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The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

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Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#711
post #660

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you're possibly reading more into my statements than there was. No need to be so confrontational. Retail price for the V6 premium trim Mustang I bought was about $26000 retail. The modern equivalent I would say is a V4 with basic trim, because the 2021 base model comes with considerably more technology than the 2011 premium. The only practical difference is leather vs. cloth seats. The retail price for that c…

>> No need to be so confrontational. Not about being confrontational it about dealing in actual facts I disagree with your comparison of a v6 premium to a Base v4 and calling it "the same". Also I think it is unfair to account for technology in the way you have, if we looked at technology in that way then we would have MASSIVE deflation in the world, as a $1500 computer 10 years go would cost $35 to buy a comparable…

Perhaps inflation and technological advancement is analogous to a temperature during a phase change in matter, i.e. there's energy going in but the temperature is holding steady. Maybe we'll soon reach a saturation point and inflation will start tracking again?

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#712
post #289

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You don't have to "take away" the trucks, but just make them more impractical: - sales tax on cars/trucks is by weight and exponentially increases the heavier the vehicle gets - increase taxes on gasoline - require a special license to operate a vehicle over XXXX lbs. - rewrite laws or encourage DAs to prosecute drivers that injure other people in cars or pedestrians even if it's unintentional - illegal to have passe…

Do you really think what you're suggesting doesn't map to "taking away" to the people involved? News flash: People aren't stupid, and you're not that smart. NFA tax stamps aren't still a thing because people don't see the tax loopholes as a ban or infringement on the 2nd Amendment. They absolutely do. They've just grudgingly accepted there may be some positive utility to it. What you're talkong about is nothing but v…

Yes it would be a shitstorm, but only because some grown adults act like big babies. None of these ideas are "taking away," they are merely requiring that people finally take some personal responsibility for their actions.

And the sort of person that is big about "personal responsibility" for others but calls personal responsibility for themselves "taking away" is actually somewhat stupid in their hypocrisy.

Unless all that "personal responsibility" is actually just backwards justification for a system that's rigged against people without wealth and power and the right skin color, but it couldn't be that could it?

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#713

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Invasion by the PRC seems the most plausible threat. So obvious, in fact, that I'm wondering why you ask.

Because everything I’ve read indicates that scenario is not in fact plausible. I’m wondering what the more likely but potentially equivalent alternatives are.

You need to understand, China does not want to reclaim Taiwan for any kind real political goal.

Nobody in Beijing really cares for an armed to the teeth mountainous island.

A threat of Taiwan invasion is not a threat they project to Taiwan itself, but to the world.

- "Do this, and that or we are sending the world, and all your business interests back to iron age"

That pretty much sums it.

For this purpose, even just a missile exchange across the straight will suffice to kill world trade in a way you haven't seen even during CoVID.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#714

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Now find a single person who can program bare hardware on a short notice on above Arduino level. Wait, there's real money in that? Maybe I shouldn't waste my time just doing yard work. Sidenote: I just asked my wife about parts shortages at her workplace. Evidently you guys are right. I should get out more.

No, there isn't real money in this. I've been doing it 30 years now and my earnings curve will never match what a webdev gets. Firmware engineers are the out-of-sight-out-of-mind component in the product development spectrum.

>my earnings curve will never match what a webdev gets.

Which is the saddest part of it all.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#715

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And it's so hard to find a 2 door. A giant 4 door with a HUGE cab, but a tiny bed?! What's the point of that over an SUV. I'm buying a car for first time in a decade. I used to want to dirtbag out of a tacoma and have been looking for one but it's hard. Even a 13 year old one seems big - and also crazy expensive ;)

The old Ranger was the last small truck in North America. A clean, low miles 2011 would still have some good life left in it.

i havent seen that one been focused on toyota. It sounds reliable? That's the old size I love!

For you what would be the max miles you'd buy a Ranger? A tacoma?

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#716

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Embedded development is more than just wrangling C, that would be like saying backend dev is wrangling EC2 instances ;). It's knowing how low level hardware operates and knowing how to dig yourself out of the various gotchas like for example figuring out that a last minute replacement of the crystal oscillator by the HW team with a cheaper one is now screwing up your boot process or that the reason your products are…

I’m terrified about wearing out a flash on a unit I’m working on. I have a permanent break point in that code. Logically I know when a write is supposed to trigger, but oh man I’m paranoid I’m going to burn my prototype with a fat finger of something.

Personally love those huge wonky Ides not made for this, that some newbs use. Edit at memory Adress, thing triggers write commands constantly.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#717

Regarding cars: "Some carmakers are now leaving out high-end features as a result of the chip shortage, according to a Bloomberg report on Thursday. Nissan is reportedly leaving navigation systems out of cars that would normally have them, while Ram Trucks has stopped equipping its 1500 pickups with a standard “intelligent” rearview mirror that monitors for blind spots" I have an unpopular opinion, especially when we…

The hertz bankruptcy was just weird. My understanding of it: They have massive loans with their cars as collateral, when the pandemic started, used cars went down in value so their creditors margin-called them. Hertz didn’t have the money and couldn’t come to an agreement so filed for bankruptcy. Used cars returned to more normal values so hertz isn’t really insolvent anymore so will probably get to survive bankruptc…

The Accenture software outsourcing debacle was probably a big contributing factor to the Hertz bankruptcy too.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#718

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Chips shouldn't go obsolete so fast. Your local auto parts store has in stock parts for cars made 50 years ago. That include aftermarket parts made in the past few years. You cannot support right to repair if you support the idea that chips go obsolete.

How much more would you be willing to pay for the same car if all chips in it were guaranteed to be available 50 years from now, at today's price plus inflation?

Me nothing. I drive my cars until they are 12 feet under and junk them. I'm sure the collectors of future will have a different opinion, but they won't get my cars, (see above) and I have no idea what cars (if any) future generations will collect.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#719
post #687

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> there's copper substrate shortage on the market, people have delays getting their already ordered PCBs delivered. Any details on this? Media/tradejournal links? I wouldn't have believed you six months ago, but hey, everything's changed. Still, copper-clad board shortages... I mean if that really is for real we're headed back to the stone age real quick. I hope it's just a rumor.

Very much everyone in the business is aware of it since winter. but sure https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/crisis-printed-circuit-board-... https://elmatica.com/portfolio/copper-foil-shortage-persists...

Thank you for your constructive reply!

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#720

Earlier quoted context omitted.

True. In Florida, 1/3 of trucks are raised so there occupants have to literally climb in. These are commonly adorn with "Trump" and "Don't tread on me" bumper stickers and even massive flags (because you know, big truck means big flag...) I once drove one to move something (the cab/bed being five feet off the ground wasn't as helpful as you'd think \s). The experience was somewhat surreal, like driving in an air traf…

Mudding doesn’t mean drinking and driving with guns. It means tearing up the wet muddy ground with your vehicle. Spinning your tires, getting stuck, getting unstuck - just goofing off off-road. I personally don’t see the appeal of it but have friends that enjoy it. They don’t drink and drive (with or without guns).

> The park does not sell alcohol, according to its website, but patrons bring their own beverages.

https://www.yoursun.com/charlotte/news/redneck-mud-park-has-...

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