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The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

tushardadlani.com

71–80 of 97 posts

Re: The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

#71
Agility is the one trait by which a new entrant can unseat incumbants.

Lose that, and you'll be stuck in a stagnated first past the post world.

Does that mean all new is good and old is bad? No. And 'hypernovelty' has huge problems as it leaves no time for individuals nor society to adapt. But tread carefull with what you whish for.

Re: The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

#72
post #66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’m well aware of the risks. But I think you have an unrealistically rosy picture of professionals’ diagnoses.

There's certainly no shortage of issues with the mental health professional field, that much is true. I hope you are doing well regardless. I suspect we're going to see this story play out a lot, where the limitations of AI should be a major limiting factor, but people will get results anyway. I imagine it will rely a lot on the pilot, and how well they understand those limitations. Perhaps the bigger risks are those…

If you are only capable of blind trust or distrust then there’s a huge difference between human experts and LLMs (and it’s of course wise to put your blind trust in a human, not an LLM). But if you have more of a ”trust no one” or ”trust but verify” mentality in general then it’s not so clear cut. The LLMs have their advantages. For example every chat with an LLM is an independent sample, whereas once a doctor has diagnosed you it’s very hard to get them to consider evidence contradictory to that diagnosis.

Re: The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

#73
post #19

When you read the title, "Why everything feels broken and what can we do", it is obvious op turned a me problem into an us problem. It's a common pitfall to take yourself out of the equation when you are about to make assertions without evidence to back them up. The title could have been written as: "Why do I feel everything is broken, and what can I do about it". you will end up writing a completely different post a…

No, I think the original post has the right idea. I think attempting to individualise this to your extent would dilute the original message and make the article slightly pointless

Re: The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

#74

The articles on this blog before 2025 never contained em-dashes. Not even a single one. And the articles from 2025 onward all use em-dashes. Curious, huh? > Each operates at a different mathematical order: linear, exponential, and systematic respectively. This was where I stop reading. "Systematic" mathematical order. Sure.

When I saw the classic

It's not X -- It's Y

On the end paragraph, it became very obvious that a lot of this was AI generated. Please, speak in your own voice! The message of this article is almost completely ruined by the use of ChatGPT as a writing crutch.

Re: The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

#75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The only thing worse than the author claiming that is you asking for "data". Like what data? This is qualitative. And yes, Google killed one particular flavor of startup that paid its employees with smoke

It’s always kind of funny when people respond to a subjective opinion with “where’s the data?” because unless you’re responding with data it’s pretty much just a way of saying “I don’t like this”

The blog post makes a bold claim about how the rise of tech salaries at Google killed entrepreneurship. The poster could have at least given this a sniff test: how about, for example, showing a graph of Google salaries overlaid with a graph of the number of start-ups from the crunchbase database? As he didn't even go to this minimum effort, it's valid to ask "where's the data" here.

Re: The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

#76

Or maybe it just feels that way because the world is being fixed at unprecedented rates? For example I had the misfortune to needing help from the mental health community a decade ago. I sometimes think about how much easier that part of my life would have been if TikTok and Claude had existed back then. It’s easy to forget, but many of the institutions we’ve built over centuries are deeply dysfunctional and very muc…

I hope you’re not seriously comparing TikTok/LLM-s with proper mental health institutions.

Man we are cooked.

Re: The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

#77
post #46
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The title could have been written as: "Why do I feel everything is broken, and what can I do about it". Sometimes collective action is required to fix an issue. Restricting people to individual action is depriving them of their freedom of association, a core enabler of democracy.

It’s an old strategy that tries to take agency from people by splitting them up. If you convince many powerless people to work alone, they aren’t gonna be a threat.

Both of your comments have a grain of truth, just doesn't apply to this scenario.

what halayli wrote is spot on in this context. If you're writing a blog post and call it a day, then you're not trying to change the status quo. If he's giving talks, seeking out interviews etc to address this issue, you'd have a basis to argue your points...

But like this? No, it doesn't hold up.

It's super normalized however, and not specific to this blog. Most blogs seem to call on the reader to do things. And even if every reader did, you still wouldn't have changed the status quo, because that needs a way bigger investment.

Re: The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

#78
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s always kind of funny when people respond to a subjective opinion with “where’s the data?” because unless you’re responding with data it’s pretty much just a way of saying “I don’t like this”

The blog post makes a bold claim about how the rise of tech salaries at Google killed entrepreneurship. The poster could have at least given this a sniff test: how about, for example, showing a graph of Google salaries overlaid with a graph of the number of start-ups from the crunchbase database? As he didn't even go to this minimum effort, it's valid to ask "where's the data" here.

[deleted]

Re: The leverage arbitrage: Why everything feels broken

#79
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It has all the classics

I know I shouldn't care at all. However I can't help but feel a little bit sad knowing that a (I suppose) once genuine blogger simply gave up and decided to delegate his thinking process to a token machine.

I hate AI writing, but I get it on pointless B2B marketing & awful linkedin posts, they're worth nothing, and it's a great way to block and ignore an account.

But the fact that blog trying to communicate an interesting idea is using a predictive machine to word things is just so depressing. Is it your blog, or is it chatgpts? Did you come up with the term leverage arbitrage, or did a predictive model?

Did OP just provide an outline and let the predictive model write the entire thing? It just feels sad.

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