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Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

cnn.com

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Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#741

Earlier quoted context omitted.

English isn't my first language, but isn't "appears to be" inconclusive? It is or it isn't, "appears to be" is still too vague for my liking.

It's inconclusive but only a little. There's a spectrum of conclusitivity through "possibly is", "might be", "could be", "very well might", "looks like", "appears to be", "almost certainly is", "is".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Words_of_estimative_probabilit...

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#742
post #665
post #661

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is some pretty compelling evidence that it was Ukraine. The CIA even tipped Germany off about the potential saboteurs https://archive.is/dPdoX

What exactly is the evidence there? I read the article and all I see is hearsay. German investigations found that the Andromeda trail leads to Russia[0]. [0] https://www.tagesspiegel.de/internationales/nord-stream-spur...

The "investigations" you reference were by German media, whereas the wsj article was allegedly from German authorities. Moreover, while you accuse the wsj article as "hearsay", the same is true for the tagesspiegel you linked. The crux of that article's claim is that the company that rented the yacht had Crimean owners with ties to Russia, but no proof was presented. We're asked to trust the journalists on that, just as we're asked to trust the wsj journalists on the facts of the German authorities' investigation.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#743

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> people are thirsty for War, looks like.. Nobody in the West wants any war. The usual tactics of Putin is to do what he wants whether on his or foreign soil, using poisoning etc. in a way that everybody knows it's him but he will politely deny. It's a kind of a silly game, the GRU could just have put a bullet in Lytvynenko's head but they choose a slow death to show off.

I’m not sure that no one wants a war. I can see some groups profiting from it.. I see some politicians being quite blunt about it—some in Germany, for instance, who are well-known lobbyists for the defense industry. Biden’s decision to allow the use of long-range weapons seems like a tactical political move designed to make Trump’s life significantly harder from day one. It feels irresponsible, as it appears that war…

A war in europe is not going to be profitable squared against the damage it will do to the global economy. Thats why the middle eastern wars were attractive for American coalition members. Defense contractors profit. You can demo new tech and tactics. And whatever damage you do in that corner of the world won’t really impact anything at home.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#744
post #567

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> people are thirsty for War, looks like Russians, yes

I wish I lived in a world where it's so easy to know who is good and who is evil and to pinpoint them so well.

They murdered an entire town. Well several. Raped and tortured those they didn't kill. Kidnap children to Russianize them. Torture and kill POWs. The only difference between them and the Germans is that they haven't carried out industrial slaughter of Jews.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#745

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Doubtful. He needed another 8 years after an annexing Crimea to build up the Russian army? Why would he need cash reserves if he has a toadie in the white house? Imagine how quickly ukriane would have collapsed if the US was not providing support, and the US was preventing European nations from providing support. And then imagine how well off Russia would be if there were no sanctions placed on it by America. All in…

Why would he need cash reserves if he has a toadie in the white house? You may want to think about the chronology again. And then ask yourself if your statement above still makes sense.

You're saying Russia couldn't have invaded Ukraine successfully in 2018, if the US and Europe were not providing support, and no sanctions were levied on Russia?

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#746

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The Dutch military intelligence agency MIVD had infiltrants in Ukraine after MH-17 of a plot to blow up the Nord Stream, they tipped off the CIA, who in turn warned Ukraine not to do it, three months before it happened; source [0], translation [1]. Germany has issued an arrest warrant for a Ukranian national [2] who along with two accomplices was on board the yacht Andromeda, which was located at the blast site days…

> The two other suspects, a married couple who do not have warrants issued in their names, have denied knowing Z. and said that they were on vacation in Bulgaria when the attack took place. :-/ So, one diver moved and installed 500kg of explosives in 4 places in front of a married couple?

>So, one diver moved and installed 500kg of explosives in 4 places in front of a married couple?

Are you taking the married couples' claims at face value? The article mentions two divers, not one.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#747

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Of course, Russians used false flag as usual, to blame Ukraine, but Ukraine doesn't hide successful attacks on Russian infrastructure, because Ukraine has legal right to defend itself. This is completely wrong. It involved German/Russian infrastructure, and if confirmed, it would rank as the worst terrorist act in the history of the FRG (Germany) since the Munich Olympic Games. In fact, it could, should, or would l…

So, this is one man, who bought, moved, and then installed 500kg of explosives in 4 places in front of a married couple, right?

>in front of a married couple

Is this supposed to imply the story is implausible because the couple wasn't in on the plot and would rat the third guy out? If so, all 3 are suspects and presumably are in on the plot, so this argument falls flat on its face.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#748
post #599

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wait. Wasn't it Ukraine that blew up the pipeline? I'm all for them defending themselves. Are you saying it was actually Russia that did it? They blew up own pipeline?

There's no actual evidence that Ukraine did it, lest alone solid proof. Russia is a probable candidate.

Why is "solid proof" required for the claim that Ukrainian nationals did it, but "probable candidate" suffices for Russia?

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#749
post #579

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Germany’s defense minister says damage to 2 Baltic data cables appears to be sabotage" - https://apnews.com/article/germany-finland-baltic-data-cable...

He just wants more funds for his department.

Reflexive cynicism about the military isn't as warranted in 2024 as it might have been a decade ago. And it wasn't really warranted a decade ago either, when Russia was blowing up Czech ammunition depots, airliners full of Dutch people, conducting assassinations in the center of Berlin, and sending "little green men" to Ukraine.

It could be an accident, sure, but suspicion of sabotage is not paranoia.

And also, like, the German government (and European governments generally) DOES need to spend more on their military. They underinvested for decades and are now stuck needing to catch up very quickly.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#750
post #643

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Estonian and the Finnish authorities both shrugged and didn't really care" Is this true? Or Are we now in a world where we are all living in fear of actual military retribution for speaking out?

NATO countries don't or barely respond because subversion requires a response. Russia is constantly pulling low hanging fruit hoping for as much commotion, fear, etc. It's party of their destabilization and subversion tactics. This is why authorities are not loud, but calm & stoic. And it works, very few people around me are aware of the fact that Russia has blown up NATO ammunition depots, liquidated politicians and…

> Russia has blown up NATO ammunition depots

Can you give a link to some information on this please?

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