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California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

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Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#71
Correction: This is a correction to the forecast - not the budget.

By the state's own admission, there could be as much as an $18 billion dollar budget deficit if the state economy fails to grow as projected. It could also be a smaller shortfall if the economy is even better than expected.

Miscalculations are pretty common and this is why they are revised several times a year.

Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#72
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Which of those roles specifically would you say are fluff? Food-services manager (it's all oursourced to Aramark), data-processing specialist, print-center technician, senior clerical assistant, one of registrar or attendance, two of site maintenance, one of the network specialists (probably both–one across the district is plenty), and probably at least one of the counselors and the separate social science & athlet…

Someone still has to coordinate with Aramark. Data-processing specialist and print-center technician both sound like fancy names for secretarial roles. You're honestly saying schools need fewer counselors in what has been generally regarded as the worst generation for child mental health in years?

> Someone still has to coordinate with Aramark

As a full-time position? Aramark literally ran the lunch counters. I could see it being a district-level position, though it would be better positioned as a general procurement role.

> Data-processing specialist and print-center technician both sound like fancy names for secretarial roles

I agree. I was suspicious when I didn't see a secretary for each of the assistant principals listed.

> You're honestly saying schools need fewer counselors in what has been generally regarded as the worst generation for child mental health in years?

I am. Unless the counselors are constantly doing actual therapy I'm deeply sceptical you need that many for a student body of that size. The fact that they're assigned based on the first letter of your last name versus anything remotely thematic or behaviour based seems to emphasise that hypothesis, for me at least.

(When I went to the school, there were bullshit jobs everywhere. One of the counselors didn't deign to meet with students. Her role was "strategic" or some nonsense.)

Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#73
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>The vast majority of the cost is hiring teachers. It should be staying in line with inflation or even increasing. Only if you assume if per-teacher productivity can't increase.

This is not creating widgets or lines of code, not creating a product for consumption, this is fostering the development of inquisitive minds, hopefully encouraging them to become critical thinkers and ultimately the next generation of leaders who will push the bounds of human knowledge further than ever before. Why would better tools be expected to do enable teachers to do that for more students at a time? There is…

>This is not creating widgets or lines of code, not creating a product for consumption, this is fostering the development of inquisitive minds, hopefully encouraging them to become critical thinkers and ultimately the next generation of leaders who will push the bounds of human knowledge further than ever before.

There's plenty of drudge work teachers do that's not "fostering the development of inquisitive minds". Grading papers, preparing lesson plans, etc. I don't see why not at least some of that can be offloaded to AI.

Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#74
post #6

Given that school budgets are absolutely gutted with mass layoffs this year and next, and the miscalculation looks like 2/3 of the budget shortfall, hiding such a basic and impactful error requires a much better explanation than I see in that article. It looks like it was done to stifle debate about budget allocations, which would be necessary in the circumstances.

$2 billion dollars is a pretty small piece of the $90 billion the state pays towards schools.

The budget cuts are because enrollment is down.

Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#75
post #6

Given that school budgets are absolutely gutted with mass layoffs this year and next, and the miscalculation looks like 2/3 of the budget shortfall, hiding such a basic and impactful error requires a much better explanation than I see in that article. It looks like it was done to stifle debate about budget allocations, which would be necessary in the circumstances.

The education system seems one of the only places where vastly improving technology over the past 30 years has not translated to cost savings or improved outcomes.

It turns out that our kids learn better from humans than machines.

Ever dealt with a kid who has had too much screen time? It’s fucking awful.

Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#76
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why would we expect schooling to get…cheaper? The vast majority of the cost is hiring teachers. It should be staying in line with inflation or even increasing.

> vast majority of the cost is hiring teachers My 1,500-student public California high school currently lists 7 administration-team members (principal, executive assistant, three assistant principals, school-facilities manager and food-services manager) and 11 administrative-support members (school data-processing specialist, print-center technician, senior-clerical assistant, separate registrar and attendance roles,…

One of the key problems with schools is that everyone thinks they can run them better because they went to school once and have an idea.

If we left it to domain experts and got politicians to back off, it would be neat to see what educators could achieve.

Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#77
post #67
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>The vast majority of the cost is hiring teachers. It should be staying in line with inflation or even increasing. Only if you assume if per-teacher productivity can't increase.

You could increase per teacher productivity by running 12 months of school per year, but you would increase costs; and in some parts of California, you would need to rebuild schools with air conditioning to hold classes effectively in the summer. Covid showed distance learning doesn't work for most kids. So you can't eliminate real estate costs or hire educators in low cost areas. Computerized education doesn't seem…

> You could increase per teacher productivity by running

Many would quit. The only perk is having the holidays free.

Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#78
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is not creating widgets or lines of code, not creating a product for consumption, this is fostering the development of inquisitive minds, hopefully encouraging them to become critical thinkers and ultimately the next generation of leaders who will push the bounds of human knowledge further than ever before. Why would better tools be expected to do enable teachers to do that for more students at a time? There is…

>This is not creating widgets or lines of code, not creating a product for consumption, this is fostering the development of inquisitive minds, hopefully encouraging them to become critical thinkers and ultimately the next generation of leaders who will push the bounds of human knowledge further than ever before. There's plenty of drudge work teachers do that's not "fostering the development of inquisitive minds". Gr…

There is already a robust online market for lesson plans, both free and paid.

Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#79
> "This isn’t a calculation error – it’s revision to better estimate how these payments are made," said H.D. Palmer, a spokesman for Newsom's Department of Finance.

Nice excuse. Reminds me of "it depends what the meaning of 'is' is".

Re: California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget

#80
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Which of those roles specifically would you say are fluff? Food-services manager (it's all oursourced to Aramark), data-processing specialist, print-center technician, senior clerical assistant, one of registrar or attendance, two of site maintenance, one of the network specialists (probably both–one across the district is plenty), and probably at least one of the counselors and the separate social science & athlet…

Someone still has to coordinate with Aramark. Data-processing specialist and print-center technician both sound like fancy names for secretarial roles. You're honestly saying schools need fewer counselors in what has been generally regarded as the worst generation for child mental health in years?

Bring food same time everyday? Here's a weekly food menu, repeat weekly? Whew, that's a lot of work. Email me if you need me. I'll be in Hawaii.

Counselors aren't qualified to deal with mental illness.

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