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Apocalypse Early Warning System

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71–80 of 137 posts

Re: Apocalypse Early Warning System

#72
Can you keep an eye on government planes that would be airborned if the SHTF?

E-4Bs, E-6s, VC-25As, C-32A, etc plus mass helo flights exiting DC.

Topic reminds me of the movie Miracle Mile.

Re: Apocalypse Early Warning System

#74

I made something like this in like 2007 called Apocalypse Feed. It took in a few factors and aggregated them into a 0-to-100 number that updated and published over RSS. First it pinged debian mirrors around the world and made a map based on mirror city's lat/long: green for online, red for offline. If there was a cluster of red, that part of the world was considered gone. Then it checked space weather data and neares…

This is so good! You have to bring this back!

Re: Apocalypse Early Warning System

#75
post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Stock market's historical average is actually just about 4%/year after inflation. So it does beat it (absent fees), but just barely.

Barely above a high yield savings account I guess.

Historically, savings accounts do much worse than the stock market. People are spoiled from the last decade and don't remember what corrections or bear periods look like. Over time you get 4% over inflation. That's it.

Re: Apocalypse Early Warning System

#79

Why are almost all planes in the US? Is this a data problem or are only the US rich enough to fly private jets?

> The tracked set is built from FAA registry data So I imagine planes in other countries exist, but the US FAA doesn't have data on them.

You wouldn't need FAA ownership data and details on who/what owns what tail number to track "flying" or "not flying" status of the world's fleet of bombardier global 6000/7000/8000, dassault falcon 7x and similar, given open data from ads-b exchange.

Re: Apocalypse Early Warning System

#80
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean - just take a look at all this speculative trading action around the Iran war. Trump is all about "his friends" presumably that means that many of them could get a heads up.

If you're talking about nuclear war, I don't think you could expect Polymarket to pay out in the aftermath. So anyone betting on one would be pretty dumb.

I think that GP is saying that recent betting market developments provide evidence that Trump or someone high up in the administration is tipping off others. Therefore, one might think that the 'in' crowd would be tipped off about an apocalyptic event, which would trigger this software. I don't think that GP was saying anything about betting on an apocalyptic event.
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