, many of whom have zero capacity for abstraction.