I don't know other, But there are more and more extreme weather situation in my city recent years.
Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
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Re: Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
#72We are in the multilayered race between - The risk of the rise of AGI - The risk and madness of Nuclear conflict - The risk of runaway Climate change My money is on Mother Gaia. She will brutally and swiftly discipline her puppies.
1. AGI doesn't even exist and Sam Altman and I agree on one thing, GPTs will not get us there. Saying AGI is a risk is like saying the sun exploding is a risk. 2. Nuclear conflict is real, it's astounding Pakistan or Russia hasnt used the bomb yet but they will when the US backs them into a corner. 3. Climate change? At this point, who cares? We know it's happening and happening VERY slowly so we have PLENTY of time…
Fear of AGI is not based on Altman’s latest brews. Look at the progress curve of AI in general is one way to get a feeling for it. The other one, which I prefer, is looking at existing AIs for which we thought human ingenuity was top notch and how they are beating us left and right. Strategy, creativity, cunning, all human notions that are being slaughtered. Slowly, but surely.
It is “just” a matter of combining. I think it’s an “engineering problem” by now. Which is not to say that it will happen soon, just that if we set our minds to it it won’t be that big of a deal.
Re: Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
#73Climate change is unavoidable. People should start moving to highland now.
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Re: Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
#74> “We think they are caused by a dramatic collapse of the North American ice sheet. This sets into motion a chain reaction that involves changes to the tropical monsoons, the Southern hemisphere westerly winds and these large burps of CO2 coming out of the oceans.”
Right. CO2 lags temperature increase, it does not drive temperature increase. Unless 'ice sheet collapse' is driven by something other than an increase in temperature (which would be nonsensical to suggest).
Re: Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
#75Earlier quoted context omitted.
#1 is marketing hype. #2 is very real. #3 is happening and could cause #2 if wars for livable land and water resources break out.
#1 is very real #2 is warmongering #3 will be solved by human ingenuity I have a more positive outlook. :)
#1 is marketing hype
#2 is warmongering
#3 will be solved while trying to reach #1
Re: Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
#76Re: Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
#77Earlier quoted context omitted.
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That's a bad argument. If Americans would emit CO2 at the same per capita rate as china, the world would be much better off. The fact that the Chinese can emit much less per capita and at the same time have raised their standards of living significantly over the last few decades, all while producing a huge fraction of manufactured goods consumed worldwide goes to show that something is deeply wrong with the US' polic…
If Americans emitted the same per capita rate as China, they would have a lower standard of living. This shouldn't be the argument anyway. The focus should be on cleaner and more efficient technologies, which includes nuclear.
Re: Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
#78Earlier quoted context omitted.
I feel AGI and nuclear conflict have zero relevance to this article. I also personally think the risk of nuclear conflict is pretty much zero.
The risk of global thermonuclear war is low since it would require one of the major powers to go suicidally mad. The risk of local or regional nuclear conflict as part of a larger scale war is high.
We all work in complex systems and see first hand how fragile and error prone they are. Yet you think the risk of nuclear war is low even though the programs rely on similar types of systems?
Re: Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
#79> Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years Natural CO2 rise?
Yes, I'm not sure what to make of that wording either. Based on my quick read of the article, it should probably just be "rise". Presumably it is knowable from isotope analysis if carbon added to the atmosphere is recent or fossil. We certainly know that we are adding fossil carbon to the atmosphere at a prodigious rate, and if "natural" carbon content is rising as well, then that is quite bad news because it would likely mean we had crossed some tipping point or other where the Earth system itself has begun contributing to carbon emissions.
Re: Fastest rate of natural carbon dioxide rise over the last 50k years
#80We are in the multilayered race between - The risk of the rise of AGI - The risk and madness of Nuclear conflict - The risk of runaway Climate change My money is on Mother Gaia. She will brutally and swiftly discipline her puppies.
If you stop looking at the internet it immediately becomes clear nothing is happening.
Apocalyptic thinking is not the mark of a healthy mind.