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Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

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Re: Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

#81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Studies have shown the common (LFIA) antibody tests administered to most people have specificity <50%

Which ones? I'm looking at this page and am seeing numbers in the high 90's https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/coronavirus-disease-2019...

Those are not LFIA tests

Re: Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

#82
post #52

Can someone tell me why we (US) don't have a vaccine passport yet?

What outcome does a domestic vaccine passport achieve? I work in health information privacy, where regulations were written to prevent that specific situation. There's no denying it's a proxy for political positions, so the case for it needs to be clear, especially in a world where people say in public that it is "irresponsible," to entertain critical opinions.

What problem does a domestic vaccine passport solve?

Re: Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

#83
post #4

This is great news, adding to a report in Nature that the natural immunity produced in people who have already had covid may last a lifetime.[1] In case you hadn't heard, the Cleveland Clinic--consistently regarded as one of the top hospital systems in the United States and in the world--recently shared a study of 52,238 patients showing zero incremental benefit from the jab to the previously infected, recommending t…

>a study of 52,238 patients showing zero incremental benefit from the jab to the previously infected

This study ended May 15, 2021, and it notes that:

>Lastly, it is necessary to emphasize that these findings are based on the prevailing assortment of virus variants in the community during the study. It is not known how well these results will hold if or when some of the newer variants of concern become prominent.

Another study found that, for people already seropositive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies from a previous infection, getting the first dose of an mRNA vaccine increased antibody titers by two orders of magnitude on average [1] but that the 2nd dose had no effect on antibody titers.

[1] Florian Krammer, et al. "Antibody responses in seropositive persons after a single dose of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine." New England Journal of Medicine (2021). https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2101667

Re: Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

#84
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But the issue, is that if you had your first dose 2 days before being infected, you count as being infected after 1 dose. We need to compare "1 dose, x days after first dose" and "two doses, x days after first dose" to compare the same thing

That is not consistent with the "Vaccination status" definition in the paper I cited. The tl;dr on that is that "first dose" starts 21 days after vaccination, and "second dose" 14 days after. Also, to get a better sense of the timeline for vaccination effectiveness, take a look at a chart like this one: https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/12/10/1013914/pfizer-b...

If you wait 21 days after the first dose, or 14 days after the second dose. Unless everyone had their second dose 7 days after the first one you still don't compare the same thing.

We need something like, 21 days after the first dose, and split the result between people who got one dose and those who got two. We also need to make sure that the repartition of ` age since first dose` is the same for the two doses group and the single dose group.

Re: Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

#85
post #54

Has there been any work done on the severity of the COVID 19 variants? My understanding is variants of highly dangerous viruses rarely keep the high level of risk as the progenitors. Does the delta variant and others pose the same risks? Are we over responding to a virus family group?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Overvie...

> My understanding is variants of highly dangerous viruses rarely keep the high level of risk as the progenitors.

Even if that's a general trend that doesn't mean it's a rule. And the rationale "a dead host isn't as useful at spreading the virus" doesn't really apply to covid since only a small percentage gets hospitalized or dies, most infectees remain fit enough to spread it further.

Re: Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

#86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Good antibody tests are extremely (99%) accurate in verifying previous infection, not sure why you're claiming the opposite...? And while vaccination is safe and easy to get , both me and a lot of my friends were basically as sick as a regular flu for a day or two from it. Some people have no reaction, which is wonderful, but a lot of people need to take a sick day or two, or intentionally get the vaccine on a Friday…

What is the population of people who are willing to get a blood draw for an accurate antibody test but haven’t been vaccinated already and can’t afford moderate flu-like symptoms for a day? I’m sure a small number of people like that exist but it’s not really worth carving out complex exceptions to vaccination rules (specifying which kind of antibody tests administered by who and when, etc.) to accommodate their pref…

What are you even still trying to argue?

First you claimed antibody tests are inaccurate, which is totally false.

Now you're worrying that there are too many antibody tests...? Just like there are 3 vaccines, at least in NYC there are/were only 3 or 4 main antibody tests administered by the city.

It's super easy. Basically nobody's anti-antibody test the way there are anti-vaxxers, so it's actually a significant proportion of the population. And you know what? Being sick and useless for a day or two is actually a big impact on people's lives, I don't know why you're so uncaring.

It would obviously be beneficial if the commonly recognized antibody tests carried the same weight as a vaccine card, i.e. an equivalent standardized "antibody card".

Re: Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

#87

The mRNA vaccines have been the silver lining to the whole COVID-19 disaster. They seem “unreasonably effective” against COVID, basically if you had a genie that you could ask to make a vaccine, it would be hard to do much better, other than the requirement for 2 jabs. In addition, the mRNA technology has broad applicability to other issues such as other viruses (such as flu) and even cancer!

Does mixing of one mRNA vaccine with another mRNA vaccine for the second does create the same effect as if it's one brand of vaccine was used?

Moderna and pfizer both encode the spike protein identically.

"Follow up earlier post. Here is moderna/pfizer/wild type spike. There is only 2 amino acids different from wild to vaccine. Same for both vaccines. The change forces the protein to look like it would when stuck to the outside of the virus, without needing the rest of the virus"

From Thought Emporium on twitter (cool biohacker with particular focus on genetic engineering, but amazing breadth into physical sciences as well - I highly recommend his youtube channel)

https://twitter.com/EmporiumThought/status/14081777241920675...

Re: Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

#88
post #52

Can someone tell me why we (US) don't have a vaccine passport yet?

Because authoritarianism is antithetical to our founding nature.

A centralized database that is used to control individuals is akin to China's social credit system. I've actually started seeing people argue for China style systems, and I find it both frightening and sickening.

When I start to push back at all, I usually get arguments like `Leave the US if you don't like it.`, and sure I'll just pick up and leave the country I was born in, but beyond that where will I be able to go?

If I just want my own individual rights, where in the world will I be able to go if what is basically the last bastion of freedom and individualism is lost to tyrannical majority rule?

Re: Pfizer and Moderna vaccines may produce lasting immunity

#90

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Which ones? I'm looking at this page and am seeing numbers in the high 90's https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/coronavirus-disease-2019...

Those are not LFIA tests

Seems like in the context of this use case, the medical community would adopt the tests with the higher specificity, and there would be market pressure to lower the cost, if needed. Seems a bit of a reach to point to tests used for use case A to discount use case B.
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