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Euro falls below parity with the dollar

reuters.com

71–80 of 286 posts

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#71

EU is lucky they invested in rail lines and trains. The average person can at least attempt to stop using gas guzzlers and keep living their life. If the USD falls and oil prices rise, we in America are screwed. We almost had it handed to us this summer.

If USD falls against what? Exchange is only meaningful with a counterparty.

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#72

EU is lucky they invested in rail lines and trains. The average person can at least attempt to stop using gas guzzlers and keep living their life. If the USD falls and oil prices rise, we in America are screwed. We almost had it handed to us this summer.

The problem they're having is with natural gas, which they need for winter heating

I gladly don't need natural gas for winter heating.

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#73
post #31

I assume this should be good for EU economy on the long run? Like exports from EU to US are now more profitable. Or am I missing something? Can someone with more understanding/background explain how this might effect production and exports?

This is good for the European countries that export things, and bad for those who don't.

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#74
post #31

I assume this should be good for EU economy on the long run? Like exports from EU to US are now more profitable. Or am I missing something? Can someone with more understanding/background explain how this might effect production and exports?

This is a symptom of a much broader story of europe becoming weaker and the euro becoming less valuable. This particular thing affects export prices positively, but its on the backdrop of a bad trend.

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#75
post #59

The headline is "Gas crisis sends euro back below parity against dollar." Yet the article does not explain how a "gas crisis" leads to a weaker currency. What does lead to a weaker currency? On the EU side, central bank accommodation in the face of inflation ripping higher. Germany recently logged a 37% YoY annual increase in producer prices: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/german-economic-outlook... And the ECB…

If the ECB raises interest rates most European nations wouldn't be able to pay their debts. It's an untenable situation, something will have to give.

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#76
post #6
post #2

The title of this makes me annoyed. What parity? They're both abstract made up units that happened to be even on a random scale for a while. This is financial numerology :-( (yes, I know there's more content and "this week's currency summary" sounds less fun and I should chill out)

It's just a psychological threshold, but because I don't follow currency markets that closely, it makes it very evident to me that the euro has fallen below a threshold, against the dollar, that it never had gone down to.

Never, except when it had.

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#77

EU is lucky they invested in rail lines and trains. The average person can at least attempt to stop using gas guzzlers and keep living their life. If the USD falls and oil prices rise, we in America are screwed. We almost had it handed to us this summer.

Would it really be that bad? Now I work very close to home, but when I didn't, I'd meet people commuting the other way. If it was no longer profitable to commute, we could either move to be closer to our job or switch jobs to be closer to home.

> Would it really be that bad?

Are you asking about America? This summer, my wife's friend ($70k/yr) was considering a tradeoff between eating healthy vs supporting her mom's rent.

Going closer to work is not a choice for many as rents closer to work are prohibitively high. Further, a lot of driving is errands and healthcare. I can't even get something to eat without driving 5 mins.

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#78

Last time a major war was in Europe, currencies tanked much more. I'm glad the EUR is as stable as it is while Europe is bombed by Russia.

While it has the potential to become one, this is not a major war by any means, it's contained in south-eastern Ukraine.

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#79
post #59

The headline is "Gas crisis sends euro back below parity against dollar." Yet the article does not explain how a "gas crisis" leads to a weaker currency. What does lead to a weaker currency? On the EU side, central bank accommodation in the face of inflation ripping higher. Germany recently logged a 37% YoY annual increase in producer prices: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/german-economic-outlook... And the ECB…

The ECB has its hands tied behind its back, perfect storms like this highlight one of the benefits of a country having its own currency and fiscal policy - the ECB cannot move like UK/US as reconciling Greece/Italy and Germany/Northern Europe can't be done without massive pain for the south.

Re: Euro falls below parity with the dollar

#80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The rouble is strong because the Russian state is burning through its foreign reserves to backstop it.

> the Russian state is burning through its foreign reserves to backstop it Half of Russia’s reserves are sanctioned. They’re earning bumper returns on their energy exports, mainly oil, despite the ~20% discount they’re forced to offer. And they’ve been seizing exporters’ hard currency. They say they’re down 10% (20% sanctions adjusted) from February [1]. That’s a decrease, but it’s not burning. (Obvious disclaimer: t…

> They say they’re down 10% (20% sanctions adjusted) from February [1]. That’s a decrease, but it’s not burning. (Obvious disclaimer: they’re probably lying.)

That sounds like burning to me, even at the improbable 10% level.

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