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How to Think for Yourself

paulgraham.com

741–750 of 874 posts

Re: How to Think for Yourself

#741
post #336

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Sorry but I strongly disagree with your assertion that building a business is a zero-sum game. It isn't either/or. Nearly all businesses do "create value". Nearly all businesses also compete for a limited supply of customers, because nearly all markets can produce more outputs than are needed. The ratio between the two matters a lot to the character of the company.

I agree with you completely. There are certainly rent-seeking businesses that do not create value (or net value?). And the majority of businesses are competing in (disrupting) existing markets. Even if they don't increase total consumer spending by offering better products and winning market share, they do increase consumer _wealth_. I'm glad I can buy a 65" 4k TV for as much as my parents paid for a 15" CRT 20 years…

>>Even if they don't increase total consumer spending by offering better products and winning market share, they do increase consumer _wealth_. I'm glad I can buy a 65" 4k TV for as much as my parents paid for a 15" CRT 20 years ago, adjusted for inflation.

I think this depends of how are you calculating the cost of things. In this day in age, misery wages and huge negative externalities have more to do with cheap clothes and appliances than the sewing machine, imho. The later mostly contributed on how many of them you can make by the second, but you still need farms of people to work them.

Re: How to Think for Yourself

#742

Am I the only one is getting pretty bored of "formula for success" content? This essay and other's like it, without evidence or data, implies that some of us know the formula for success. I get it, the things that change convention are unconventional at first. This is the definition of unconventional. I agree with the general vector of his essay but this is just boring to me. Here is my formula for success (in case a…

This article is self-contradictory. The premise of the article is that you have to be unconventional and do things others aren't do to be successful. And then the author "proves" the premise by saying, "just like all these other successful people did!"

The formulae are all driven by survivorship bias anyway.

Re: How to Think for Yourself

#743
post #421

Over the years, I've found PG's essays much less compelling. As some sibling comments here have noted, there's a level of self-assuredness that feels increasingly disconnected from reality, like PG's become a synecdoche of SF VC-fuelled startup culture as a whole. Whether that's him changing, or me, or the world, I'm not certain--but I still look forward to them simply because the ensuing discussions here on HN tend…

Just so I'm clear on this, how do you pronounce "synecdouche"?

I recall my high school english teacher saying it once: sin-ECK-duh-kee

Re: How to Think for Yourself

#744
post #653

Accept the duality of your human nature. You think as a collective and as an individual at the same time. It's a matter of budget. When you do things that don't matter too much to you, you are damn happy to think exactly like the next guy, reusing the existing knowledge as is without a second thought. For instance: how do you boil an egg? For all I care, I leave it in boiled water for 10 minutes. I am more than happy…

Boil it for 8 min 30 seconds. Cool it in cold water for 60 seconds right after.

+ / - X seconds (to taste!)

Re: How to Think for Yourself

#745
When I read PG’s essays I find they are subconsciously trying to pitch YC. How everyone PG knows including him are very special and deserving. This clouds my experience of reading his essays. I am unable to derive any value from them because of this.

The main reason for this is that I see a big divide between what he says about success people and what I have observed. Success has no set pattern. It can come from a huge variety of reasons.

I really hope this is not koolaid because a lot of young people are drinking it. It would suck if it was all just to suck them into applying for YC.

Re: How to Think for Yourself

#746
post #632

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Many successful people overrate their personal characteristics and underrate the degree to which they were merely in the right place at the right time and such. Fortune favors the prepared, of course, but I personally believe there are far more people in the world who are adequately prepared for success who do not succeed because they are under-resourced or poorly connected.

> which they were merely in the right place at the right time and such. If you are successful several times against the odds it's probably not just mere coincidence anymore. You know, stats.

Hard to say. There are knock-on effects from being highly successful. If you win the lottery and subsequently become a highly successful investor, for example, there’s a clear element of chance. You may have the latent abilities of an investor and the skills to fully realize them, but without the opportunity afforded by a windfall you would never find out.

Re: How to Think for Yourself

#747
post #632

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Many successful people overrate their personal characteristics and underrate the degree to which they were merely in the right place at the right time and such. Fortune favors the prepared, of course, but I personally believe there are far more people in the world who are adequately prepared for success who do not succeed because they are under-resourced or poorly connected.

only when the tide turns, you get to see who was swimming naked. luck plays an important part, but not everyone realizes it or admits it.

And yet... those who stay in the game and who try new things regularly get “lucky” while those who quit, don’t develop and learn from a process, and who try the same methods over and over don’t get lucky.

It is far too simple to say that it is only luck. Persistence and good processes often lead to “luck”.

Re: How to Think for Yourself

#749
There is some really, really good advice in here for those folks who might be struggling with identity and self-valuation in today's excessively connected culture. There are a couple of indelicate points, however, that I think bear addressing.

"Independent-mindedness" is a very, very leaky abstraction. It is certainly not a scalar quantity (as Paul seems to suggest), nor is it something one is born with. At best, it is a measurement of distance from the cultural mean, and culture is n-dimensional.

Culture is also contextual. Paul trades a little paint with this concept but fails to impact it fully. If you're trying to expand your understanding of the world (and consequently your ability to reason about it, which will help you think for yourself), one of the best things you can do is to travel / move / change jobs / insert contextual mix-up here.

He touches on some qualities adjacent to these concepts with stunningly good advice. Think for yourself. Be curious. Ask what's missing. Step back and see how people think. However, he notably avoids giving a name to one of the most important components of curiosity; that of humility. He talks around it quite a bit - but somehow misses calling it out explicitly. This feels like the kind of thing that someone of his considerable success might take a little for granted. Not that he doesn't have it himself, I cannot make an assessment as to that one way or the other.

This leads me to one of the things I found most dissonant about this piece; Paul absolutely nails it when he talks about having sovereignty over your thoughts. In the context of an article that's about "how to make it". Pressure to succeed financially or to gain social recognition is one of the most deleterious forces to a diverse culture of thought. Forgive me for getting a little political here, but IMHO it's the core reason that capitalism has an upper bound. Fiscal incentives are by their nature (and design) reductive.

From there, I have a couple of other, relatively minor, gripes. I'm as uncomfortable as many of the rest of you with how specific the prescriptions for "thinking for yourself" get. Furthermore, the idea that you have to insulate yourself against those who are different from you (even if you perceive that difference to be I'm weird and they're not) is fundamentally antithetical to expanding your worldview.

That being said, if you're struggling with feeling like the world is trying to put you in a box, the things Paul suggests here are helpful: Indulge your curiosity. Don't hang out with people who get down on you for being you. Humor and ingenuity are sibling concepts. Don't participate in intellectual fashion.

Most importantly, don't let people tell you how to think.

Re: How to Think for Yourself

#750

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, I get the sociological aspect, but I don't think I've heard someone use the word nerd for at least a decade. It's a blast from the past.

The fact it's 2020 seems to escape a good portion of people in their 40's who still think its 2004 and that they're hip and young. I can only think this is a similar cultural ossification for older people. I know that's an issue for me because I recently got introduced to a bunch of YouTuber's with millions of followers that I'd never heard of. I actually find that level of cultural disconnect a bit worrying.

> I recently got introduced to a bunch of YouTuber's with millions of followers that I'd never heard of

Would you mention few as example?

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