Earlier quoted context omitted.
Go and Chess still has rules that are hard coded which at least gives a framework to optimize in. What rules do you give an LLM?
Physics.
Neural Network Diffusion
81–90 of 92 posts
Re: Neural Network Diffusion
#82Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I guess people working there believe in magic. I've been thinking about this recently. Personally, I've yet to see any compelling evidence that an LLM, let alone any AI, can operate really well "out of distribution". It's capabilities (in my experience) seem to be spanned by the data it's trained on. Hence, this supposed property that it can "train itself", generating new knowledge in the process, is yet to be prov…
The question is not whether it can work right now, but whether it is possible in the future (i.e. whether it's possible in principle). I think the concern about out-of-distribution is overstated. If we train it on predicting machine learning papers, writing machine learning papers is not out-of-distribution. You might say "but writing NOVEL papers" would be OOD; but there's no sharp boundary between old and new. Mode…
I can see how such a pipeline can exist. I can imagine the problematic bit being the "validation system". In closed systems like mathematics, the proof can be checked with our current understanding of mathematics. However, I wonder if all systems have such a property. If, in some sense, you need to know the underlying distribution to check that a new data point is in said distribution, the system described above cannot find new knowledge without already knowing everything.
Moreover, if we did have such a perfect "validation system", I suppose the only thing the ML models are buying us is a more effective search of candidates, right? (e.g., we could also just brute force such a "validation system" to find new results).
Feel free to ignore my navel-gazing; it's fascinating to discuss these things.
Re: Neural Network Diffusion
#83heh https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39208213#39211749
Re: Neural Network Diffusion
#84Earlier quoted context omitted.
Perhaps doing this to generate 10 similar but different versions of a model can then be fed into mixture of experts?
Ooh that’s a good idea! Although mistral seems to have been seeded with identical copies of mistral, so maybe it doesn’t buy you much? Sounds worth trying though!
Re: Neural Network Diffusion
#85Re: Neural Network Diffusion
#86Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't claim it's impossible, just that there isn't a clear path from what exists now to that reality, and that the explanation presented by the above commenter (and I suppose OpenAI's website) does not clarify what they think the path is
We can reason about it without knowing the path. E.g. somebody in 1950s could say "If you have enough compute you can do photorealistic quality computer graphics". If you ask them how to build a GPU they won't know. Their statement is about principal possibility.
Re: Neural Network Diffusion
#87I wasn't sure if this paper was parody on reading the abstract. It's not parody. Two things stand out to me: first is the idea of distilling these networks down into a smaller latent space, and then mucking around with that. That's interesting, and cross-sections a bunch of interesting topics like interpretability, compression, training, over- and under-.. The second is that they show the diffusion models don't just…
I.e., self-supervised training is done to produce semantically sensical results, and the RL-trained conditioning input steers to contextually useful results.
(Btw., if anyone has tips on how to not wreck the RL training's effort when updating the base model with the recently encountered semantically-valid training samples that can be used self-supervised, please tell. I'd hate to throw away the RL effort expended to aquire that much taking data for good self-supervised operation. It's already looking fairly expensive...)
Re: Neural Network Diffusion
#88Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think people can read books (self improvement) and have children (recursive), but neither of those are both.
Why do you think that the human population is more intelligent, knowledgeable, and achieves greater technological feats as time goes on? It's because of recursive self-improvement, we are raised and educated into being better in a quite general sense, which includes being better at raising and educating; nearly every generation this cycle repeats and has for all of human history, at least since we acquired language.…
Well, to the extent that a human-level intelligence is an individual, anyway. We ourselves are probably a mixture-of-experts in some sense.
Re: Neural Network Diffusion
#89Re: Neural Network Diffusion
#90Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why do you think that the human population is more intelligent, knowledgeable, and achieves greater technological feats as time goes on? It's because of recursive self-improvement, we are raised and educated into being better in a quite general sense, which includes being better at raising and educating; nearly every generation this cycle repeats and has for all of human history, at least since we acquired language.…
You're pointing out that groups/institutions/cultures/civilizations are examples of recursively self-improving entities, but the original point was about a recursively self-improving individual intelligent entity. Well, to the extent that a human-level intelligence is an individual, anyway. We ourselves are probably a mixture-of-experts in some sense.
Also, for the purposes of talking about the phenomenon of recursive self-improvement, individual vs society isn't the end of analysis. Part of the reason AI recursive self-improvement is concerning is that people are worried about it happening on much faster than societal timescales, in ways that are not socially tractable like human societies are (e.g. if our society is "improving" in a way we don't like, we or other humans can intervene to prevent, alter, or mitigate it). It's also important to note that when we're talking about "recursive self-improvement" when it comes to AI, the "self" is not a single software artifact like Llama-70B. The "self" is AI in general, and the most common proposed mechanism is that an AI is better than us at designing and building AIs, and the resulting AI it makes us even better at designing and building AIs.