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The Influence of Bell Labs

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81–90 of 139 posts

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#81

Okay, I'm really in a sad mood, so: tell me there will be places like that, again, somewhere, ever ? We need this. Like, really, we need someone to have created the xerox part of the 21st century, somewhere about 20 years ago. I honestly though Google would be that - but apparently it's easier to fund R&D on "selling copying machines" than "selling ads". Maybe "selling ads" earn _too much_ money ? I don't know. I kno…

The secret hero of that time was the US government. I’m not talking about the MIC, which is still quite robust and more bad than good. I am speaking more broadly. If you had a practical PhD and were willing to show up at a place at 9:00, you could get a solid upper middle class job with the Feds where you couldn’t get fired unless you broke the law. The government also has always kept academia afloat. It is a privile…

Yup. Silicon Valley would not exist without large government spending.

You can bet this spending is going to be among the fist things slashed by DOGE-lile efforts ("Scientists ? They're just liberal elites wasting our hard earned money researching vaccines that will change your dog's gender in order to feed it to communist immigrants.")

I suppose I could be cheered up by the irony, but, not today.

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Once we get superintelligence — some time next year I’d say — then we will have a tool to make all those dreams come true.

What are you basing such a bold prediction on?

It's not bold if the comment author lives in a state that switched clocks to EPT (Elon-Prediction-Time) this week-end.

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#83
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can't you get telepathy from training AI on functional MRI data? And then finding a way to pinpoint and activate brain regions remotely? I mean brain-machine interfaces have been improving for quite a while. Telepathy might even already exist.

Indeed. Come to think of it, telepathy would bring chaos to society, ruin everyone's life, and open considerable advertising space - it's way more likely to be invented soon than a vaccine for the common cold.

“Want to remember a long lost cherished moment with a now deceased loved one? Think about this product for 15 seconds first.” I’m positive it’s being worked on.

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#84
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Right. And I'm sure that if I ever get in a better mood, I'll find that the current AI/LLM craze is good for _something_. Right now the world needs GWh batteries made of salt, cheap fusion from trash, telepathy, a cure for cancer and a vaccine for the common cold - but in the meantime, advertisers can generate photos for their ads, which is, _good_, I guess ?

It does sound like you're in a particularly bad mood, so yes, maybe our outlook does change. Maybe it helps to think of a darker timeline where Google would have kept all of these advances to itself and improved its ad revenue. Instead it shared the research freely with the world. And call me naive, but I use LLMs almost daily, so there definitely _is_ something of value that came out of all this progress. But YMMV,…

I would love to find a way llms could help me right now.

"Hey, xchatgclaudma, please conjure up time and energy out of thin air ?"

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don’t hear about the Oppenheimers and von Neumanns of today’s world Sadder still is the underlying situaiton behind this: the fact that there's nothing of even remotely comparable significance happening in the public sphere for such minds to devote themselves to, as those man did. Even though the current civilization risk if anything significantly greater than in their time.

I feel like having access to instant high definition video communication and to the world’s repository of text, audio, and video information at a moment’s notice from a device in your pocket is of comparable, if not more, significance. These innovations in LEDs, battery technology, low power high performance microchips with features measured in number of atoms is extraordinary, and seemingly taken for granted. Then w…

And the smartphone is making sure you'll get plenty of access to the people who will prevent you from taking the vaccines or the cancer therapies (which, sadly, have _not_ been progressing as much as we would need.)

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#86
I'm a bit surprised that RCA's research division didn't get a nod here. They came up with color TV, then did basically nothing of note for a good 25 years. They're a big part of the reason why RCA is nothing more than a label slapped on imported slop nowadays.

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#87
post #80
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's an example of Zuck's curiosity. When I refer to curiosity-driven research, I mean curiosity driven by the researchers, where the researchers themselves drive the research agenda, not management. To be fair, though; Facebook, I mean, Meta is a publicly-traded company and if the shareholders get tired of not seeing any ROI from Meta's VR initiatives, then this could compel Zuck to stop. Even Zuck isn't free from b…

I mean at some point. You either have to find someone rich who has the same curiosity as you and wants to fund it, or fund it yourself.

Is patronage a thing that even really happens anymore?

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Once we get superintelligence — some time next year I’d say — then we will have a tool to make all those dreams come true.

What are you basing such a bold prediction on?

For instance, ARC prize now at human level… https://x.com/akyurekekin/status/1855680785715478546

I dont know why it seems bold. So many signs.

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#89
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The truth is that kind of research can only happen with a very rich monopoly. Bell labs came about when AT&T was the monopoly telephone provider in the US. PARC happened when Xerox had a very lucrative monopoly on copy machines.

I have come to realize that over the years, though I still believe that wealthier companies like Apple, NVIDIA, Facebook, and the like could fund curiosity-driven research, even if it’s not at the scale of Bell Labs or Xerox PARC. On a smaller scale, there is The Institute for Advanced Study where curiosity-driven research is encouraged, and there is the MacArthur Fellowship where fellows are granted $150,000 annual…

I thought I had read somewhere that 2 weeks vacation is more common in USA, at least for software companies, before things like "unlimited vacation". which is right, 3-4 or 2 weeks?

Re: The Influence of Bell Labs

#90
Bell Labs is wonderful to read about, and I've really loved delving into it. Alan Kay's talks in particular.

However, it should be seen as a starting point! Alternative hypothetical pasts and futures abound. One issue is that the stuff from the past always looks more legendary seen through the lens of nostalgia; it's much harder to look at the stuff around you and to go through the effort of really imagining the thing existing.

So that's my hypothesis - there isn't a smaller volume of interesting stuff going on, but viewing it with hope and curiosity might be a tad harder now, when everyone is so "worldy" (i.e., jaded and pessimistic).

Proof:

https://worrydream.com/ (brett victor)

and the other people doing dynamicland and realtalk, both discussed straightforwardly here:

https://dynamicland.org/2024/FAQ/

https://solidproject.org/about -- solid, tim berners-lee and co, also.

https://malleable.systems/catalog/ -- a great many of the projects here are in the same spirit, to me, as well!

https://spritely.institute/ -- spritely, too

https://duskos.org/ -- duskOS, from Virgil Dupras

https://100r.co/site/uxn.html -- 100 rabbits, uxn, vibrating with new ideas and aesthetics

https://qutech.nl/ -- quantum research institute in the netherlands, they recently established a network link for the first time I believe

etc etc. These are off the top of my head, and I'm fairly new to the whole space!

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