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Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

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Re: Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

#791
post #488

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wish McCulloch and Pitts could see how much intellectual damage that wildly bold analogy they made would do. (though seeing as they seemingly had no qualms with issuing such a wildly unjustified analogy with the absolute paucity of scientific information they had at the time, I guess they'd be happy about it overall).

Computational neurons were developed with the express intent of studying models of the brain based on the contemporary understanding of neuroscience. That understanding has evolved massively over the last 7 decades and meanwhile the concept of the perceptron has proven to be a useful mathematical construct in machine learning and statistical computing. I blame the modern business culture if software development more…

I also blame the modern business culture more, but we shouldn't act like McCulloch and Pitts were innocent. They well could have introduced neural nets without making the wild claims they did about actual neural equivalence. They are largely responsible for much of the brain = computer naivety and, in my view, they put forward this claim with shockingly little justification. The reasoned analogically without actually understanding the things they were trying to analogize. They basically took something that had the status of hypothesis at best and used it in the same manner one might if one had understanding.

To be clear, I'm not at all criticizing their technical contribution. Neural nets obviously are an important technical approach to computation—however we should criticize the attendant philosophical and neurological and biological claims they attached to their study, which lacked sufficient justification.

Re: Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

#792

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Photons hit a human eye and then the human came up with language to describe that and then encoded the language into the LLM. The LLM can capture some of this relationship, but the LLM is not sensing actual photons, nor experiencing actual light cone stimulation, nor generating thoughts. Its "world model" is several degrees removed from the real world. So whatever fragment of a model it gains through learning to comp…

Here's how I've been explaining this to non-tech people recently, including the CEO where I work: Language is all about compressing concepts and sharing them, and it's lossy. You can use a thousand words to describe the taste of chocolate, but it will never transmit the actual taste. You can write a book about how to drive a car, but it will only at best prepare that person for what to practice when they start drivin…

The taste of chocolate is also assuming information-theoretic models are correct and not a use-based, pragmatic theory of meaning.

I don't agree with information-theoretic models in this context but we come to the same conclusion.

Loss only makes sense if there was a fixed “original” but there is not. The information-theoretic model creates a solvable engineering problem. We just aren't solving the right problem then with LLMs.

I think it is more than that. The path forward with a use theory of meaning is even less clear.

The driving example is actually a great example of the use theory of meaning and not the information-theoretic.

The meaning of “driving” emerges from this lived activity, not from abstract definitions. You don't encode an abstract meaning of driving that is then transmitted on a noisy channel of language.

The meaning of driving emerges from the physical act of driving. If you only ever mount a camera on the headrest and operate the steering wheel and pedals remotely from a distance you still don't "understand" the meaning of "driving".

Whatever data stream you want to come up with, trying to extract the meaning of "driving" from that data stream makes no sense.

Trying to extract the "meaning" of driving from driving language game syntax with language models is just complete nonsense. There is no meaning to be found even if scaled in the limit.

Re: Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

#793

Is there any more information about the Eureka educational project? I think it's probably the wrong endpoint to target teaching about AI first (too complex, too many pre-reqs), really these tools should work from the base of the educational pyramid and move up from there. There is a lot of success already in adaptive learning in elementary school for instance, my kids are blasting through math on Prodigy and it seems…

It's at the end of the interview. He wants to build Starfleet Academy for technical fields. Physical with a digital equivalent. Thinks education will become like a gym (self-educate to look sexy) by the time AGI gets here.

Re: Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

#794

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AIs already fake-simulate the weather (chaotic system) using 1% of the resources used by the real-simulating supercomputers.

Source?

University of Washington in collaboration with Microsoft: https://www.washington.edu/news/2025/08/25/ai-simulates-1000... and https://www.washington.edu/news/2020/12/15/a-i-model-shows-p... the latter being a factor of 7000x improvement, reducing it to 0.014% of the required compute.

I'm surprised you missed it, given there's several other models in this space:

From NVIDIA: https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/high-performance-computing/eart...

Google: https://deepmind.google/science/weathernext/

And this is different model from Microsoft, this time a collaboration with Cambridge University: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/blog/introducing-au...

Re: Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

#796
post #201

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You want a "core kernel" with "general language parsing" but no training on real-world concepts. Read that sentence again. Slowly. What do you think "general language parsing" IS if not learned patterns from real-world data? You're literally describing a transformer and then saying we need to invent it. And your TLS example is deranged. You want an agent to discover the TLS protocol by randomly sending ethernet packe…

>What do you think "general language parsing" IS if not learned patterns from real-world data? I want you to hertograize the enpostule by brasetting the leekerists, while making sure that the croalbastes are not exhibiting any ecrocrafic effects Whatever you understand about that task, is what a kernel will "understand" as well. And however you go about solving it, the kernel will also will follow similar patterns of…

> It doesn't learn what a noun is or english is, its a statistical mapping that just tends to work well.

The word for creating that statistical map is "learning".

Now, you could argue that gradient descent or genetic algorithms or whatever else we have are "slow learners", I'd agree with that, but the weights and biases in any ML model are most definitely "learned".

Re: Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

#797
post #709

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are the particles that make up thoughts in our brain not also a representation of a thought? Isn't "thought" really some kind of Platonic ideal that only has approximate material representations? If so, why couldn't some language sentences be thoughts?

The sentence is the result of a thought. The sentence in itself does not capture every process that went into producing the sentence.

> The sentence in itself does not capture every process that went into producing the sentence.

A thought does not capture every process that went into producing the thought either.

Re: Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

#798
I definitely feel like the UI choices made in these "agents" are based on the fantasy of managers and executives (and maybe tech-optimists) more than they are the ones that actual software engineers would choose -- because they present a world in which they take over completely in a mostly unguided fashion.

I want something far more interactive that leaves me far more in control and forces me to be responsible for the choices.

For the last two months as I've been out of paid work I've been working like mad on my open source project, and fell into the pattern of heavily using Claude Code and some of the results have been amazing but some I have let my judgment and oversight lapse and come back later with a completely "WTF did it do here?" surprise.

That shouldn't be allowed to happen. A responsible SWE culture would demand that these tools engage in a way that encourages heavy oversight review and engagement.

Almost everybody does mandatory code review process these days (they didn't earlier in my career) ... despite its lower velocity... because of lessons learned -- and yet now we're allowing agent coding to produce large quantities of code that doesn't even lend itself to review by the party in charge of producing it.

Re: Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

#799

Maybe I'm being too simplistic, but I think we're mixing two distinct debates. Today we have an extraordinary invention—comparable to the wheel in its time. That invention is: predictive inference over all human knowledge. Period. I don't like calling it "Artificial Intelligence" because it's not intelligence; it's a prediction system that can project responses by illuminating patterns across all human knowledge enca…

Very good point. With one caveat, though. Even though I was not there, I imagine that debates about the wheel were less heated than those we’re having about AI. I think this is because the latter is much more abstract, too close from our own consciousness etc. Wheels never challenged our place in the universe.

Totally agree with you. It makes me think that the wheel is a tool—technologically simple yet incredibly powerful—that helps humans overcome their limitations. Similarly, predictive inference is also a tool that extends our cognitive capacity by connecting all human knowledge. This tool is built upon other tools, all designed with the fundamental purpose of facilitating and empowering humans. The refinement of these aids is such that sometimes it evokes a mix of awe and a certain unease, due to how closely and powerfully these tools can influence our world and decisions. It is natural for such intensity to generate suspicion because the assistance becomes extremely sophisticated and gives the illusion of something “intelligent.”

Re: Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents

#800

To throw two pennies in the ocean of this comment section - I’d argue we still lack schematic-level understanding of what “intelligence” even is or how it works. Not to mention how it interfaces with “consciousness”, and their likely relation to each other. Which kinda invalidates a lot of predictions/discussions of “AGI” or even in general “AI”. How can one identify Artificial Intelligence/AGI without a modicum of u…

I did the math some years ago on how much computing is required to simulate a human brain - a brain has around 90 billion neurons with each neuron having an average of 7,000 connections to other neurons. Lets assume thats all we need. So what do we need to simulate a neuron, one cpu? or can we fit more than one in a CPU, lets say 100 so we're down to one billion cpu's and 70 trillion messages flying between them every what? mSec?.

Simulating that is a long way away - so the only possibility is that brains have some sort of redundancy and we can optimise that away. Though computers are faster than brains so its possible maybe, how much faster? So lets say a neuron does its work in a mS and we can simulate this work in 1uS, ie a thousand times faster - thats still a lot. Can we get to a million times faster? even then its still a lot. Not to mention the power required for this.

Even if we can fit a million neurons in a CPU thats still 90 million CPU's. Only 10% are active say, still 9 million CPU's, a thousand times faster - 9,000 cpu's nearly there but still a while away.

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