Trump wins presidency for second time
791–800 of 1001 posts
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#792Here's a European perspective that is somewhat pro-Trump, surprising as it may sound. I am Dutch and if someone would come along and promise the following: "We're gonna lower your taxes so you have more money to spend" "We're gonna take a sledge hammer to bloated policies so everything will run smoothly. Then we will build a million houses per year" I would very much consider voting for that person. That said, Trump…
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#793incumbents all around the world have performed terribly post COVID. UK, Canada, Japan, France, Italy, have all had landslide or shocking election results. Unsure what the general mood is that can lead to Keir Starmer dropping 30 points in approval months after winning in a landslide, but the mood of general discontent may be relevant in the United States as well. It seems whatever the status quo / incumbent advantage…
Trudeau has been PM since 2015 and the last election was in 2021. Sure, it looks like he's gonna lose the next one, but Canada hasn't had a oppositional landslide election.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#794If a person were to read the newspaper, they would figure out that Trump is a pathological liar, but most don't read a newspaper, and even among those that do, a lot of people read for confirmation rather than for understanding.
A lot of people get their information from Fox News, right wing radio, or right wing leaning podcasts. These information sources direct your focus to things which will make you angry about the things they want you to be angry about, and ignorant of things which maybe you should care about.
The most important things which we can all do is to take back control of our own focus and maintain our sense of curiosity and a dash of healthy skepticism. Ask why someone is trying to get you to focus on this or that. Ask why they never mention these other issues which may be equally or more important. Question your own biases and assumptions from time to time.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#795I then asked: "I can name 10 good things about Biden / Harris, can you do the same for Trump?" They couldn't say 1 positive reason that the ~ 75million voters are supporting Trump.
It's a good self-test of your bubble. Could you make a sound argument in favor of the opponent? If not, then you haven't spent enough time trying to understand the context.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#796Wouldn't it be amazing if we had a viable third party? I can dream, can't I?
The problem is that there's not much money in third party politics...
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#797Is there some analysis why the polls didn't correctly predict the result? A failure in representative polls like this should be avoided with statistical methods.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#798It's the economy, stupid: -Inflation is not prices; it is the rate of change in prices. Low inflation doesn't imply low prices. -Aggregate statistics don't necessarily explain individual outcomes. The Dems failed on this count massively, and have, for maybe the last 40 years, which is about the amount of time it took for my state to go from national bellwether (As goes Ohio, so goes the nation) to a reliably red stat…
That unoriginal theory as applied to this election appears to be based on exit polls. History has shown these polls are unreliable.
1. Pundits like the one who penned this quip^2 just aren't worth much anymore.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#799Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#800Ranked choice voting.