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Inflation adjusted price of gold is down almost 50% from 1980: https://www.macrotrends.net/1333/historical-gold-prices-100-...
How many 1980 investments are at fifty percent or better today?
Recessions are a necessary part of the business cycle. A lot of people would argue that global central banks have gone too far trying to avoid a recession and thus the next recession will be particularly brutal. Like laws designed to encourage forest growth, when the fire eventually comes it burns far brighter than the fire that burns in a forest left alone.
If this is true, where is the best place to invest 10k-100k USD today?
I'm playing the cannabis market right now and i'm bleeding. not just because of the slow growth of the canna industry, but the fear in Trumps trade wars and volatility in commodities is affecting every asset class. Honestly, I would keep my hard cold cash. sit on it until the opportunity arises.
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if you think the market will go down you should short it...
I'm pretty ignorant here, how do you short "the market"?
As someone else said, if you have to ask this question it's something to be cautious about doing. But, you have to start somewhere so good luck.
Things that keep me up at night as a software contractor/freelancer: if there's a recession, are contractors the first to go? One counter-argument is that contractors can be a cheaper way for companies to build products (since it's not full time), which might mean companies favor contractors. On the other hand, companies who are reluctant to lay off full-time staff may start by canceling contract relationships.
That said, I've seen companies shed permies over contractors in difficult times, because if you form the view that said difficult times will stick around for a while, the permies look worse as aliability/drain on your projections than having contractors which, although they are higher cost, can be shed trivially. Depends on location though, areas with stronger protections against letting go of permanent employees are the ones where organisations see those same permies as more of a long-term liability. In right-to-work states, for example, it's just as easy to shed either group.
If you could know a recession was inevitable some time soon from publicly available information then that recession wouldn't happen in the predicted time frame. Everybody would see it coming, take their money out of the market, and it would happen instantly.
If you could know a recession was inevitable some time soon from publicly available information then that recession wouldn't happen in the predicted time frame. Everybody would see it coming, take their money out of the market, and it would happen instantly.
> Yet, I wonder if it is possible to have a recession when so many people expect one. The worst recessions are the ones that people don’t see coming.
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A handful of IPOs won't stave off a recession. (It's entirely possible to cancel an IPO, too.) If I were a big pre-IPO company, I'd probably want to go IPO before the recession, in order to get operating capital to survive it.
A few tech IPOs does not make a strong stock market. Seems a bit silly to judge market health on tech having a few IPOs next year
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What would be the best way to do this? Is there an index fund or something that is based on shorts? Sorry for the lack of knowledge.
there's inverse ETF's. SPXS is a leveraged "bear fund" that gains value as the S&P500 decreases in value. SPXS is particular will move 3X the movement of the S&P500 so a loss of 1% in the market is a gain of 3% in SPXS. SPXS has been an awful fund to hold since 2009.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/1864191-what-you-need-to-kn...
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How many 1980 investments are at fifty percent or better today?
Since 1980, after adjusting for inflation Gold lost 50%, the S&P 500 is up 600%, or 1700% with reinvesting dividends in the S&P 500.
Also, please paint the full picture: How many percent of all 1980 investments retain halt their value or more today? My first guess would be: A small minority.