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Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

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701–710 of 754 posts

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#701

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Assume the AGI has access to a credit card and it goes ahead and reserves itself every GPU cycle in existence so it's 1 month is turned into a day, and now we're back to being fucked. Maybe an ongoing GPU shortage is the only thing that'll save us!

How would an AGI gain access to an unlimited credit card that immediately gives it remote access to all GPUs in the world?

It could hack into NVIDIA and AMD, compromise their firmware build machines silently, then publish a GPU vulnerability that required firmware updates.

After a couple months, turn on the backdoor.

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#702

I know everybody is going nuts about this, but just from my personal perspective I’ve worked at a variety of companies with “important” CEOs, and in every single one of those cases had the CEO left I would not have cared at all. The CEO always gets way too much credit externally for what the company is doing, it does not mean the CEO is that important. OpenAI might be different, I don’t have any personal experience,…

The difference with OpenAI / GPT is a dozen or so primary engineers plus a few billion dollars for GPUs and you have a competitive version.

And if those primary engineers get sucked out of OpenAI, OpenAI won't be able to compete.

OpenAI is a different animal.

SamAltman has the cache to pull out those engineers. Particularly because Ilya's vision doesn't include lucrative stock options.

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#703
post #563
post #397

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, I just wrote about this as well on my substack. There were two significant conflicts of interest on the OpenAI board. Adam D'Angelo should've resigned once he started Poe. The other conflict was that both Tasha McCauley and Helen Toner were associated with another AI governance organization.

Thanks — the history of board participation you sleuthed is interesting for sure: https://loeber.substack.com/p/a-timeline-of-the-openai-board

Thank you!

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#704

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Assume the AGI has access to a credit card and it goes ahead and reserves itself every GPU cycle in existence so it's 1 month is turned into a day, and now we're back to being fucked. Maybe an ongoing GPU shortage is the only thing that'll save us!

How would an AGI gain access to an unlimited credit card that immediately gives it remote access to all GPUs in the world?

E.g. by convincing 35% of this website's users to "subscribe" to its "service"?

¯\_(ಠ_ಠ)_/¯

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#705
post #287

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The scenario usually bandied about is AGI self-improving at an accelerating rate: once you cross the threshold to self-improvement, you quickly get superintelligence with God-like powers beyond human comprehension (a.k.a. the Singularity) as AGI v1 creates a faster AGI v2 which creates a faster AGI v3 etc. Any AI researchers still plodding along at mere human speed are then doomed: they won't be able to catch up even…

It seems to me that non-General AI would typically outcompete AGI, all else held equal. In such a scenario even a first-past-the-post AGI would have trouble becoming an overload if non-Generalized AIs were marshaled against it.

uhm, wat?

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#706

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Yet they need massive investment from Microsoft to accomplish that? massive spending is needed for any project as massive as "AI", so what are you even asking? A "feed the poor project" does not expect to make a profit, but, yes, it needs large cash infusions...

That as a non profit they won’t be able to attract any sufficient amounts of money?

Or talent...

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#707

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How are you still hireable? If I knew you orchestrated two coups at previous companies and I was responsible for hiring, you would be radioactive to me. Especially knowing that all that effort went into putting together a successful coup over other work. Coups, in general, are the domain of the petty. One need only look at Ilya and D'Angelo to see this in action. D'Angelo neutered Quora by pushing out its co-founder,…

I feel like in the parent comment coup is sort of shorthand for the painful but necessary work of building consensus that it is time for new leadership. Necessary is in the eye of the beholder. These certainly can be petty when they are bald-faced power grabs, but they equally can be noble if the leader is a despot or a criminal. I would also not call Sam Altman's ouster a coup even if the board were manipulated into…

It also looks like Sam Altman was busy creating another AI company, along his creepy WorldCoin venture, wasteful crypto/bitcoin support and no less creepy stories of abuse coming from his younger sister.

Work or transfer of intellectual property or good name into another venture, while not disclosing it with OpenAI is a clear breach of contract.

He is clearly instrumental in attracting investors, talent, partners and commercialization of technology developed by Google Brain and pushed further by Hinton students and the team of OpenAI. But he was just present in the room where the veil of ignorance was pushed forward. He is replaceable and another leader, less creepy and with fewer conflicts of interest may do a better job.

It it no surprise that OpenAI board had attempted to eject him. I hope that this attempt will be a success.

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#708
post #524

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, I read "Attention Is All You Need", and I understand that the multi-head generative pre-trained model talks about "tokens" rather than language specifically. So in this case, I'm using "LLM" as shorthand for what OpenAI is doing with GPTs. I'll try to be more precise in the future. That still leaves disagreement between Altman and Sutskever over whether or not the current technology will lead to AGI or "superint…

Fair enough, shame "Large Tokenized Models" etc never entered the nomenclature.

Some terms I've seen used for the technology:

Big-Data Statistical Models

Stochastic Parrots or parrot-tech

plausible sentence generators

glorified auto-complete

cleverbot

"a Blurry JPEG of the Web" https://www.newyorker.com/tech/annals-of-technology/chatgpt-...>

and just plain ol' "machine learning"

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#709

I know everybody is going nuts about this, but just from my personal perspective I’ve worked at a variety of companies with “important” CEOs, and in every single one of those cases had the CEO left I would not have cared at all. The CEO always gets way too much credit externally for what the company is doing, it does not mean the CEO is that important. OpenAI might be different, I don’t have any personal experience,…

A deal-making CEO who can carry rapport with the right people, make clever deals, and earn public trust can genuinely make a huge difference to a profit-seeking product company's trajectory. But when your profit-seeking company is owned by a non-profit with a public mission, that trajectory might end up pointed the wrong way. The Dev Day announcements, and especially the marketplace, can be seen as suggesting that's…

If they didn't want to be responsible for running and paying for an actual service like ChatGPT, they should have spun it off to someone who did.

The notion they could just build it and they will come is ludicrous. Sam understood that and was trying to figure out a model that could pay for itself.

Obviously there will be mistakes made along the way. That's how it goes.

Don't forget. ChatGPT has competitors. A lot of them and they're getting pretty good.

Re: Details emerge of surprise board coup that ousted CEO Sam Altman at OpenAI

#710

This was a very personal firing in my opinion. Unless other, really damaging behaviors emerge, no responsible board fires their CEO with such a lack of care for the corporate reputation and their partners unless the firing is a personal grievance connected to an internal power play. This should be embarrassing to everyone involved, and sama has a real grievance here. Likely legal repercussions. Of course if they real…

Gygax had fucked off to Hollywood and was too busy fueling his alcohol, cocaine and adultery addictions to spend any time actually running the company. All while TSR was losing money like crazy. The company was barely making 30 million a year while 1.5 billion in debt...in the early 80s. Even then, Gygax's downfall is the result of his own coup, where he ousted Kevin Blume and brought in Lorraine Williams. She bought…

Wiki says 1.5 million in debt. Which seems more believable for a company of that size?

Thanks for the rabbit hole though, that was an entertaining read.

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