Earlier quoted context omitted.
France's unemployment numbers don't include the many contract workers that are not full time employees under French law. A lot of them are out of work right now and receiving nothing from the French government. Because French law makes it so hard to fire a full-time employee, many businesses only hire workers on a part-time basis. In contrast, most US unemployment numbers generally include all individuals seeking wor…
False, unemployment numbers include part-time and fixed-term contracts, and they've only gone up 42k compared to last year[1]. Part-time and fixed-term contracts are covered under the French partial furlough reimbursement plan. [1] https://www.lesechos.fr/economie-france/social/coronavirus-h...
Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
81–90 of 131 posts
Re: Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
#82traffic != sales The whole industry is experiencing a surge in online-window-shopping. Amazon is probably seeing a few blackfridays increase.
Re: Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
#83Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's in the semi-custom home goods category. Can't get more specific than that.
I sell wall maps: https://ramblemaps.com Just started 3/22. They aren't exactly flying off the shelves. We're getting good traffic but conversion rate is very low. Would you expect a business like mine to be doing well in this climate? Since we're a new business it's hard to tell if it's our product or the market that is our problem.
Re: Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
#84Earlier quoted context omitted.
France's unemployment numbers don't include the many contract workers that are not full time employees under French law. A lot of them are out of work right now and receiving nothing from the French government. Because French law makes it so hard to fire a full-time employee, many businesses only hire workers on a part-time basis. In contrast, most US unemployment numbers generally include all individuals seeking wor…
False, unemployment numbers include part-time and fixed-term contracts, and they've only gone up 42k compared to last year[1]. Part-time and fixed-term contracts are covered under the French partial furlough reimbursement plan. [1] https://www.lesechos.fr/economie-france/social/coronavirus-h...
Using that definition, the US COVID-related unemployment numbers aren't nearly as bad, since millions have been "furloughed" rather than "permanently laid off."
The devil is in the details.
Re: Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
#85Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I think the general population has not yet appreciated the possible severity of the ensuing economic downturn. My fear as well. The swiftness and ferocity of this downturn is like nothing ever, AFAIK. 22 million out of work in 4 weeks. Many are unlikely to get their jobs back. So while certain companies are seeing upticks due to logistics of the lockdown, I don't think it's safe to assume it would continue long aft…
> Many are unlikely to get their jobs back. Their original job? Sounds plausible. Any job? Surely that would be a political choice for their respective governments? Unless there’s a reason we can’t repeat the famous infrastructure jobs programs from a century ago - I’m no economist, so I genuinely don’t know, but Hoover Dam Mark 2 sounds good to me.
Right now we can't for a very similar reason that we couldn't prior to 1933.
But there's an election this year, so that can change.
> Hoover Dam Mark 2 sounds good to me.
Hoover Dam actually wasn't an infrastructure jobs program to counteract the downturn, it was planned and approved before the 1929 crash and subsequent Depression.
Re: Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
#86Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't think that's right. My wife puts makeup on before her video conferences every day.
My girlfriend hasn't put on makeup since the quarantine started even though she has multiple video meetings a day.
Re: Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
#87Earlier quoted context omitted.
False, unemployment numbers include part-time and fixed-term contracts, and they've only gone up 42k compared to last year[1]. Part-time and fixed-term contracts are covered under the French partial furlough reimbursement plan. [1] https://www.lesechos.fr/economie-france/social/coronavirus-h...
The French numbers are more than 42,000. Under the partial furlough program, they've simply re-labeled unemployed workers to be "partially furloughed" workers rather than unemployed. Using that definition, the US COVID-related unemployment numbers aren't nearly as bad, since millions have been "furloughed" rather than "permanently laid off." The devil is in the details.
I'm very skeptical that furloughed people would not be counted, because I just don't think the process works that way.
Of course, maybe things have changed. The depressing thing about cynicism is it means you end up having no resistance to it becoming a reality.
Re: Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
#88I've been hearing over the past 2 weeks that online traffic and revenue has been soaring for others, but I'm skeptical. I think it's just traditional brick & mortar shops that never had the time nor the impetus to set up an online presence now doing so. Just my 2c.
Re: Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
#89I hold a pessimistic viewpoint because it's a lot more insightful to look at losses than it is gains. With so much brick-and-mortar retail shut-down, retail has to happen somewhere, so it's going to happen online. Increases in product sales online could result in net declines for the product group when you factor in the loss of B&M sales. I think the logical result here is pretty well-represented in how some public c…
Amazon not only recovered their dip, but renewed their 52 week max several times already. And they don't even make much from online retail. To make matters more interesting, AWS seems to be _much_ busier than usual, and spot capacity is all but gone, at least at the price we were paying before. I'm not even sure why that is.
Yes, through accounting magic, they're making the majority of their profits via AWS, but that's part of Bezos's long-term strategy and could be changed on a dime (at the potential expense of the long-term growth he's targeting).
Top line, most of their business is from online retail, not AWS.
(edited because my original was a bit of a flame, and didn't clarify profit vs revenue distinction)
Re: Shopify CTO: our platform is now handling Black Friday level traffic every day
#90Shopify has not be helpful as an organization, and their processes and red tape have been a challenge. But, it's apparently working for them.