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Running local models is good now

vickiboykis.com

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Re: Running local models is good now

#81
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The same 24GB VRAM RTX 4090 I bought to play Cyberpunk 2077 with. Works perfectly fine in llama.cpp throwing 70+t/s at me with 128k q8 K/V context when using the IQ4_NL quant + MTP at q4 MTP K/V. Also leaving this here because you might find it useful: https://hypfer.github.io/will-it-fit-llama-cpp/

Nice! Do you do anything with that compute when you're not actively using it? Is the crypto-mining hobby still worth it? I've also wondered if such expensive hardware can be rented back out to offset cost. Looks like these cards are going for as much as $4k nowadays.

I've paid ~2k€ in 2023. Since I'm usually sitting next to it, I'm only using it when I want to use it. It can get quite loud and warm.

Crypto (to my knowledge at least) moved away from GPU mining. I guess you could maybe rent out GPU compute, but - being in germany - it's not worth the legal hassle. You could of course always commit tax fraud, though I wouldn't recommend that.

Re: Running local models is good now

#82
post #7

This is the kind of thing that Anthropic et al should be worried about. As it becomes easier and easier to run local models, the ceiling of what they'll be able to charge will get lower and lower. Not that nobody will be willing to pay $$$$$ per month, but a lot of people are going to multiply the per-month charge by 12 or 24 and say "Could I set up a local model for less than that, and have it pay for itself within…

The opposite of that has been happening for 20 years now with cloud compute. It won't happen with AI models either. It's almost ingrained in the American business model now. Outsource everything. Nobody wants to manage a room full of servers when they can spend 2-3x as much and outsource that headache along with the responsibility for it. Same will happen with AI. Whether that means paying Anthropic that premium or p…

> The opposite of that has been happening for 20 years now with cloud compute. It won't happen with AI models either.

AI is different.

Cloud computing genuinely is cheaper on average. It's better than paying for cisco servers, and at scale, it's cheaper than managed platforms (ala Heroku), and it's a coin toss for when you're in the middle ground and constantly approaching the point of rebuilding poor-man versions of existing products but with very very expensive engineering salaries.

In contrast, local models offer dramatic savings, and are magnitude of orders better in certain aspects: like stability - the performance is all over the place with traditional AI companies as they divert compute to their next big thing.

The benefits to maintaining your own infrastructure are pretty moderate to low, with very high risk.

And also, alternate models are pretty easy to use and easy to swap out unlike the vendor lock-in that exists with cloud services.

Re: Running local models is good now

#83
post #15

After having been a happy user of Qwen3.6-27B for a few weeks, due to being away from the hardware, I'm currently forced to use Claude Sonnet 4.6 It is such a downgrade. I don't understand how that's even possible. The thing has so many strongly-held opinions I did not ever ask it for, talking just way too much and generally feeling somehow dumber. Of course, being significantly larger, it will encode more knowledge,…

I haven't spent a dime on cloud inference, so cannot make a direct comparison like you. But I can 100% attest to the fact that Qwen3.6-27B is a very capable local model for coding tasks. Over the last month and a half I've been using it almost daily, either on my M2 Ultra or on my RTX 5090 box. I use it for small mundane tasks at ggml-org [0] - nothing really impressive, but definitely a helpful tool for a maintainer. I think I would be using it much more, if I didn't have to spend a lot of my time on reviewing PRs. Currently, I have a very lightweight harness - the pi agent with everything stripped (`pi -nc --offline`) and a short system prompt [1] to align it a bit with my style. About the generation speed: ~100-150 t/s on the RTX 5090 and ~40 t/s on the Mac. I definitely prefer running it on the RTX machine - it's so much faster. But for the sake of testing and getting wider experience with local configurations, I often run it on the Mac too.

[0] - https://github.com/search?q=%22Assisted-by%22+user%3Aggml-or...

[1] - https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/blob/master/.pi/gg/SYS...

Re: Running local models is good now

#84
post #34
post #7

This is the kind of thing that Anthropic et al should be worried about. As it becomes easier and easier to run local models, the ceiling of what they'll be able to charge will get lower and lower. Not that nobody will be willing to pay $$$$$ per month, but a lot of people are going to multiply the per-month charge by 12 or 24 and say "Could I set up a local model for less than that, and have it pay for itself within…

What I don't understand is that on one hand we read 'what they charge is much less than it costs them' and on the other hand this thread seems to suggest that 'what they charge is more than it would cost me'.

What it costs is tricky to measure. A large part of the costs are training the model. Once they have the model they are making a ton of profit from what they charge (or so we think - I haven't seen the numbers). However the sunk costs of getting the model need to be paid for and that means an accounting problem where we have to guess how much the model will be used in the future.

Accountants are reasonably good at figuring this out - there are a lot of different things that need a large upfront investment before you can charge anything. People still debate if they are correct in this each case.

Re: Running local models is good now

#85
post #15

After having been a happy user of Qwen3.6-27B for a few weeks, due to being away from the hardware, I'm currently forced to use Claude Sonnet 4.6 It is such a downgrade. I don't understand how that's even possible. The thing has so many strongly-held opinions I did not ever ask it for, talking just way too much and generally feeling somehow dumber. Of course, being significantly larger, it will encode more knowledge,…

> talking just way too much

OMG this is such an annoying property, just shut the hell up please, and be concise.

I suspect that this is an artifact of the thinking property, but please just summarize the thinking process far more concisely, where a single sentence answer is more than sufficient the frontier models seem devoted to going on to a minimum of 5 paragraphs and offering 3-5 new directions.

And requests to please only offer a single step at once, or single option at once, or to even stop eagerly offering future directions is really hard to prompt correctly.

And look, there I did exactly what I was complaining about...

Re: Running local models is good now

#86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think it would be very hard to convince someone to pay $100/mo to go back to Claude if they have a local model up and running, particularly now that model improvement has basically been stalled for the last 6 months. It’s so easy to set it up for yourself now too with things like LM studio. That said, there will always be unsophisticated users who can’t figure it out, so there will always be someone there to pay.

Not everyone has the right hardware.

I guess I’m thinking of the $100/mo users, for whom it’s probably possible to get the right hardware.

Re: Running local models is good now

#87
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The same 24GB VRAM RTX 4090 I bought to play Cyberpunk 2077 with. Works perfectly fine in llama.cpp throwing 70+t/s at me with 128k q8 K/V context when using the IQ4_NL quant + MTP at q4 MTP K/V. Also leaving this here because you might find it useful: https://hypfer.github.io/will-it-fit-llama-cpp/

Nice! Do you do anything with that compute when you're not actively using it? Is the crypto-mining hobby still worth it? I've also wondered if such expensive hardware can be rented back out to offset cost. Looks like these cards are going for as much as $4k nowadays.

There are services where you can hook your card up and rent it out to other users. I don't know what any of them are called, but they do exist.

Re: Running local models is good now

#88
post #15

After having been a happy user of Qwen3.6-27B for a few weeks, due to being away from the hardware, I'm currently forced to use Claude Sonnet 4.6 It is such a downgrade. I don't understand how that's even possible. The thing has so many strongly-held opinions I did not ever ask it for, talking just way too much and generally feeling somehow dumber. Of course, being significantly larger, it will encode more knowledge,…

what kind of hardware do you need in order to run qwen3.6-27b

Re: Running local models is good now

#89

Show us the resulting code of using them! :) I want to use local models, I have the hardware for it, but while trying them out as replacements for GPT 5.5 xhigh or Opus or other SOTA models, they aren't quite ready to be replaced yet, sadly. The quality and bumps they encounter just slows down the workflow so much, even screwing up tool call syntax sometimes. But, for smaller more well-defined workflows, or as straig…

> Instead, diffusion models work much faster for individual prompts, and not by a small margin either. Diffusion models can't really be trained beyond low-to-mid size and have lower quality than an equally sized, plain one-token-at-a-time model.

As mentioned, I've just finished the implementation and started playing around with it, seems to be doing similarly well inside of my own agent harness as similarly sized "traditional" LLMs. Of course, neither come close to SOTA models, but I suppose if we can figure out the scaling issues you mention, we'd get a bit closer. The performance just feels like it's too good to quickly ditch diffusion. Do you have more info what those "can't be trained beyond low/mid size" issues are in practice today?
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