This is fascinating, obviously it makes a tonne of sense for uber as a platform to offer waymo's autonomous vehicles. The first question I had though was "who extracts value here". Does Waymo get to demand human-driver level prices and therefore capture loads of value or does Uber actually capture the value because they're where the customers are. But then I realised... it doesn't matter. Waymo is part of Alphabet, a…
To me, the HTR (hard to replicate) tech is FSD. Google could bang out a ride booking app in a weekend.
Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
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Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
#72This is fascinating, obviously it makes a tonne of sense for uber as a platform to offer waymo's autonomous vehicles. The first question I had though was "who extracts value here". Does Waymo get to demand human-driver level prices and therefore capture loads of value or does Uber actually capture the value because they're where the customers are. But then I realised... it doesn't matter. Waymo is part of Alphabet, a…
I am pretty confident google could spin up an org to replicate the uber app in a few months/maybe a year. However, Uber obviously cannot spin up an org to replicate self driving vehicles in a few months. By that logic I would say Waymo has all of the power since they could develop their own app and undercut uber on pricing. The customers would instantly leave as it is a race to the bottom with ride share.
Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
#73Google owns a bit over 5% of Uber at 70B and a very high percentage of waymo at 30B evaluation. (last measured) so incentive is for Waymo to succeed / grow. It seems counter intuitive to me that they do a strategic partnership with Uber given low switching cost of using another app if it had meaningful cost benefits to the consumer. Additional Google owns the Android platform so could leverage that to it's advantages…
Yeah, Google could build a Taxicab button into Google Maps and completely destroy Uber. But I guess they don't want to wake up the regulatory watchdogs.
Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
#74Google owns a bit over 5% of Uber at 70B and a very high percentage of waymo at 30B evaluation. (last measured) so incentive is for Waymo to succeed / grow. It seems counter intuitive to me that they do a strategic partnership with Uber given low switching cost of using another app if it had meaningful cost benefits to the consumer. Additional Google owns the Android platform so could leverage that to it's advantages…
Google has a distribution channel via Android, but I don't think it's strong enough (otherwise Stadia would still be around). They'd still have to build a destination for consumers to remember, in addition to the interface, matchmaking, billing, etc.
I guess in any deal like this, there's the potential for advantage and disadvantage from both angles. As Clay said, a good compromise is one where both parties are dissatisfied.
Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
#75This seems to leave Lyft in a bad spot?
This won't be in widespread use for quite a while. Places with weather still aren't great candidates for Waymo.
The vast majority of rides in the US - and even in a place like Florida that's a swamp where it rains literally every day - happen under just fine conditions for Waymo.
This is fine for a taxi service.
If you make 10x as much profit in the vast majority of cases - you'll let someone else pick up the scraps in the edge cases.
It's almost as if Waymo & Uber considered weather...
Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
#76Earlier quoted context omitted.
To me, the HTR (hard to replicate) tech is FSD. Google could bang out a ride booking app in a weekend.
They couldn't bang out a social network over the last decade(s), I hardly believe they could bang out anything than keep extracting more money from the dying ad industry
Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
#77Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
#78Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
#79Google owns a bit over 5% of Uber at 70B and a very high percentage of waymo at 30B evaluation. (last measured) so incentive is for Waymo to succeed / grow. It seems counter intuitive to me that they do a strategic partnership with Uber given low switching cost of using another app if it had meaningful cost benefits to the consumer. Additional Google owns the Android platform so could leverage that to it's advantages…
Yeah, Google could build a Taxicab button into Google Maps and completely destroy Uber. But I guess they don't want to wake up the regulatory watchdogs.
In the mobile app it used to be a tab at the top ("rideshare services") but now it's at the bottom of the public transit tab ("also consider").
It used to be a deep integration where you could handle your whole ride without leaving Google Maps, but I think they removed that a few years ago?
Re: Waymo and Uber partner to bring autonomous driving technology to Uber
#80After Uber hired and stole technology from Waymo, which they got caught and the engineer prison time I believe (?), looks like now they are going to go the route they should have always gone since they didn't have the technical capability to pull it off.. partnership.
>In 2019, Levandowski was indicted on 33 federal charges of alleged theft of self-driving car trade secrets. In August 2020, Levandowski pled guilty to one of the 33 charges, and was sentenced to 18 months in prison.
>He was pardoned less than six months later on January 20, 2021, the last day of Donald Trump's presidency.