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San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

theguardian.com

71–80 of 151 posts

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

HN poster responds: "You have 0.18 kids under 6! That seems unlikely!"

Am i missing the joke? ChatGPT tells me 3% of 100 is 3, not 0.18.

I think the joke is people trying to figure out why 0.18. I, personally, enjoy it.

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#72
post #18

So now making 231k makes you worse off than someone making 230k? Why even have that threshold when it doesn't even exclude that many people, it just causes weird incentives.

The article also mentions a 50% subsidy up to $310,000. The details aren’t spelled out, but subsidies like this often phase out gradually to avoid a cliff at the threshold.

Stepwise phaseouts often create more cliffs rather than avoiding cliffs. It is possible to do continuous phase out without cliffs (with or without bend points), the easiest way being to simply give a flat, income-insensitive benefit based on non-income qualifications, and then do the clawback through increases to marginal income tax rates, but if you are committed to clawback internal to the program you can do it through a fixed or tiered marginal clawback rate, instead of having a single or tiered set of benefit cliffs. But programs rarely do that, for a variety of reasons.

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am also confused by cliffs. Maybe someone more knowledgeable than me could explain why you would ever want them for something like this instead of just having higher progressive tax rates for well off people to make up for it. Naively I would think that that’s significantly easier from and administrative point of view too.

It's because it's easy and administratively simple, and it's easy to figure out how much you have to earn before you can actually bear the cost. In reality, it leads to a grey area where in the short term you're better off earning less to get the benefit, but it's eminently fair and easy. And in general, increasing taxes is not easy, and the richer people are, the more able they are to fight against it. So we often c…

First off, the following is not meant to combative but I think this confuses me. If there was no cliff there was nothing to do administratively on that front, no new checking at all. We already have progressive tax systems in many countries. Adding 1% at the top end can’t be that difficult. My health insurance (in Germany) raises prices every year and most people don’t have a choice there either. Property taxes increase all the time. If we had a wealth tax and a higher (at the top) progressive capital gains tax it seems to me that the pitch would be politically even simpler: there are 5% that will pay a little more percentage wise from now on while retaining vast amounts of wealth and 95% that will pay less or much less. Genuinely I have heard that we can’t raise taxes on rich people because they will evade them but it also sounds like a lie repeated so often that we just take it as the truth. Didn’t a lot of countries or US states have higher marginal tax rates without seeing mass exodus of millionaires? Can’t lawmakers focus on plugging the loopholes rich people use? I mean our government is currently trying to go out of its way to make sure that unemployment benefits are only paid out to people who „really deserve them“ by tightening the rules around that and the political debates I see put incredible amounts of emphasis on „fairness“ and that we „have to do something about those who just profit off the system without contributing“ when it’s about that topic. The fervour is clearly not applied symmetrically.

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am also confused by cliffs. Maybe someone more knowledgeable than me could explain why you would ever want them for something like this instead of just having higher progressive tax rates for well off people to make up for it. Naively I would think that that’s significantly easier from and administrative point of view too.

> I am also confused by cliffs. Maybe someone more knowledgeable than me could explain why you would ever want them for something like this instead of just having higher progressive tax rates for well off people Because middle-income clawback with sharp cliffs rather than gradual clawback starting or reaching into upper income ranges pits the middle-income segment of the working class against the poor in funding batt…

So it is just the right wing neoliberal playbook then. Protect the rich and put everyone else against each other so we don’t focus on them. I want this to stop.

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#75
post #68

Subsidizing childcare helps families stay, but it doesn't address why childcare, housing, and everything else are so expensive in the first place

Housing is expensive because of lack of housing supply and because of high housing demand because of both soft (non-finance-driven) desirability conditions and a sufficient concentration of very-high-income, price insensitive buyers on prices.

Everything else is so expensive because of the second of those reasons, plus everyone having higher salary demands because of high housing prices.

Increasing housing supply can mitigate the problem somewhat, but the other drivers of cost will still remain, and I Think most people would agree you don't actually want to deal with the other cost drivers to aggressively. I mean, even dealing with the high-income-earners-as-cost-drivers problem softly by raising high-end marginal tax rates somewhat is a a highly controversial position.

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#76
post #68

Subsidizing childcare helps families stay, but it doesn't address why childcare, housing, and everything else are so expensive in the first place

Just because of supply/demand alone? If sitting in a comfy office pays as well as it does, why would people take care of children or build houses for way less?

I think this is just Baumols cost disease in action: you really cant have amazingly well paying jobs (like in SF generally) AND super low paid laborers without some kind of class system/feudalism/etc.

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am also confused by cliffs. Maybe someone more knowledgeable than me could explain why you would ever want them for something like this instead of just having higher progressive tax rates for well off people to make up for it. Naively I would think that that’s significantly easier from and administrative point of view too.

It's because it's easy and administratively simple, and it's easy to figure out how much you have to earn before you can actually bear the cost. In reality, it leads to a grey area where in the short term you're better off earning less to get the benefit, but it's eminently fair and easy. And in general, increasing taxes is not easy, and the richer people are, the more able they are to fight against it. So we often c…

It’s easy to understand, but not easy to live under. If the worst case is I lose 25% of every “extra” dollar in some range, I have to think about it way less than if I lose the entire benefit for being 1 unit of currency over a limit.

In the former case, I can think/worry about it for 10 minutes per year; in the latter case, if I’m close I have to think/worry about it a lot more and carefully plan out and estimate things like tax-deferred savings and capital gains/dividends/capital gains distributions to make sure I don’t earn an extra dollar and pay $10-25K of marginal tax on that dollar.

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#78

In a lot of 3rd world and less well off countries, childcare is done by the grandparents(mostly grandmothers), I'm always surprised why this isn't true in the west. Here we have an aging population, so grandparent/grandchild ratio should be very high.

My guess would be that in developed countries, people are having kids older and older, so the grandparents are accordingly also older and more tired. That combined with multi-generational households being all but gone so now you're picking up and leaving off and all the kind of cooking and general housekeeping is also doubled.

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#79

In a lot of 3rd world and less well off countries, childcare is done by the grandparents(mostly grandmothers), I'm always surprised why this isn't true in the west. Here we have an aging population, so grandparent/grandchild ratio should be very high.

There's a health and capacity angle. A lot of today's grandparents are still working, dealing with their own medical issues, or simply don't have the energy to provide full-time childcare

Re: San Francisco to offer free childcare to people making up to $230k

#80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's also great (by American standards) public transit into/through the city. Caltrain and BART can get you into SF quickly from quite a large area nearby.

"by American standards" is doing a lot of lifting. On a scale of 1 to 10 I'd give SF about a 4 compared to cities like Tokyo, Paris, Berlin, London, Amsterdam, Seoul, Singapore, ...

Caltrain is no slouch - punctual, clean, safe, really good wifi, electric.
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