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Something Big Is Happening

shumer.dev

81–90 of 96 posts

Re: Something Big Is Happening

#82
post #3

> AI can already read contracts, summarize case law, draft briefs, and do legal research at a level that rivals junior associates. And best of all, when it messes up, it doesn't get sued! You do.

It doesn’t mess up. Not any more.

Claude, ChatGPT, and Gemini still make mistakes IME. What are you using?

Re: Something Big Is Happening

#83
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a bit more than zero, because I have substantial tooling around Claude Code – subagents, skills, containerization, &c – that I'd have to (have Opus...) reimplement.

You can point CC at other models, e.g. via OpenRouter. It only requires three env variables to be set.

Exactly. If Codex is really as good, it should have no problem porting any settings or config from the Claude setup. (and I do believe it wouldn't have much of a problem)

Re: Something Big Is Happening

#84
To me, this is highlighting the fall of modern media - people have lost trust in MSM and have flocked to 'influencers' and 'thought leaders'. There is no checking for credibility, veracity of claims, or any relevant expertise. This is basically vibe news, sentiment peddling.

I could say AI is here - we don't even need to do research anymore. All I need to say is: "Claude, cure cancer", go away for 4 hours to drink my coffee, come back and boom - cancer cured. Perfect research ready for funding and trials.

People would call me crazy. But what if I say 'PHARMACEUTICAL CEO', 'PhD', 'MULTIPLE COMMERCIAL DRUG SUCCESSES' - people will eat it up.

Let's see what you can find out about Matt Shumer, the AI CEO, from his public profiles:

No technical background - looks like a business 'entrepreneurial' degree from what looks like a middle-of-the-road school No experience working anywhere other than the companies he founded No notable exits or commercial success from the companies he founded And if you dig deeper, it appears that:

His latest startup is a scam https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41484981 He is the CEO of a startup He's trend-hopping on the 'new thing' (all in with VR in 2019, now AI) - incredible that there is no crypto in there The post offers no concrete evidence for its claims and is peddling fear and sentiment, yet somehow respected publications write opinion pieces about his article, credible people retweet it, and it goes MEGA viral.

The only credit I am willing to give here is that he managed to accurately reflect the vibes that resonate with people, which is really a shame because this is what people actually think.

What's worse is that now he probably has legitimate people seeking his views and opinions on technical matters because he's got it 'so right' and he is so 'knowledgeable' about it.

Hopefully someone can succeed in online reputation management for websites, content, and people, and help us separate credible from grift.

Re: Something Big Is Happening

#86

Why is this flagged? It's a relevant essay from someone in the field with very convincing arguments. Does using "@dang" work to get attention to this?

I noticed that in the article he includes a link to follow him on X. It made me wonder if the article exists to get him followers. Or get more investment into his company. I'm not saying the article isn't worth reading. I just now wondered--and wouldn't be surprised--if it was written by AI.

It was. He says as much in the replies to his tweet - https://x.com/mattshumer_/status/2021256989876109403

Re: Something Big Is Happening

#87

Let's take that vibe coded product and iterate what it gave you 100 times, as you tweak it to fit your vision. When you do that 101st iteration, can you prevent it from breaking something else, or changing it in a way you don't like it? What if it doesn't understand what you're asking it to do and keeps failing and you have to keep rolling back? Can you understand the 20,000 lines it's generated so you can make the c…

If you take the author's arguments on face value, you just hit YOLO button and have one iteration and publish it to production fast so you are on the market before competition does the same.

Re: Something Big Is Happening

#88
>Making AI great at coding was the strategy that unlocks everything else. That's why they did it first.

That will happen in an universe where infinite acceleration and infinite speed is possible. The laws of our universe are still bounded by the speed of light. Nothing grows exponentially forever.

Re: Something Big Is Happening

#89
I think the author should put his money where his mouth is, to prove his point. He should install OpenClaw, switch it to whatever he wants and give it access to his brokerage account. If he is right, he should become rich in almost no time.

Re: Something Big Is Happening

#90
post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I use FreeBSD. When talking to LLMs, they insist on giving me code in bash. Bash is not native to FreeBSD (though you can get it and use it). I correct them, and of course they apologize, but another day continue to use bash in other questions.

Considering the rate of improvement of these LLMs, wait for a month or two and then you may not even need an os, let alone some obsecure piece of software (shell).

Except the models don’t actually compute anything other than text generation. The entire way they interact with computers is through the shell or other api layers on the OS
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