The Case That A.I. Is Thinking

> How does Claude write rhyming poetry? Consider this ditty:

> He saw a carrot and had to grab it,

> His hunger was like a starving rabbit

> To write the second line, the model had to satisfy two constraints at the same time: the need to rhyme (with "grab it"), and the need to make sense (why did he grab the carrot?). Our guess was that Claude was writing word-by-word without much forethought until the end of the line, where it would make sure to pick a word that rhymes. We therefore expected to see a circuit with parallel paths, one for ensuring the final word made sense, and one for ensuring it rhymes.

> Instead, we found that Claude plans ahead. Before starting the second line, it began "thinking" of potential on-topic words that would rhyme with "grab it". Then, with these plans in mind, it writes a line to end with the planned word.

[https://www.anthropic.com/research/tracing-thoughts-language...]

I have had this conversation too many times on HN. What I find astounding is the simultaneous confidence and ignorance on the part of many who claim LLMs are intelligent. That, and the occultism surrounding them. Those who have strong philosophical reasons for thinking otherwise are called "knee-jerk". Ad hominem dominates. Dunning-Kruger strikes again.

So LLMs produce output that looks like it could have been produced by a human being. Why would it therefore follow that it must be intelligent? Behaviorism is a non-starter, as it cannot distinguish between simulation and reality. Materialism [2] is a non-starter, because of crippling deficiencies exposed by such things as the problem of qualia...

Of course - and here is the essential point - you don't even need very strong philosophical chops to see that attributing intelligence to LLMs is simply a category mistake. We know what computers are, because they're defined by a formal model (or many equivalent formal models) of a syntactic nature. We know that human minds display intentionality[0] and a capacity for semantics. Indeed, it is what is most essential to intelligence.

Computation is a formalism defined specifically to omit semantic content from its operations, because it is a formalism of the "effective method", i.e., more or less procedures that can be carried out blindly and without understanding of the content it concerns. That's what formalization allows us to do, to eliminate the semantic and focus purely on the syntactic - what did people think "formalization" means? (The inspiration were the human computers that used to be employed by companies and scientists for carrying out vast but boring calculations. These were not people who understood, e.g., physics, but they were able to blindly follow instructions to produce the results needed by physicists, much like a computer.)

The attribution of intelligence to LLMs comes from an ignorance of such basic things, and often an irrational and superstitious credulity. The claim is made that LLMs are intelligent. When pressed to offer justification for the claim, we get some incoherent, hand-wavy nonsense about evolution or the Turing test or whatever. There is no comprehension visible in the answer. I don't understand the attachment here. Personally, I would find it very noteworthy if some technology were intelligent, but you don't believe that computers are intelligent because you find the notion entertaining.

LLMs do not reason. They do not infer. They do not analyze. They do not know, anymore than a book knows the contents on its pages. The cause of a response and the content of a response is not comprehension, but a production of uncomprehended tokens using uncomprehended rules from a model of highly-calibrated token correlations within the training corpus. It cannot be otherwise.[3]

[0] For the uninitiated, "intentionality" does not specifically mean "intent", but the capacity for "aboutness". It is essential to semantic content. Denying this will lead you immediately into similar paradoxes that skepticism [1] suffers from.

[1] For the uninitiated, "skepticism" here is not a synonym for critical thinking or verifying claims. It is a stance involving the denial of the possibility of knowledge, which is incoherent, as it presupposes that you know that knowledge is impossible.

[2] For the uninitiated, "materialism" is a metaphysical position that claims that of the dualism proposed by Descartes (which itself is a position riddled with serious problems), the res cogitans or "mental substance" does not exist; everything is reducible to res extensa or "extended substance" or "matter" according to a certain definition of matter. The problem of qualia merely points out that the phenomena that Descartes attributes exclusively to the former cannot by definition be accounted for in the latter. That is the whole point of the division! It's this broken view of matter that people sometimes read into scientific results.

[3] And if it wasn't clear, symbolic methods popular in the 80s aren't it either. Again, they're purely formal. You may know what the intended meaning behind and justification for a syntactic rule is - like modus ponens in a purely formal sense - but the computer does not.

And then you have the people who go out of their way to be hateful towards them, as if they were alive and deserving of abuse. It's one thing to treat a device like an Alexa as just a tool with no feelings. It is another to outright call it hateful sexist slurs, of which I'm sadly familiar with. This low empathy group scares me the most because with the way they treat objects, well let me just say they're not so nice with other people they think are beneath them, like wait staff or call center employees. I'd go so far and say if the law allowed it they'd be even be violent with those they deem inferior.

Regardless if LLM are thinking or not I feel I get better responses from the models by being polite. Not because they appreciate it or have an awareness, but simply because the data they are trained on includes samples where people who are nice to others get better responses than those who were nasty when asking questions.

Besides, if one day AGI is born into existence, a lot of people will not recognize it as such. There are humans who don't believe other people are sentient (we're all NPCs to them), or even don't believe animals have feelings. We'll have credible experts denying the evidence until it bites us all in the arse. Why wait to act ethically?

That's the learning-part I was talking about. Which is mainly supported by humans at the moment, which why I called it proto-intelligence.

> If you don't have a deterministic algorithm to process it, it isn't understanding.

Commercial AIs like ChatGPT do have the ability to call programs and integrate the result in their processing. Those AIs are not really just LLMs. The results are still rough and poor, but the concept is there and growing.