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El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

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Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#781
post #303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

While that's conceivable, Merkle-graph systems like Bitcoin are surprisingly resilient. It's been almost 20 years since MD5 was thoroughly broken, but still nobody has published a second preimage attack. For SHA2 and SHA3 nobody has even published a collision attack. And SHA-256 (what Bitcoin uses) is post-quantum-safe (Grover's algorithm still needs 2¹²⁸ time) though AFAIK there isn't yet a post-quantum cryptosystem…

To me its inevitable. And just a matter of time. Any year there could be a breakthrough that quickly leads to missing math.

They would just patch the software.

Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#782

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There seems to be two concepts that are getting conflated. One concept is that BTC is a good investment. Historically that is undeniable. The other concept is that it is a good medium of exchange. I think that is not so true because 1) its neither cheap nor easy to buy a lot of things with it 2) a thing that goes up in value is not a good medium of exchange because people don't want to spend it, they want to hoard it…

> a thing that goes up in value is not a good medium of exchange because people don't want to spend it, they want to hoard it. So... traditional money is good because it forces poor people to spend it? Rich people have no problem converting cash into assets that go up in value and holding onto them converting back at need. It's only poor people that have to hold comparatively high percentage of their assets in someth…

Yes, exactly. It forces the poor (and the rich) to spend it.

When you take out a mortgage on a house its partly because someone took cash they received and deposited it in the bank. If they kept the cash the bank would not have reserves to loan.

Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#783

Earlier quoted context omitted.

LOL I have $1,000. I believe that tomorrow, my $1,000 will be worth $2,000. Why would I ever spend my money? Hence, economy freezes. This is so plainly obvious to everyone except crypto zealots I literally gasped seeing your comment.

Because I need to buy food, clothes, pay rent, and replace my laptop that just died. And I need to do this today or i’ll starve on the street. I could delay buying a new laptop, but that’s a personal preference. I still need one at some point. That’s why I would spend my money, because there are things I need or want.

Right, you'll spend the absolute bare minimum and proactively invest approximately never.

This is bad.

In fact, you'll only ever invest in highly speculative investments because they're the only things that might possibly justify the opportunity cost of your currency just accruing value.

This is bad.

Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#784
post #734

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, my point was that there are many reasons someone might spend money today that might be better off saved for the future, however much it may increase in value.

> there are many reasons someone might spend money today Yes, because that's the value of money . Bitcoin isn't money. It's a speculative asset precisely because people are hoping its value will only go up.

> It's a speculative asset precisely because people are hoping its value will only go up.

This is the same for any currency trading.

Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#785

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, i really dislike bitcoin, but have to admit, it has been a very profitable investment for a lot of people (and still hasn't completely crashed like expected)... ... although as a form of currency (as opposed to an investment) for El Salvador, it looks like it's a failure

It’s around 100k USD apiece, +875% in the last 5y, +340% over last 2y, +130% over last 1y… I’d also qualify this as “not quite crashed yet” I dont know what the future hodls but it’s looking pretty good for bitcoin so far

> I dont know what the future hodls

I see you.

Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#786

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It doesn't have to be "magic" that causes it to go up forever. People need a way to put large amounts of money in places that are difficult for governments to get to and /or easy to move across jurisdictional borders. Think: money launderers, people that are worried their corrupt government will seize their assets, people hiding money from someone they owe like a spouse in a divorce. These all seem to me to be reason…

But that doesn't distinguish Bitcoin from other cryptocurrencies. The thing that distinguishes Bitcoin is fame, pure and simple. Everyone has heard of it.

That's true, but you could say the same thing about a Van Gough painting. There are lots of old pretty paintings. But if you paid $xxm for your Van Gough you can be pretty sure its still worth a lot in ten years. There are no guarantees. But that's not just true of Van Goughs and bitcoins.

Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#787

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the USD was such a good currency, why does the US operate at a deficit?

> why does the US operate at a deficit? are you talking about a trade deficit (the US operated at a trade deficit virtually the entire time it grew from 13 former colonies to the post WWII economic colossus. Lending money to a growing economy so it can turn around and purchase the equipment you are selling which it will use to be more productive is the secret sauce of a growing economy) or are you talking about a bud…

This is essentially my point, I guess too briefly put- a country getting a loan is not an indictment of that country's currency; that is a huge leap to conclusions as evidenced by the world's best currency being maintained by a country that is borrowing 5% of its GDP each year.

Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#788

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I highly doubt their BTC reserve is connected to the internet.

It's just a private key. You don't "connect" private keys to the Internet. You just have poor processes keeping it hidden while not losing it. I'm surprised you think El Salvador can do that.

In order for transactions to be signed with the private key, the device holding them has to be connected to the internet, or at least be able to interface with another device that is. It is highly likely that anything involving their BTC reserves requires someone to be physically present at some sort of facility and it is 100% not available for hackers to just siphon whenever they wish with a virus. If possible, it would at least require physical infiltration.

Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#789
post #647

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean, what I'm about is really the same, just the other way round. Countries usually erase zeroes after hyperinflation adds them, cryptocoins can just add extra zeroes due to deflation. No change in value, just higher granularity. The rest left me puzzled, can you elaborate? Why should the money holder do anything productive? Why getting richer and richer becomes something bad when we go crypto?

> Why should the money holder do anything productive? Why getting richer and richer becomes something bad when we go crypto? This question works better the other way round. Why should people that do all the work and take all the investment risks to make the riches get continually decreasing returns on their efforts whilst the people that sit and HODL get continually increasing returns on doing nothing?

Because people are willing to pay more. Why should I make money because my house is worth more than it was? Because people are willing to pay more. There's no more "should" required than that.

Re: El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender

#790

Earlier quoted context omitted.

deflation is fine for an economy. inflation is disastrous for an economy. the people in charge of the money printers are trying to keep you confused. don’t buy it.

LOL I have $1,000. I believe that tomorrow, my $1,000 will be worth $2,000. Why would I ever spend my money? Hence, economy freezes. This is so plainly obvious to everyone except crypto zealots I literally gasped seeing your comment.

computers have experienced rapid deflation in the previous decades. did that prevent people from buying computers? no, obviously not.

of course you are just trolling ("LOL") and you are incurious to any evidence or argument that contradicts your straight-from-cable-news talking points.

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