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Dropbox Could Be A Bargain At An $8 Billion Valuation

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Re: Dropbox Could Be A Bargain At An $8 Billion Valuation

#71
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

By that standard, how do you justify Amazon's $170B market cap, given it's notoriously low profit margins?

I don't think your comparison makes sense. When Amazon was at the stage Dropbox is at now investors were taking a risk I thought was insane. That risk paid off, but there are countless examples that didn't. Amazon now practically owns their space and has inexplicable license from the market to reinvest in infrastructure or outright avoid profit. Few other companies are in this position, so comparing valuations of Ama…

> That risk paid off, but there are countless examples that didn't

If every risk paid off, there's no such thing as a risk. These investors are making the calculation that DB has some % chance of being in a similarly dominant position as Amazon is today.

Re: Dropbox Could Be A Bargain At An $8 Billion Valuation

#72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not a good argument .. traditional barriers to entry are never as insurmountable as they may seem at first. I doubt Jeff Bezos was concerned with the "amount of cash" needed to compete with Border's or Barnes & Noble. The real barrier to entry is not competition from other companies, it is building a great product/service/company yourself. If it were so easy to "use S3" to start a Dropbox, why is there only one…

> How exactly do you explain how Google/Apple/MS/etc became Google/Apple/MS/etc? The moat is much higher than it was 5-10 years ago. Do you have billions of dollars that you're sitting on that you could use to compete against Google/Apple/MS?

I think you either meant the "moat" is a lot deeper .. ;) You'd be in an extreme (and incorrect) minority with that view anyway. Clearly it's much cheaper and easier to start on online bookstore today than 5-10 years ago.
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