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U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

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Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#751
post #735

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's an official statement, it just doesn't say that the goal is occupying 100% of Ukraine.

The idea that Ukraine would reduce the capabilities of their armed forces after 8 years of war with Russia in the separatists and constant training with NATO is nonsensical. They wouldn't have spent 8 years preparing for this war if they would just throw it all away. Clearly those years training weren't wasted because Russia has barely made any gains in the past month. Everyone was speculating the whole government wo…

We're going a bit off-topic now, but I mostly agree with you if the situation remains stalled like it is now.

On the other hand, if Russia is able to make significant advances in the coming months, and Ukraine is at a point where it cannot meaningfully defend anymore, it seems the rational choice would be to negotiate and accept a reduction in their armed forces (while maybe retaining what territories they still have under control) instead of falling for the sunken cost fallacy and trying to defend a lost position just to avoid "wasting" 8 years of NATO training.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#752

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And eat microplastics? No thanks.

Do you think the steak is microplastic free? It's not: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/jul/08/micropla... .

That's a fallacy - microplastic contamination isn't a boolean, more like a floating point.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#753
post #416

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But when you think about it, what’s the benefit of driving? For reasonably short drives you don’t save much time with parking in cities and you don’t get any exercise.

Air conditioning

And shielding from the UV index 11 sun.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#754
post #386

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Where do you get this "fact" that Russia won't surrender? More powerful armies have been forced to retreat from unsuccessful invasions.

I dont see any way Ukraine can win. There’s a lot of real information out there (military reports). I’m not going to dive into that and debate it. There are also many channels covering this topic mostly neutral: Here’s one: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=KILAY2miQdI Here’s another: https://m.youtube.com/c/AlexanderMercourisReal In short, for Russia to lose would be the end of Russia. They have to be seen as hitting th…

Here's a curious moment from your linked video: https://youtu.be/KILAY2miQdI?t=373

> I believe -- and this is a personal belief here at MFAN [the channel name] -- that the United States is actively flying both F-22s and F-35s -- stealth aircraft -- over the combat area. And now, are they dropping ordnance on Russian targets? Difficult to say

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#755
post #673
post #416

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But when you think about it, what’s the benefit of driving? For reasonably short drives you don’t save much time with parking in cities and you don’t get any exercise.

Your car is much less likely to be stolen while you're shopping?

This is the answer. There's no equivalent of "grand theft auto" for bicycles, in fact... law enforcement simply doesn't care most of the time despite usage of things like AirTags or video evidence.

If bikes could park like cars and be safe, a lot more people would use bikes for errands. As it is I only use my bike (even my cheap one) when I can keep eyes on it from the store.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#756
post #751

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The idea that Ukraine would reduce the capabilities of their armed forces after 8 years of war with Russia in the separatists and constant training with NATO is nonsensical. They wouldn't have spent 8 years preparing for this war if they would just throw it all away. Clearly those years training weren't wasted because Russia has barely made any gains in the past month. Everyone was speculating the whole government wo…

We're going a bit off-topic now, but I mostly agree with you if the situation remains stalled like it is now. On the other hand, if Russia is able to make significant advances in the coming months, and Ukraine is at a point where it cannot meaningfully defend anymore, it seems the rational choice would be to negotiate and accept a reduction in their armed forces (while maybe retaining what territories they still have…

A reduction in armed forces will not happen because all it does is weaken you for the next invasion. Russia will not be content with just the eastern parts of Ukraine. They need to take the entirety of it, or else the war would be pointless. A reduction in armed forces will never be on the table because it just guarantees a war you will lose.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#757
post #417

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, but you have adjust those earnings for inflation... It's even more complex because inflation is variable across industries.

Their increased costs are already factored in because we're talking about profits though so I'm not sure how much use deducting that again would be for determining that.

It is not about deducting but adjusting. In an inflating currency with a constant profit margin, you are basically always going to report "record profits" because a 10% margin on $11 is nominally more than a 10% margin on $10 from a year ago but if the currency inflated 10% in that year, your profit isn't really record because it buys you the same amount of goods and services as it did a year ago.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#758

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or pull your generator out and power your cooler and other essentials. Much easier than trying to get and find dry ice in an emergency.

Where does one normally find dry ice in the US, even when there's no emergency? Is it a commonly stocked thing?

In my local grocery store it is the Fish / Meat department that has the dry ice.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#759

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So I know I can make 65 an hour with side jobs. I've got a few side gigs where I can set my own schedule and work those hours at any time. I could probably push higher if I wanted (75-100 an hour). When I need to pad my savings I cut some costs but mostly I just work extra hours in side gigs. I couldnt imagine its worth going to multiple grocery stores to compare prices. Shop at 1 store, pay more for some items, work…

There's a lot of friction to finding and landing side jobs. Ones that let you hop in just whenever you feel like it and do one hour of work, with no commitment to minimum hours per week? And that you can put in a single productive hour every so often, without ramp-up time eating that entire hour with nothing to show for it? And that pays enough to make it worth it (i.e. not Mechanical Turk or whatever)? I don't even…

>I don't even know what such an ultra-flexible, low-context (= near-zero ramp-up time even if you only do it an hour or two a week, and some weeks not at all) but still high-paid gig would look like, or how to go about finding it.

There isn't a lot of daylight between low-paid, mostly uninteresting gig work and a real side job that takes some marketing, sales, avoiding time-wasting people who want to low-ball you, chasing payment, and some expectation of ongoing commitment.

I do have something drop in my lap now and then from someone I know, e.g. ghostwriting something. And that's fine. It's good money for maybe a day's work overall. But you can have tight deadlines and if you just wait for the phone to ring, you're probably not going to get a lot of that sort of thing.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#760
post #516

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What has gotten cheaper?

Gas went down since last month. But the point isn't specifics. The point is that the existence of some things that went up by more than 8.5% over last year is not meaningful evidence that the 8.5% number is a lie.

Gas is still up for the year and only went down after hitting it's record peak, and it's the first month to be down after that crazy near 2 year run up from $1.80~

Name one other thing that went down. Literally everything is 20% more expensive.

- edit (post limit) -

Not being pedantic and yes I know monthly inflation fluctuates, some things are seasonal. I'm mainly talking about yearly inflation. Name one thing that is cheaper this year.

I'm genuinely curious because looking through my expenses there's not a single thing I can see that has.

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