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New records on Wendelstein 7-X

iter.org

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Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or a swimming pool full of those spicy rocket propellents discussed in the book Ignition! which have combustion products like hydrogen fluoride.

Would love to take a look at your library.

Not the poster above, but as someone who also has a copy of Ignition! in their library, I think you might enjoy the pdf version:

https://library.sciencemadness.org/library/books/ignition.pd...

Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#82
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your question reminds me of the image showing how SpaceX raptor motors evolved https://imgur.com/a/4w3q3lS

Is that an actual honest photo? The first two seem fully equipped including what seems to be shielded wiring harnesses. #3 looks totally devoid of any electronics. disclaimer: I don't follow this stuff at all. It just looks like a b.s. photo deliberately exaggerating how simplified #3 is vs. the others to this grease monkey.

IIRC not only did they remove many parts completely, but others have been integrated into the interior, which makes repair harder but will improve reliability since they are no longer exposed.

Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#83

Looking at the picture, I wonder if complexity of these devices will significantly be reduced once it finally works. I assume a lot of the bells and whistles are needed to find the way, but once it's found..

The real problem with fusion power is that even if they figure it out, it still won't be cost competitive with solar and wind. Economically all the cost of building a "boil some water and turn some turbines" plant is _already_ in the "boiling some water and turning some turbines" part of the generation, and even if the heat part of it was _free_, the rest of it would be too expensive to bother building a plant for it…

This completely ignores the need for baseload generation. Wind and solar will probably always be cheaper, but the power grid will likely always need a diverse array of power supplies. If your photovalic cell factories get bombed, how will you make more? If Egypt were 100% solar powered, it would be trivial to defeat them in a war by shooting less than a million dollars of artillery shells into their solar plants, leaving everyone in the dark in perpetuity. Japan was almost wholly dependent on the US for oil and coal before the US pulled their delivery contracts which was partly why they bombed pearl harbor, they had little to no power diversity. Nuclear and hydro will always backstop grid energy, even if solar becomes free or net negative.

Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The real problem with fusion power is that even if they figure it out, it still won't be cost competitive with solar and wind. Economically all the cost of building a "boil some water and turn some turbines" plant is _already_ in the "boiling some water and turning some turbines" part of the generation, and even if the heat part of it was _free_, the rest of it would be too expensive to bother building a plant for it…

> real problem with fusion power is that even if they figure it out, it still won't be cost competitive with solar and wind This is difficult to say when comparing an emerging technology with an established technology in an emerging economy. Based on every historical prior, it would be surprising if there weren't diminishing returns to solar and wind. And I wouldn't underestimate the degree to which power is, in part…

Additionally, the total amount of solar and wind is limited. Surely more than we need now, don't get me wrong, but how much more? Factor 2? 10? I could see a future that is extremely energy hungry, and not just because of AI.

Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#85
post #40
post #5

Does it kill the idea of a tokamak as an energy production device? As in a stellarator proving the much more promising design...

Both ideas are pretty old (50s) and in development for a long time. Both designs have their pros and cons. The biggest drawback of the Tokamak however is that it can only be pulsed... which is kind of dumb to actually generate and provide energy in the long run. You really want the Stellarator here, since there it is at least theoretically possible to run "for ever" (not entirely true, but long enough cycles to be us…

These podcasts are really good. I remember the part where they had problems with some screws and the simple solution was to coat them with diamond.

Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The real problem with fusion power is that even if they figure it out, it still won't be cost competitive with solar and wind. Economically all the cost of building a "boil some water and turn some turbines" plant is _already_ in the "boiling some water and turning some turbines" part of the generation, and even if the heat part of it was _free_, the rest of it would be too expensive to bother building a plant for it…

> real problem with fusion power is that even if they figure it out, it still won't be cost competitive with solar and wind This is difficult to say when comparing an emerging technology with an established technology in an emerging economy. Based on every historical prior, it would be surprising if there weren't diminishing returns to solar and wind. And I wouldn't underestimate the degree to which power is, in part…

PV Panel production acts more like typical mass production and has therefore much higher cost benefits compared to every other way of producing power.

For every other way of producing energy you need separate land for PV you don't. You can put them on rooftops, over parking lots or even vertical in a field. The last one increases the crop yield. Crops get less harsh sun, lose less water and the evaporation cools down the panels, which increases their production.

Today we value costs of energy production and tomorrow we will to. Especially if it results in energy independence. You don't need to buy fuel for PV and wind. As with nuclear fuel only a few countries are probably going to manufacturing the fuel needed for fusion reactors. Producing enough of it and in a sufficient purity needs specialized facilities and they will only be profitable if they produce a lot of it.

Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#87

Looking at the picture, I wonder if complexity of these devices will significantly be reduced once it finally works. I assume a lot of the bells and whistles are needed to find the way, but once it's found..

Your question reminds me of the image showing how SpaceX raptor motors evolved https://imgur.com/a/4w3q3lS

To be fair, the reason the right-most Raptor looks so clean is because they moved all the piping (all the complexity) to inside the casing. And the reason they made the effort is because the casing protects the tubing from the heat of re-entry. Otherwise they'd have to waste mass on heat shielding. [Take a look at videos of Superheavy Booster returning back to the launch tower--the bottom engine sections starts to glow from the heat.]

I don't think that applies to Stellarators, so there may not be an incentive to simplify it. [But what do I know; I'm just a simple programmer.]

Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#88
post #86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> real problem with fusion power is that even if they figure it out, it still won't be cost competitive with solar and wind This is difficult to say when comparing an emerging technology with an established technology in an emerging economy. Based on every historical prior, it would be surprising if there weren't diminishing returns to solar and wind. And I wouldn't underestimate the degree to which power is, in part…

PV Panel production acts more like typical mass production and has therefore much higher cost benefits compared to every other way of producing power. For every other way of producing energy you need separate land for PV you don't. You can put them on rooftops, over parking lots or even vertical in a field. The last one increases the crop yield. Crops get less harsh sun, lose less water and the evaporation cools down…

> PV Panel production acts more like typical mass production and has therefore much higher cost benefits compared to every other way of producing power

Turbines are also mass manufactured. (Albeit less than PVs.)

> You can put them on rooftops, over parking lots or even vertical in a field

The first power plant burned coal in Manhattan [1]. You can put turbines on top of buildings. We don’t because we don’t want to.

I think wind turbines are pretty. But lots of people don’t, and many wouldn’t want their rooftops to be shaded by panels, or wide open fields and natural expanses turned into something that looks more industrial. (I personally think looking down on rooftop gardens is far prettier than panels.)

Maybe there is a perfect power source out there, one which justifies a monoculture. I haven't seen it. I don't believe it's solar or wind.

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearl_Street_Station

Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#89
post #24
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The nice thing about fusion reactors is that they don’t blow up but just don’t work anymore.

they have fission reactors that have done that since the 60s (CANDU Reactor). They just don't help you produce nuclear bombs...

I dunno dude, if you fuse tritium and deuterium it does make neutrons.

Re: New records on Wendelstein 7-X

#90

A better link: https://www.ipp.mpg.de/5532945/w7x?c=5481737 (there is some irony in using the iter.org link for a stellarator announcement) 1.8GJ over 360 seconds, beta of 0.03

The irony is delicious.

Especially considering the total budget of it is $340 millions vs ITER's tens of billions.

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