Earlier quoted context omitted.
In cases where you can't predict the future appropriately, sometimes it's better to make prudent decisions that help everyone instead of attempting to punish the sinful. Keep in mind that bank shareholders and senior management are going to get wiped out and fired.
I mostly agree with this, but I feel like the past 25 years or so, ever since "the Greenspan put", has just gone more and more in the direction of telling people that they don't need to worry about doing adequate risk assessments, because if you have powerful people that yell loud enough, and you can cause enough damage, that Washington will come to the rescue. Eventually, I just don't see this ending well. As someon…
Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
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Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#792Earlier quoted context omitted.
Well one way to do this would be to regulate banks more, like we used to: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/24/trump-signs-bank-bill-rollin... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glass–Steagall_legislation
You’re saying SVB should’ve been designated “too big to fail?”
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#793Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Yellen has just broadcast that FDIC insurance is essentially unlimited, as long as you can threaten wider disruption to the economy. I think everyone knew that already. Since 2008 at least. It's very possible that if this is not done, the only banks left at the end of the week will be the "too big to fail" ones. A domino effect is very hard to prevent when it's based entirely on consumer confidence and those consum…
> It's very possible that if this is not done, the only banks left at the end of the week will be the "too big to fail" ones It'll look not very much unlike Canadian domestic banking which has the "big 5" of banks: TD, CIBC, RBC, BMO, Scotiabank. But instead, with Wells Fargo, Citibank, BOA, etc. And everything else is really quite tiny in comparison.
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#794The discourse on this thread and Twitter is astoundingly inept. If the FDIC had permitted uninsured depositors to not be made whole, there would’ve been a systemic risk to American banking. Confidence in the banking system is critical to its well functioning. Quite literally banks are built by confidence that their depositors will get their money back. Discussing whether SVBs depositors should’ve taken a haircut miss…
Some might say that confidence created this situation in the first place.
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#795With this news, I'm opening a bank. Here is my business plan: 1. Make risky investments and offer better terms than other banks 2. Watch business flock to me 3. Get filthy rich on yearly bonuses 4. 10 years later my risky investments blow up (Make sure to sell stock before) 5. Get taken over by the FDIC 6. Don't return those years of bonuses 7. Let other banks pay for my wrongdoing with a "special assessment" 8. Walk…
Is this any different without steps 5 and 7? I don't understand how the FDIC actions change the incentives here.
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#796Yellen and the FDIC is in a tough spot. This is the important line, "Any losses to the Deposit Insurance Fund to support uninsured depositors will be recovered by a special assessment on banks, as required by law." Thus, on one hand, I'm glad they're doing this, as it should help prevent wider bank runs, and it ensures that banks are the ones that are actually paying for it. At the same time, this is yet another exam…
Banks have lost all excuses to be making money out of other people's deposits. If those deposits are guaranteed by the government, and backstopped by the government, then there's absolutely no reason banks should be able to invest any of them. There's absolutely no excuse left for why banks get to invest any of their clients money. They get free leverage from their clients for free. They can send it to zero and the e…
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#797Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#798It's a bailout. They're putting the cost, presently unknown and probably not huge, on the other banks. But the message to depositors everywhere, of every size, is "don't worry about your bank's solvency, we'll protect you". So market scrutiny is removed as a discipline on bank asset strategy. That leaves regulation as the only control. That politicizes and bureaucratizes bank lending. And the general presumption that…
Another concerning factor is that many large VC firms sent emails to their portfolio companies (hundreds or more at a time) warning them to withdraw funds, triggering the run. An alternative could have been for this group of already closely connected individuals to call an emergency meeting and agreeing to send the opposite message to their portfolio companies to avoid the crisis. Given SVBs issue was really about pr…
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#799It's a bailout. They're putting the cost, presently unknown and probably not huge, on the other banks. But the message to depositors everywhere, of every size, is "don't worry about your bank's solvency, we'll protect you". So market scrutiny is removed as a discipline on bank asset strategy. That leaves regulation as the only control. That politicizes and bureaucratizes bank lending. And the general presumption that…
> If you had the wit to think "hey, maybe I should be careful with $5 million" and bothered to put it in T-bills or an insured sweep, you're just a nerd who should know the Government will take care of such things. It creates the precisely wrong incentives. If you run startup and spend any time, effort, or money to mitigate these risks, you're being irresponsible. The Fed will bail you out, stop wasting your precious…
Re: Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
#800if this is the way we're going to behave, then cap the maximum size of accounts at the FDIC coverage limit (implement account software in Rust, not C, no overruns :) If you go over this amount, the bank should automatically create a new account for you and put the excess in there. done, you're 100% insured, we don't have to do anything special to protect you. . Probably that means (I don't know the regs) that the ban…