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Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

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71–80 of 116 posts

Re: Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

#71

> Smart software... is ushering in an era of "hyper-meritocracy." > ...the cognitive requirements of working with smart software... > Online education... will only deepen inequality... Because of the premium it places on conscientiousness. some people are pure self-starters... But at the same time, I think it’s a pretty small percentage of the population. These are all excellent points. It's funny -- centuries ago, w…

http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm We're at less than 50% global internet penetration. How many of those people without internet have access to programming books and computers? The only reason being a self-starter is so important is because of how trash CS(/math/engineering/stem) education is, globally, and because, unlike the other STEMs, self-teaching programming doesn't require expensive equipment. Online…

There's more barriers to entry in software engineering: Free time to teach yourself code, an attention span not used up worrying about gangs, drugs, or crime, a mind unencumbered by undiagnosed mental health problems worsened by poverty, social connections that can actually get you a job in software.

Re: Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

#72

Wealth has always been closely linked with the amount of value a person can provide to other people. Of course I am leaving out wealth created through corruption or sheer power. Intelligent machines, software and connectivity have only made it easier for a single person to provide value to millions of other people. Lebron James makes $60 million a year because the NBA, the Miami Heat, and the companies that he endors…

On the other hand, capital accumulates, and is consolidated over time.

Also part of the reason athletes make so much more today is because of sustained labor agitation on the parts of the unions. Go read 'Ball Four' for an example of what pre-union sports was like.

Re: Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

#73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are certainly lucky that your natural interests lead you to something lucrative, but you are good with technology because you presumably spent considerable amount of time practising with the technology. If you spent more time drawing, you would eventually become good at that too. If we imagine technology jobs dropped off the face of the earth tomorrow and drawing suddenly became a high paying career, would you in…

> You are certainly lucky that your natural interests lead you to something lucrative There is certainly luck involved, but chalking all success up to fortunate nerd-dom is a simplification. Also consider the importance of avoiding pitfalls like drug abuse, crippling debt, and unexpected pregnancies. Also, millions of students do boring and pointless schoolwork every day to improve their grades so they can get into a…

> Also consider the importance of avoiding pitfalls like drug abuse, crippling debt, and unexpected pregnancies.

Wouldn't avoiding those things largely fall under the "certain type of person" I mentioned? There are certainly some variables there too, like being born into poverty, but we can, for argument's sake, assume outside factors are otherwise equal when comparing people under this.

Re: Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

#74
post #47
post #24

I don't care about inequality (of outcome). I care about suffering. Automation may increase inequality between those who are able to take advantage of it, and those who aren't - but it is better to say that increased automation exposes an existing problem. Namely, it so happened that many people were recently able to make a reasonably comfortable living in less-skilled work. There was always a population who couldn't…

This is an excellent point, though I'm not sure you'll be in agreement with why I feel that way. The issue comes down to how you define "suffering". One of the reasons income inequality is such a silly measurement of overall economic well-being is because people often believe it must be correlated with suffering. In other words, those at the poorer end of the spectrum must be suffering relative to those at the rich e…

Perhaps we agree more than you expected. I certainly agree that it is too simplistic to say that poor people are suffering because rich people have the money (and that therefore, if we take from the rich and give to the poor, the problem is solved). But that's a pretty 101 sort of critique anyway. Economic and cultural hegemony have been part of the left-wing conversation for a while now, and my main original point was that the concerns of the unemployed and underemployed have tended to be politically ignorable (due to lack of numbers, cultural shaming, the perception that unemployment is always temporary, etc.).

And I agree that being poor in a contemporary rich country isn't as miserable as other ways of being poor. I see you were quite careful to pin your example to "a minimum wage salary", which is a level of income and security that many people don't have. Since I think we probably both care a lot about equality of opportunity, we should agree that being billed preposterous sums for healthcare is still not a brilliant situation, just like not being able to afford to go to college, lacking access to banking services, and so on. I'm not saying we need to buy everyone an Xbox One because that's the new baseline, but I hope that liberals and conservatives can agree that there are powerful mechanisms that entrench people in poverty, to the general detriment of society.

Re: Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

#75

Why is the sale of labor considered so different than the sale of anything else? You don't feel immoral selling your car to the highest bidder. Why should selling your labor be different? You don't feel immoral buying bananas as cheaply as possible. Why should purchasing labor be different? I'm not trolling; I'm genuinely trying to think through these questions.

I disagree that I don't feel immoral when trying to optimize my financial situation when selling cars and buying vehicles.

First, a silly hypothetical that at least shows that when selling a car, I care about something other than price. Option 1: sell my car to a single parent trying to support a family for $5k. This parent's old vehicle was destroyed in a wreck (not their fault) and they need a way to get to work. Option 2: sell my car to an eclectic billionaire whose hobby is running over little cars in his monster truck. This billionaire is offering $5k + $.01

Almost certainly I will take option 1 despite the lower payout, and I suspect almost all of us would. When the difference between payouts is large enough - and that value will vary depending on the person - we will take the higher payout.

When buying food, especially meat, I absolutely do feel immoral sometimes. E.g. if I purchase low cost beef, with high probability I am supporting an agricultural organization which contributes to negative externalities. For example, many animal feeding operations create waste which harms the environment (and by extension many individuals), but this harm may not be fully reflected in the price.

It's not at all obvious to me what this means for buying and selling labor. For example, perhaps I'm an employer and I have a job opening for a full time position which pays well below a living wage, and further assume that somebody voluntarily fills that position. On the one hand, I feel bad that I'm paying my employee well below a living wage. I wonder about their happiness and health and that of their family, and this keeps me up at night. On the other hand, I believe that the employee would not have voluntarily taken this job unless they believed that the exchange of time for money was strictly beneficial to them. So every night I fall asleep content in the knowledge that I have improved someone's life...

Re: Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

#77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You are certainly lucky that your natural interests lead you to something lucrative There is certainly luck involved, but chalking all success up to fortunate nerd-dom is a simplification. Also consider the importance of avoiding pitfalls like drug abuse, crippling debt, and unexpected pregnancies. Also, millions of students do boring and pointless schoolwork every day to improve their grades so they can get into a…

> Also consider the importance of avoiding pitfalls like drug abuse, crippling debt, and unexpected pregnancies. Wouldn't avoiding those things largely fall under the "certain type of person" I mentioned? There are certainly some variables there too, like being born into poverty, but we can, for argument's sake, assume outside factors are otherwise equal when comparing people under this.

I understand your point, but I'm pushing back on it because I don't agree that those other factors are trivial when discussing poverty and inequality. To ignore personal behavior in this discussion is to be begging a false cause fallacy.

At some level we may just disagree about how fair it is to consider us all fleshy robots and how important it is to consider individuals instead of populations.

Re: Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

#78
post #24

I don't care about inequality (of outcome). I care about suffering. Automation may increase inequality between those who are able to take advantage of it, and those who aren't - but it is better to say that increased automation exposes an existing problem. Namely, it so happened that many people were recently able to make a reasonably comfortable living in less-skilled work. There was always a population who couldn't…

> I don't care about inequality (of outcome). I care about suffering.

I subscribe to a different argument with the same conclusion: I care about the inefficiency in the way we, as a society, handle our human resources. Poverty is a morass of catch-22s that conspire to perpetuate the problem rather than solve it, and that's a waste of human potential no matter how you slice it.

The minimum-wage worker who spends 1/3 of his time on his first job, 1/3 of his time on his second job, and 1/3 of his time in a perpetually unrewarding search for something better has no time or energy left for putting himself in a better position to create value for society. He is aware of the problem and he knows the theoretical solution. It is not necessarily a lack of discipline or market insight that hold him back, it's the inability to take on risk in the form of investing time and resources into a new mode of value production that make it an unattractive option. If he tries and fails, food, shelter, and health care become mutually exclusive "luxuries" next month.

HN is full of entrepreneurs who are acutely aware of the importance of being able to take risks, but it is important to realize that we (the software engineering profession) are, at the moment, comparatively well sheltered from the wrath of the market by the fact that we posses a skill that is currently in demand, and even with this shielding many of us opt for risk aversion. If we fail, our fallback plan is a cushy $100k job that we can use as a springboard for our next attempt. Our "punishment" is a temporary stint at helping someone else build their dream. On the other hand, if Sam the supermarket checkout clerk, Mike the aspiring musician, or Anne the academic go into business and fail, their punishment will be far more draconian and far less amenable to taking another chance.

The thing is, we (as a society) don't really want more supermarket clerks, street musicians, and struggling adjunct professors. We want these people to be successful because they will generate 100x the value if they are! But we are unwilling to invest the comparative pittance to cover their base needs to let them try and fail. If we played our cards right, social welfare would become an investment, not a parasitic nuisance. Unfortunately our current welfare policy (to include minimum wage) is filled with so many perverse incentives that it probably accounts for a solid half of the poverty-perpetuating morass of catch-22s I lamented earlier, if not more.

What's funny is that I regularly see people on opposite sides of the socialist/libertarian axis agree abut both the problem and the solution, even if their intermediate reasoning is different. I think you'll take my word about the socialists, but here's Milton Friedman discussing the negative income tax: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xtpgkX588nM

Re: Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

#79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not sure how this really relates to merit or shortcomings or being your fault . I'm good at technology, and I make money at it, but I don't see this as a particularly great merit or the result of my hard work and prescience. I've liked and been adept with computers since I was 4 or 5; I'm "the kind of person who enjoys reading programming manuals" you mention. I'm no good at drawing, though, and I'm not particula…

You are certainly lucky that your natural interests lead you to something lucrative, but you are good with technology because you presumably spent considerable amount of time practising with the technology. If you spent more time drawing, you would eventually become good at that too. If we imagine technology jobs dropped off the face of the earth tomorrow and drawing suddenly became a high paying career, would you in…

It's more than just interest and lots of time practicing, though. I have a good programming job. But from early on I just got things like algebra and boolean logic, didn't spend nearly the time on them that others did. etc. I remember some calculus homework in high school and the rest of the class was working on the problems and I was goofying off. They got stuck on the last problem and it took me about 10 mintues and I traded them for the other 9 problems.

Re: Are Computers Making Society More Unequal?

#80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are certainly lucky that your natural interests lead you to something lucrative, but you are good with technology because you presumably spent considerable amount of time practising with the technology. If you spent more time drawing, you would eventually become good at that too. If we imagine technology jobs dropped off the face of the earth tomorrow and drawing suddenly became a high paying career, would you in…

I guess it depends on the degree of need. If I were starving and had no choice but to take up drawing as a career, I guess I would try. But if technology were still something you could make $40k/yr doing, I'd probably stick with it, because it's more interesting to me. I'm in technology for the technology more than for the money. In some ways I kind of wonder if it'd like it more : what would technology as a field be…

Perhaps that means you are not the kind of person the parent was referring to? For me, I tend to get excited about doing just about everything. Since I cannot possibly do everything, I usually tune my interests to where industry interests are.

While I've never had a job drawing sketches specifically, I have had jobs using other artistic mediums. I've spent a lot of my career as a programmer. I've been farming for several years now. If there was strong external interest for drawing, I'd probably be quite keen to hone my skills there too. I've been spending my spare time recently introducing myself to a few other industries that seem promising. I haven't worked professionally in those industries yet, but who knows what the future holds?

That all seems natural to me, though it is clearly not for everyone. I can see where the parent is coming from though. From my point of view it is somewhat difficult to imagine someone who wouldn't want to become an expert in computing, drawing, or whatever industry needs.

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