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GPT-5

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Re: GPT-5

#722

The marketing copy and the current livestream appear tautological: "it's better because it's better." Not much explanation yet why GPT-5 warrants a major version bump. As usual, the model (and potentially OpenAI as a whole) will depend on output vibe checks.

When they were about to release gpt4 I remember the hype was so high there were a lot of AGI debates. But then was quickly out-shadowed by more advanced models.

People knew that gpt5 wouldn’t be an AGI or even close to that. It’s just an updated version. GptN would become more or leas like an annual release.

Re: GPT-5

#724

It is frequently suggested that once one of the AI companies reaches an AGI threshold, they will take off ahead of the rest. It's interesting to note that at least so far, the trend has been the opposite: as time goes on and the models get better, the performance of the different company's gets clustered closer together. Right now GPT-5, Claude Opus, Grok 4, Gemini 2.5 Pro all seem quite good across the board (ie the…

Perhaps they’ve just reached the limit of what LLMs can achieve?

Re: GPT-5

#726
post #45

Does this mean AGI is cancelled? 2027 hard takeoff was just sci-fi?

Obviously, they haven't figured out anything remotely sentient. It's cool as fuck, but it's not actually thinking. Thinking requires learning. You could show it a cat and it would still tell you it's a dog, no matter how many times you try and tell it.

Re: GPT-5

#727

GPT-5 knowledge cutoff: Sep 30, 2024 (10 months before release). Compare that to Gemini 2.5 Pro knowledge cutoff: Jan 2025 (3 months before release) Claude Opus 4.1: knowledge cutoff: Mar 2025 (4 months before release) https://platform.openai.com/docs/models/compare https://deepmind.google/models/gemini/pro/ https://docs.anthropic.com/en/docs/about-claude/models/overv...

with web search, is knowledge cutoff really relevant anymore? Or is this more of a comment on how long it took them to do post-training?

Yes, totally. The model will not know about new versions of libraries, features recently deprecated, etc..

Re: GPT-5

#728

I'm not really convinced, the benchmark blunder was really strange but the demos were quite underwhelming, and it appears this was reflected by a huge market correction in the betting markets as to who will have the best AI by end of the year. What excites me now is that Gemini 3.0 or some answer from Google is coming soon and that will be the one I will actually end up using. It seems like the last mover in the LLM…

Polymarket betters are not impressed. Based upon the market odds, OpenAI had a 35% chance to have the best model (at year end), but those odds have dropped to 18% today. (I'm mostly making this comment to document what happened for the history books.) https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model...

The Musk effect is pretty crazy. Or is there another explanation for why x can compete with Google?

Re: GPT-5

#730
My first impressions: not impressed at all. I tried using this for my daily tasks today and for writing it was very poor. For this task o3 was much better. I'm not planning on using this model in the upcoming days, I'll keep using Gemini 2.5 Pro, Claude Sonnet, and o3.
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