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California Approves Statewide Rent Control

nytimes.com

721–730 of 1001 posts

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#721

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, just leaving them vacant while the value increases.

SF Metro vacancy rate is below the national average for large metro areas.[0] [0] https://www.sfchronicle.com/realestate/article/An-estimated-...

And if those markets were the same except for the rent control rules, we could conclude that rent control doesn't increase the vacancy rate. But they aren't.

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#722
post #628
post #595

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am a CA landlord of a single house. Keeping track of “market rate” is an annoying exercise and I tend to just leave the rate unchanged for multiple years (3-5) then bring it up in one go. The last time I did this the rent increased ~12%. Before, the tenant was happy because they got below market rent for 4 years, and I was happy because I could defer pricing work without long term penalty or risking a move-out duri…

You can still do it that way. But instead of raising the rent 12% in one year, you can just raise it by 7% one year and then by 4% the next year. The tenant still gets below market rent for 4 years, you and can defer pricing work for as long as you want without penalty or risking a move out during a busy year. I think you might be overly worried for your situation. Your 12% example is an amortized difference of at mo…

An increase by 7% followed by 4% is an increase of 11.28%, not 12%.

$1000 +7% = $1070, $1070 +4% = $1112.80

$1000 +12 = $1120.

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#723
post #687

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We currently have a drastic under provision of a good to the tune of 3.5 million homes in CA alone. This under provision is not because building new homes isn't profitable, it is because realtors, landlords and homeowners are actively blocking new supply in order to extract above market rents from desperate people. Adding a rent cap of MORE THAN DOUBLE inflation will have no affect on supply, it is ridiculously profi…

> it is ridiculously profitable to rent out your property right now I'd be curious if you can share specific numbers on where this is true? Where in CA can I buy a house/apt and rent it out for more than the mortgage+insurance+taxes+maintenance? A link to the MLS listing would be appreciated. Every now and then I look at housing costs vs. rental income to consider buying some investment property. But the numbers neve…

> Every now and then I look at housing costs vs. rental income to consider buying some investment property. But the numbers never work out, I'd always end up loosing money to rent it out.

'Maybe' in the case of buying a new property now to rent. But it's clearly the case for many or there wouldn't be places to rent.

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#724
post #595

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am a CA landlord of a single house. Keeping track of “market rate” is an annoying exercise and I tend to just leave the rate unchanged for multiple years (3-5) then bring it up in one go. The last time I did this the rent increased ~12%. Before, the tenant was happy because they got below market rent for 4 years, and I was happy because I could defer pricing work without long term penalty or risking a move-out duri…

Was the tenant happy when you increased it? Increasing rent 12% in one go effectively kicks out most tenants. A smaller annual increase will give them time to adjust to market conditions and choose over a longer period whether or not to move and to save up to do so. You are doing no one any favors except short-term renters who never get an increase. In other words, your so-called benefit is actually a detriment to lo…

I have done this twice with the same tenant without complaint or moveout. My tenant was presumably getting basic inflation based increases at work, which offset most of the delta.

Unclear on why doing it all at once is worse than doing it regularly and extracting more rent in the period in between. Is the theory that they will be unable to adjust their budget in 60 days?

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#725
post #675

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At a maximum 5% increase per year, it takes 37 years for a $500 unit to catch up to the $3000 market price. So this law doesn't help that much with that particular case.

I think the example was that this law will not create such a scenario, in the way that previous rent control schemes have. The example given is of a 500% increase in rent, by definition no rent control law should make such an increase possible in a short time frame.

Some reasonable law might allow that.

Eg a law could allow any increase up to some benchmark, and up to 5% per year when above the benchmark.

(No clue whether that would be a good idea or not.)

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#726
post #720
post #712

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But this is not what the new bill is about. It doesn't cap total costs, it allows 5% per year increase, it doesn't apply to new homes, etc.

> It doesn't cap total costs, it allows 5% per year increase, it doesn't apply to new homes If you tell everyone that you cannot increase more than 5% a year, this is used as a signal to all landlords to increase 5% a year. It's a coordination mechanism. And it helps hedge for years in which the market rent has increased by more than 5% and the landlord is unable to adjust. A commenter who is a landlord confirmed thi…

New homes being nicer is not a problem. It's good. (See https://www.planetizen.com/blogs/100293-how-filtering-increa... ) It's how we upgrade the national housing stock over time.

Landlords already charge as much as the market can bear. Coordination isn't really necessary.

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#727
post #724

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Was the tenant happy when you increased it? Increasing rent 12% in one go effectively kicks out most tenants. A smaller annual increase will give them time to adjust to market conditions and choose over a longer period whether or not to move and to save up to do so. You are doing no one any favors except short-term renters who never get an increase. In other words, your so-called benefit is actually a detriment to lo…

I have done this twice with the same tenant without complaint or moveout. My tenant was presumably getting basic inflation based increases at work, which offset most of the delta. Unclear on why doing it all at once is worse than doing it regularly and extracting more rent in the period in between. Is the theory that they will be unable to adjust their budget in 60 days?

It's beyond me why people would think this is worse for the tenant. Can I move to CA and be your tenant? You're basically giving your tenants free money.

Let's say the rent is $1000/month (for simplicity). That's $12000/yr in the first year. If you increase the rent by 12% ever 4 years they'll have 3 years of paying $1000/month, followed by a 4th year of $1120/month and so on.

If you instead raised it yearly by 2.87%, which give-or-take is the same as a 12% one-off increase we can calculate the net rent paid over the period in the two scenarios:

    $1000*12*3 = 36000

    r=1000;x=1.0287;
    (r*x^1*12)+(r*x^2*12)+(r*x^3*12) =~ $38106
The result is that by deferring rental increases you've given your tenant a benefit of $2106, and we can safely assume the rent is a lot higher than $1000/month. I.e. every month of the rent not keeping with market increases is more money for the piggy bank.

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#728
post #628
post #595

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am a CA landlord of a single house. Keeping track of “market rate” is an annoying exercise and I tend to just leave the rate unchanged for multiple years (3-5) then bring it up in one go. The last time I did this the rent increased ~12%. Before, the tenant was happy because they got below market rent for 4 years, and I was happy because I could defer pricing work without long term penalty or risking a move-out duri…

You can still do it that way. But instead of raising the rent 12% in one year, you can just raise it by 7% one year and then by 4% the next year. The tenant still gets below market rent for 4 years, you and can defer pricing work for as long as you want without penalty or risking a move out during a busy year. I think you might be overly worried for your situation. Your 12% example is an amortized difference of at mo…

FWIW, this is still more bookkeeping for me (have to track when to raise, how much remaining to raise). I also personally feel like a dick every time I serve the rent notice - it’s a small town and everything feels a little personal.

It’s not a lot of work, but my FT job isn’t being a landlord, and we’re talking about a property that nets maybe $8k/year. It’s been a better rate of return than the stock market, but the alpha is small relative to my SWE salary.

I guess another possible outcome of this is pushing marginal small landlords out, or pushing them to use property management firms since the fees possibly start making more sense. Neither of these seem like good outcomes to me.

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#729
This is interesting as Berlin, Germany is also set to pass a five-year rent freeze to address tenant concerns and rising gentrification. I always attributed to the fact that Berlin for some years has had a pretty left-leaning state/city government and the fact that Europeans are more willing to try things like this. As an American living here, I never thought I'd see such a large scale action back in the States. Is it now 'global' zeitgeist at this point to make moves like this?

Re: California Approves Statewide Rent Control

#730
post #709

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The building was purchased, "refurbished" and the rent was reset to a very high number. And if someone was willing to pay that number, then that's what the place was worth.

True, but if someone is already using it, it's shitty to increase the price that much. It makes it a bait-and-switch: offer for a reasonable price first, and once the family is all settled, jump a massive price increase on them. That's absolutely something that needs to be banned by law.

It's bad behaviour all right, but that doesn't automatically mean a law is the best fix.

Tenants could ask for contract terms that forbid such raises.

Or, if landlords are not forthcoming, they could take out insurance.

And yes, such insurance would need to have its terms written carefully. And it probably doesn't exist as a product at the moment. But eg sponsoring the development of such insurance would be an easier to justify action by the government than a law. Also less likely to backfire.

In any case, the underlying problem is lots of pent up demand for building, and permits only being given out in a trickle. If there was more building, landlords couldn't pull those tricks, at least not profitably.

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