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SWE-bench Verified no longer measures frontier coding capabilities

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Re: SWE-bench Verified no longer measures frontier coding capabilities

#81
Benchmarks/evals are really hard and they become harder when there’s huge incentive to game them at an industry scale.

ELT-Bench is another recent example. It was the first serious attempt at a benchmark for data engineering workloads, published about a year ago.

A few days ago, a follow-up paper from a group that includes one of the original authors audited the benchmark itself. The team gfound that the benchmark has structural issues that biased results.

Here’s the paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.29399

None of these are new though, the industry has gone through all that before just in a smaller scale and there’s a lot to learn from that. Here’s a post I wrote on the parallels we see today to what happened with the benchmarketing wars of the database systems.

https://www.typedef.ai/blog/from-benchmarketing-to-benchmaxx...

Re: SWE-bench Verified no longer measures frontier coding capabilities

#82
This is somewhat tangential, but I want a model that can detect physical objects placed on top of a board from a picture/video, specifically warhammer 40k models.

I want a model that can detect the actual units/models that are placed on top of the terrain/board so I can track how the models move during the game, but trying gemini and chatgpt they were absolutely rubbish.

Re: SWE-bench Verified no longer measures frontier coding capabilities

#83

Its pretty clear that any benchmark that comes out will be outdated and exist within the training data with short measure. There will always be an incentive to optimize specifically for these benchmarks even if just for marketing material. Sure there is a training cutoff, but its usually only 3-6 months off of the public release dates. The problem with coding benchmarks then becomes creating novel benchmarks that are…

"The community" is astroturfed as hell though. Anthropic pays influencers to promote Claude Code and likely bots a ton as well, so it's hard to come to any kind of consensus online. Even if everyone was acting in good faith, some people will have a much better experience than others because of the domain they're working in (e.g. AI being much better at frontend and commonly used libraries). The only real way to evalu…

Yeah, it's crazy that there is no trustworthy source for model reviews. I'd love to know how well the new Deepseek 4 actually performs, for example, but I don't want to spend the next week testing it out. Reddit used to be a somewhat useful gauge, but now there are posts on how 4 is useless right next to posts on how amazing it is. And I have no idea if this is astroturfing, or somebody using a quantized version, or different workloads, or what.

I also find it increasingly difficult to evaluate the models I actually do use. Sometimes each new release seems identical or only marginally better than the previous version, but when I then go back two or three version, I suddenly find that oder model to be dramatically worse. But was that older model always that quality, or am I now being served a different model under the same version name?

It's all just so opaque.

Re: SWE-bench Verified no longer measures frontier coding capabilities

#84

This is somewhat tangential, but I want a model that can detect physical objects placed on top of a board from a picture/video, specifically warhammer 40k models. I want a model that can detect the actual units/models that are placed on top of the terrain/board so I can track how the models move during the game, but trying gemini and chatgpt they were absolutely rubbish.

Amiibo and Skylanders detect the pieces with NFC. Wiring up the whole board/ terrain with NFC readers would probably be difficult, though.

Re: SWE-bench Verified no longer measures frontier coding capabilities

#87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"The community" is astroturfed as hell though. Anthropic pays influencers to promote Claude Code and likely bots a ton as well, so it's hard to come to any kind of consensus online. Even if everyone was acting in good faith, some people will have a much better experience than others because of the domain they're working in (e.g. AI being much better at frontend and commonly used libraries). The only real way to evalu…

Yeah, it's crazy that there is no trustworthy source for model reviews. I'd love to know how well the new Deepseek 4 actually performs, for example, but I don't want to spend the next week testing it out. Reddit used to be a somewhat useful gauge, but now there are posts on how 4 is useless right next to posts on how amazing it is. And I have no idea if this is astroturfing, or somebody using a quantized version, or…

One challenge is that model evaluation is typically domain/application specific. Model performance can also depend on the system prompt and the input/context.

Regarding evaluation, I've found using tools like promptfoo (and in some cases custom tools built on top of that) are useful. These help when evaluating new models/versions and when modifying the system prompt to guide the model. Especially if you can define visualizations and assertions to accurately test what you are trying to achieve.

This can be difficult for tasks like summarization, code generation, or creative writing that don't have clear answers. Though having some basic evaluation metrics and test cases can still be useful, and being able to easily do side-by-side comparisons by hand.

Re: SWE-bench Verified no longer measures frontier coding capabilities

#88
post #40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is why I made Zork bench. Zork, the text adventure game, is in the training data for LLMs. It’s also deterministic. Therefore it should be easy for an LLM to play and complete. Yet they don’t. Understanding why is the goal of Zork bench. https://github.com/mnky9800n/zork-bench

I have worked on similar problems. See e.g. [1]. The LLMs I have tested have terrible world models and intuitions for how actions change the environment. They're also not great at discerning and pursuing the right goals. They're like an infinitely patient five-year old with amazing vocabulary. [1]: https://entropicthoughts.com/updated-llm-benchmark (more descriptions available in earlier evaluations referenced from t…

I'm going to ignore all that and tell my developers working in complicated codebases that they have to use AI. I'm sure comprehending side effects in a world building text adventure is completely different that understanding spaghetti code

Re: SWE-bench Verified no longer measures frontier coding capabilities

#89

Its pretty clear that any benchmark that comes out will be outdated and exist within the training data with short measure. There will always be an incentive to optimize specifically for these benchmarks even if just for marketing material. Sure there is a training cutoff, but its usually only 3-6 months off of the public release dates. The problem with coding benchmarks then becomes creating novel benchmarks that are…

In contrary: In an Interview someone from OpenAI said they are trying to avoid it because it makes it harder for them to determine if a model gets better or not.

Re: SWE-bench Verified no longer measures frontier coding capabilities

#90
post #81

Benchmarks/evals are really hard and they become harder when there’s huge incentive to game them at an industry scale. ELT-Bench is another recent example. It was the first serious attempt at a benchmark for data engineering workloads, published about a year ago. A few days ago, a follow-up paper from a group that includes one of the original authors audited the benchmark itself. The team gfound that the benchmark ha…

Database benchmarks are another.

I have empirical experience though building classifiers that can have no precision measurement because the classifier performs invariably better than humans. They become the state of the art benchmark themselves and can’t be benchmarked except against themselves. These are for tasks that are non trivial and complex, but less logical than coding and less sustained reasoning. There may come a day though, when there is no calibrated benchmark that is independent of the models it’s measuring.

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