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Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

reuters.com

81–90 of 408 posts

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#81

Any top 10 billionaire could write them a check for the amount owed without even breaking a sweat and thus stave off of billions of dollars of systemic damage. It goes to show how bailouts, despite being maligned by the public, do work.

Oh yeah, I'm sure they'd bounce right back after that.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#83
post #47

This is not even frontpage of ft, bloomberg etc. Bloomberg Europe TV station talks about Johnson & Johnson factory problems in China but not Evergrande. My reading from above pieces of information: it's not that important yet. Maybe they will pay late again as they did previously when they were late one day.

Well this time they already were inside a 30-day grace period which as of 3 hours ago they missed aswell, hence the default.

It's unclear if they paid or not, even last time the creditors received the Money the day after the 30 days had passed.

It seems they didn't but we won't know until tomorrow or so.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#84
Speaking of misleading headlines:

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/10/business/evergrande-bond-...

https://archive.md/cPsjv

"China Evergrande meets a Wednesday payment deadline for two of its bonds."

On multiple levels, too.

"It was not immediately clear whether it had made payment on the third bond, which matures in 2024, or if all of the investors in the other two bonds had received payment."

So basically they MIGHT have made payments on 2 of the 3 bonds. How is this being treated as anything other than a default? Is the financial press just afraid of upsetting China here?

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#85
post #42

Interesting about this is that Evergrande is defaulting only on foreign held debt. Not internal debt after a ccp mandate. If their economy continues its downturn then this precedent would hold for all debt. I would really watch personal funds and investments and insure they dont hold any chinese debt as an asset.

China has been waging economic warfare via equity markets for a while now. The U.S. hasn’t done anything to protect investors from billions in losses. Totally embarrassing.

A bunch of greedy US investors dumped money into quixotic Chinese companies and we should bail them out? Sounds politically toxic to me.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#86

Any top 10 billionaire could write them a check for the amount owed without even breaking a sweat and thus stave off of billions of dollars of systemic damage. It goes to show how bailouts, despite being maligned by the public, do work.

Problem is, in the context of their disastorous (and likely fraudulent) balance sheet, they really need billions of dollars more. It really isnt about $148m, this is just the tip of the iceberg - its just an incremental interest obligation, with a wall of debt lurking behind it. So while they may get another month or two leniancy from the markets if they pay this, it still doesnt resolve the near inevitability of default.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#87

Any top 10 billionaire could write them a check for the amount owed without even breaking a sweat and thus stave off of billions of dollars of systemic damage. It goes to show how bailouts, despite being maligned by the public, do work.

They have reoccurring interest and sometimes principal payments well into the future - overall their debt is over $300 billion. So no, it's not a drop in the bucket for any one person.

https://www.ft.com/content/e0a447f9-b4c2-45dc-bfc8-755b284d1...

As to how you've jumped from "rich individuals don't want to pay corporate debts" to "government bailouts clearly work" I have no idea.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#88
post #44
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

China has been waging economic warfare via equity markets for a while now. The U.S. hasn’t done anything to protect investors from billions in losses. Totally embarrassing.

A) What do you propose the US do? B) Why should the US do anything? If your risk profile when dealing with Chinese companies doesn't include the risk that the CPC will change the rules of the game later to benefit the domestic economy, you're a sucker.

> Why should the US do anything?

If private investors want to invest in China, that's fine. But pensions and banks should not, and should not be investing in funds that do. Their risks are shared, and China trashing their balance sheets is a public policy concern.

Re: Evergrande teeters on edge of default as $148M payment falls due

#90
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The economy is held up by belief, and while I'm sure there are some good intentioned people telling us this, there are certainly some people who are using this as an opportunity to change financial positions.

It's important to point out that DMSA's release alledges that media has been trading on rumors that Evergrande had made the earlier missed debt payments before the grace period ended, when in fact it it had not. Several commentators over the past few weeks have pointed out that all of the media reports saying that the payments had been made were circuitously cited; no one had heard from a creditor directly. Now we ha…

a) All owned by the billionaire set, directly or indirectly

b) Their reputations are already unimportant in important circles; see a)

c) A few weeks is enough time to comfortably check even a complex portfolio and exit positions with exposure

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