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WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

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Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#81

Semi related but Blue Apron will forever be my favorite IPO. 5 stock splits and 3 CEOs later, day one investors will receive roughly 2 pennies back for every dollar invested just 2 years ago. Only people who won were those who dumped free shares on the market (insiders), and maybe consumers for getting subsidized food of questionable quality. Once valued at 2 billion USD, a paltry 150 million will get the job done no…

Pinterest is next https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&ge...

Looks very similar to the trajectory of Facebook (although very different in scale).

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&ge...

Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#82
post #46
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It really isn’t. FB/Goog compensation is still the benchmark as far as industry comp goes, so a private co really needs to be convincingly successful to attract smart, high paid engineers at top tech companies. If they can’t then it’s a completely valid signal that something is up - either comp is well below market, growth story is fishy, management is weak, or something else.

Assumption: smart engineers only care about money.

Would you work for less if you only had to work Monday through Thursday?

Or if you could take sabbaticals at will?

Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#83

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Pinterest is next https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&ge...

Looks very similar to the trajectory of Facebook (although very different in scale). https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&ge...

FB owns Instagram

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&ge...

and WhatsApp. I would argue that the market is a bit more rational there.

Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#84

> The WeWork brand is strongly tied to Neumann, a freewheeling 40-year-old Israeli-born entrepreneur who has said that We Company’s mission is “to elevate the world’s consciousness”. "Elevate the world's consciousness" --> Dont mean to be negative but what the hell does that even mean? Imagine your landlord told you that. Been following this story closely and Adam Neumann is such a crook, from the outset he just want…

No-one knows what it means, but it's provocative. It gets the people going!

Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#85

Semi related but Blue Apron will forever be my favorite IPO. 5 stock splits and 3 CEOs later, day one investors will receive roughly 2 pennies back for every dollar invested just 2 years ago. Only people who won were those who dumped free shares on the market (insiders), and maybe consumers for getting subsidized food of questionable quality. Once valued at 2 billion USD, a paltry 150 million will get the job done no…

I actually still use Blue Apron. It's not that much more expensive than grocery shopping (I live in New York so groceries are expensive) and you never end up with wasted food. The recipes are generally very quick to make and far better than anything I could make on my own in a comparable amount of time. While the business may not have worked out so well their service is still pretty good.

Blue Apron just seems so unnecessary. You still have to do all the work! Just go to the grocery store and buy stuff there? You can get recipes online for free. I do all my shopping on Saturday at Trader Joe's and spend very little for lots of food which I then cook. There's so much wasted materials and trash with Blue Apron.

I don't get it, but then I don't have any trouble cooking for myself and my family. I didn't grow up learning how to cook. I spent a little bit of time figuring it out and then it became easy and didn't require a subscription to some sketchy company.

There's also no way that you're coming close to the prices at a supermarket when you're buying individual meal's worth ingredients instead of bulk, a bag of potatoes, or a bottle of seasoning instead of one potato and one pinch of whatever inside some single serving plastic wrapping.

Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#86
post #70
post #40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a useful proxy metric, but not a metric to optimize for. I wouldn't want to work for a startup that focused on hiring ex-FB or ex-Google engineers, but given that a large fraction of talented engineers have worked at FB or Google, you'd expect to find plenty of them at any reputable large startup.

> large fraction of talented engineers have worked at FB or Google I'd actually dispute that. The tech world is really, really big. There are a great many extremely talented engineers that have never worked at FB or Google, but they're also the kind of engineers that don't write blog posts or attend conferences, so they're less visible.

Your point is quite reasonable in general but the discussion was for Silicon Valley and San Francisco. My GF has worked for Microsoft, Amazon, FB and now Google (and some startups over the years). How? Well they all have big tech offices close to Palo Alto. When she worked for various startups she was an ex-MS, ex-FB etc person.

If she'd stayed in Chicago (Northwestern grad), that's unlikely. Of course those companies have outposts there, but fewer tech roles by an order of magnitude or two.

Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>insiders must already be aware The lockup period does not expire till mid-october. I read their 10-Q and found this gem about "user re-authentication": "Users MAUs at quarter-end were 300 million, representing growth of 30% year-over-year. This represents an acceleration in user growth, in part due to one-time changes to SEO algorithms and user re-authentication that impacted Q218. International growth drove the maj…

I'm sorry, I'm an idiot. Wtf does "user re-authentication" mean? They're counting MAUs as number of logins and not number of active users?

I can only interpret that they are talking about logged in users with accounts. The users were logged out during the pre-IPO and that resulted in some double counting in their second post IPO 10-Q.

I was researching this because I asked myself a general question: "Why is the stock price of non dividend paying companies correlated to the performance at all?"

Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#88
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Additionally, I think this is great to think about as far as the entire story of IPOing a big tech company in 2019. You start with the story the bankers sell you. They all want to tell you you're going to be bigger than you ever thought possible, because, well... those fees are awfully nice. "We're going to IPO you at 20% of $PREVIOUS_VALUATION" The counter-argument was, well, "We don't think you're worth that much,…

> you're probably worth only $20B This is something I don't get. Pretty much all of these businesses are aiming at dominance on some sector. They entered into the game with the understanding that it's all or nothing. If they don't achieve that dominance, or if the sector itself turns out to be less than worthwhile, isn't it more likely that these companies are worth essentially zero, rather than some percentage of th…

Perhaps dominance is not required, despite their beliefs? There is more than one huge car company and a bunch of medium sized ones too.

It's possible some investors are buying in because they think they are getting into a viable-when-dominance-not-required business on the cheap.

(Me, I don't understand any of these businesses (We, Blue Apron etc) and let someone else take the risk.)

Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Pinterest is next https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&ge...

Wow, interesting, that map is really correlated with my (biased) perception of where "percentage of people under 40 who are married" is highest

Also, cold winters; scrapbooking; applique vests

Re: WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources

#90

Semi related but Blue Apron will forever be my favorite IPO. 5 stock splits and 3 CEOs later, day one investors will receive roughly 2 pennies back for every dollar invested just 2 years ago. Only people who won were those who dumped free shares on the market (insiders), and maybe consumers for getting subsidized food of questionable quality. Once valued at 2 billion USD, a paltry 150 million will get the job done no…

Honest question if anyone knows more details. VCs these days are very focused on the "SaaS Quick Ratio": https://www.cobloom.com/blog/saas-quick-ratio-how-to-measure... (Blue Apron isn't quite a SaaS business but close enough for this metric). The idea is that it not only measures growth, but measures new customers in relation to churn, with the idea that it's a lot easier to have a long term successful business if y…

I gotta say, I do hope Blue Apron survives. After all, if it goes under, who will sponsor the entire podcast ecosystem?
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