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Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

austinvernon.site

81–90 of 672 posts

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#81
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

All nuclear waste ever produced in the US could be stored in an area the size of a football field

You should check up on that Shellenberger meme before you spread it. That was is just the fuel and fuel is just a small part of all the waste. https://worldnuclearwastereport.org/

however the fuel constitutes 97% of the radiation of all waste

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#82
post #9

no one ever mentions nuclear proliferation risk associated with the production of plutonium.

it does get mentioned, and you can have nuclear power without producing plutonium.

but it's less straighforward and developed. Uranium-based nuclear power produces plutonium. non-uranium based nuclear power is possible but requires technology development that in practice has taken much longer than expected.

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#83

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Modern tech" is still vastly inferior to nuclear power. Think of it as humanity scoring a roll of the dice to discover 22nd century technology in the 20th.

Depends what you mean by "inferior". A horse-drawn carriage has less carbon emissions than an automobile, doesn't it? However, that's not the sole criteria.

> horse-drawn carriage has less carbon emissions than an automobile

Is it? Especially if counting by miles of travel, I'm not sure about it. Also, if by "carbon emissions" I believe we mean "greenhouse gas emissions" -- including methane yes.

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Nuclear power plants take too long to plan, build and bring online. IIRC it's at least 11 years It's crazy what people come to believe. To generalize the pathetic bureaucratic failures like the EPR to all model couldn't be farther from reality. Russian commercialized VVER 1200 models take 57 month to build. Their successor, the VVER-TOI take 40 month, so 3.5 year to build. It output 1300MWe Besides the russian comp…

Yeah these things don't take 11 years to build. Government makes them take that long.

I would be interested in understanding what drives this. Even in Korea, where large scale infrastructure projects like new subway lines get built very quickly, new nuclear reactors seem to take >10 years (both the ones installed domestically in Korea and the export ones in places like UAE).

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#85

Nuclear engineer here. If you want a deep dive into US reactor development history, I wrote this up on a vacation. https://whatisnuclear.com/reactor_history.html My take on the more modern economics is here https://whatisnuclear.com/economics.html And waste here https://whatisnuclear.com/waste.html

This is great. Thank you so much.

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#86

Russophobia aside, the next-gen russian nuclear model (first exporter in the world, of nuclear plants) is built in 3.5 years, which is state of the art. And at the same time has a high throughput (1300MWe) (much higher than the billion dollar mini-reactor fad) and state of the art longevity. It's very difficult for me to find the actual prices, of the different nuclear plants models competitors, but since most of the…

Why don't you click from there to [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Akkuyu_Nuclear_Power_Plant and on to [2] http://www.akkuyu.com ? Which is about a project in progress in Turkey, having 4 of them. Just skimming [2] gives: > The stake of Rosatom State Corporation in the project is 99.2%. The total project cost is estimated at 20 billion US dollars.

yes so 5 billion per plant and ~4 year construction time. However some of this cost might be a lucrative margin for russia? The estimated construction cost of a VVER 1200 on wikipedia is 1.4 billion. 1.5 with interests. The rest would be frozen money for operating the plant during its 60-80 year lifespan? Or constructions costs would be higher than estimated? Expected annual generation is 35 billion kWh when complete.[2]

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#87
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most of the waste is Uranium which can be put back into reactors, the most dangerous long-lived element in the waste is Plutonium which is also a good nuclear fuel. Remove those elements plus the higher actinides (Neptunium, Americium, Curium, ...) and almost all of the radioactivity in the fission products has decayed by 500 years... It's less radioactive at that point than the Uranium ore was when it was mined. Bur…

Haha. Flagged? I really wanted to know more about the racial motivation behind burying nuclear waste! Guess it's a sensitive topic around here.

This is what caused the Carter Administration to freak out

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pakistan_and_weapons_of_mass_d...

with this result

https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/reaction/read...

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#88
post #83

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Depends what you mean by "inferior". A horse-drawn carriage has less carbon emissions than an automobile, doesn't it? However, that's not the sole criteria.

> horse-drawn carriage has less carbon emissions than an automobile Is it? Especially if counting by miles of travel, I'm not sure about it. Also, if by "carbon emissions" I believe we mean "greenhouse gas emissions" -- including methane yes.

Horses eat grasses which are part of the carbon cycle.

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why don't you click from there to [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Akkuyu_Nuclear_Power_Plant and on to [2] http://www.akkuyu.com ? Which is about a project in progress in Turkey, having 4 of them. Just skimming [2] gives: > The stake of Rosatom State Corporation in the project is 99.2%. The total project cost is estimated at 20 billion US dollars.

yes so 5 billion per plant and ~4 year construction time. However some of this cost might be a lucrative margin for russia? The estimated construction cost of a VVER 1200 on wikipedia is 1.4 billion. 1.5 with interests. The rest would be frozen money for operating the plant during its 60-80 year lifespan? Or constructions costs would be higher than estimated? Expected annual generation is 35 billion kWh when complete…

Maybe it's more expensive because it's being built in a tectonically active area? Though one of the most stable regions, or even the most stable region in Turkey.

(According to the graphics from Wikipedia)

Re: Why is the nuclear power industry stagnant?

#90

I am reminded of an amusing incident in the Netherlands: the prime minister talked about new reactors and made the faux pas of mentioning specific locations. Immediately a shit storm brew up and he was forced to publicly apologize. Keep it vague. We all love nuclear now. But not a single spade in the ground by order of NIMBY!

Then… build the reactor in the middle of SF. Write “Move fast and break things (we mean the atoms of course!)” on the side of the building.
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