Open models by OpenAI

``` > "Bobs dad has five daughters, Lala, Lele, Lili, Lolo and ??? analysisThe question: "Bobs dad has five daughters, Lala, Lele, Lili, Lolo and ???". It's a common riddle. The answer is Bob? Actually "Bob's dad has five daughters: Lala, Lele, Lili, Lolo and..." The riddle is to trick: it's "Bob" himself is a daughter? Wait Bob's dad has five daughters: Lala, Lele, Lili, Lolo, and Bob? But Bob is a name often male. But the riddle says Bob's dad. So Bob is a person who has a dad, and that dad has five daughters. But Bob could be the fifth daughter? That would be weird: Bob is likely the name of the fifth daughter. So answer: Bob. But sometimes the answer is "Lulu" or "Bob's sister"? Let's think. The riddle is a trick: It's "Bobs dad has five d aughters: Lala, Lele, Lili, Lolo, and ... Bob." Because the riddle begins with "Bobs dad has five daughters" implying Bob is one of the daughters. So the missing daughter is Bob. So answer: "Bob".

Thus answer: Bob. But sometimes the riddle goes "Bob's dad has five daughters, Lala, Lele, Lili, Lolo, and ... Who is the fifth?" The answer: Bob (the name of the person speaking, "Bobs"). But in riddle it's "Bobs dad has five daughters , Lala, Lele, Lili, Lolo and ???". The missing name is "Bob." So answer: Bob.

Thus the answer: Bob. Or maybe it's "Boba"? But no.

Hence answer: Bob.

We'll answer accordingly.assistantfinalThe missing daughter is *Bob*. The riddle starts with “Bob’s dad …” so Bob himself is the fifth daughter. ```

I, a British liberal leftie who considers this win one of the signs of the coming apocalypse, can tell you why:

Charlie Kirk may be an odious little man but he ran an exceptional ground game, Trump fully captured the Libertarian Party (and amazingly delivered on a promise to them), Trump was well-advised by his son to campaign on Tiktok, etc. etc.

Basically what happened is the 2024 version of the "fifty state strategy", except instead of states, they identified micro-communities, particularly among the extremely online, and crafted messages for each of those. Many of which are actually inconsistent -- their messaging to muslim and jewish communities was inconsistent, their messaging to spanish-speaking communities was inconsistent with their mainstream message etc.

And then a lot of money was pushed into a few battleground states by Musk's operation.

It was a highly technical, broad-spectrum win, built on relentless messaging about persecution etc., and he had the advantage of running against someone he could stereotype very successfully to his base and whose candidacy was late.

Another way to look at why it is not extremely weird, is to look at history. Plenty of examples of jailed or exiled monarchs returning to power, failed coup leaders having another go, criminalised leaders returning to elected office, etc., etc.

Once it was clear Trump still retained control over the GOP in 2022, his re-election became at least quite likely.

I am surprised the grandparent poster didn't think Trump's win was at least entirely possible in January 2024, and I am on the same side of the Atlantic. All the indicators were in place.

There was basically no chance he'd actually be in prison by November anyway, because he was doing something else extremely successfully: delaying court cases by playing off his obligations to each of them.

Back then I thought his chances of winning were above 60%, and the betting markets were never ever really in favour of him losing.

(Worth noting that "run it locally" is already Canva/Affinity's approach for Affinity Photo. Instead of a cloud-based model like Photoshop, their optional AI tools run using a local model you can download. Which I feel is the only responsible solution.)