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Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

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Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#71
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> since 2014, and nearly a decade later they aren't that much closer That is just an absurd statement. AlexNet came out in 2012 and ResNet in 2015 but somehow Tesla had something "close" to the current FSD in 2014? They're heavily using Transformers now which came out in 2017. They have demonstrated leaps in performance since the first version of FSD Beta two years ago.

> That is just an absurd statement. No it isn't. It is also not early days either and we have given FSD enough time to meet the claims of achieving Level 5 with those strong and 'confident' deadlines even set by Musk himself, which he knew he couldn't meet, but the gullible customers and fans rushed in and fell for it anyway. Not only they have all been missed, this year, Tesla finally admitted that it was Level 2 an…

Admitted? The difference between L2 and L5 is liability, it is not a metric of how capable the system is.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But why? Is it because the early adopters were paying for a product that would never work? Feels like a good opportunity for a class action...

Because as it gets better, it provides more value. In its completed form it basically replaces a driver. Calculate how much it would cost to have drivers capable of driving 20 hours/day (rest spent charging). If they actually make it self-driving at a human level, it's value is clearly over $100K.

If they actually do something impossible, sure, it'll be worth some money. But even then, why would individuals ever be able to participate in that market?

If it's a sure thing, companies (including Tesla) will buy many cars and run the value as low as they can.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#74
post #60

It's not going to work. I happen to be friends with a top AI researcher and he laughs it off completely. "No way." He referred me to this: https://www.chicagotribune.com/business/ct-biz-tesla-self-dr... "It's all hype," said Steven E. Shladover, a retired research engineer at the University of California, Berkeley who has been involved in efforts to create autonomous driving for 45 years. "The technology does not exi…

How can he know which tech TESLA have? I mean a lot of AI breakthroughs, like transformers or alpha fold came from the industry and not academia.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#75

It's shocking to me that anyone would pay for this. Tesla has been selling fsd since 2014, and nearly a decade later they aren't that much closer. Between the low reliability, low build quality, and scammy practices, Tesla has turned their lead into a vulnerability. Once other manufacturers catch up to the battery range, Tesla will have their lunch eaten. And I say this as someone who has owned a Tesla for over 8 yea…

> since 2014, and nearly a decade later they aren't that much closer That is just an absurd statement. AlexNet came out in 2012 and ResNet in 2015 but somehow Tesla had something "close" to the current FSD in 2014? They're heavily using Transformers now which came out in 2017. They have demonstrated leaps in performance since the first version of FSD Beta two years ago.

Yeah? It was a toy then, and it's a toy now.

Yes, it's a much better toy, but it's still a toy.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#76
post #52
post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are Teslas really end of life after 8 years? Why such a limited lifespan?

I don’t think that’s typical.

The people who buy $100k cars will usually refresh them on the regular, passing the car down to another buyer.

But also, the older Tesla's do not and cannot have the hardware for FSD so they really are EoL in that respect.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> low reliability, low build quality These are improving at an astonishing rate, like a Web app rather than a car. Yes, this means the first ones were so bad they really shouldn’t have been shipped. But the newer models (of Y especially, X hasn’t been redesigned) are really a different world.

Hot tip, ship fast and break things doesn't work when you're talking about putting out a 2 ton, gigantic battery out in the world that is expected to last for over 20 years. This is a gigantic waste. Any other company would have been crucified for putting out such a shit car, and the only reason Tesla survived it is because they had funny meme man to do damage control.

You are wrong. Clearly it worked because Tesla is now a highly valued company that produces hundreds of thousands of cars annually.

People put up with the low build quality because at the time Tesla had a unique product not because of some memes.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#78

For the price of one Tesla FSD, you could buy three Tern GSDs - an electric-powered bona fide car replacement that exists right now. https://www.ternbicycles.com/en/bikes/472/gsd

Sir, that's an electric bike.

I have a tern, it's amazing. I can bike at 30mph, most of my errands within a ten mile trip are doable on bike. I do grocery shopping, cargo delivery, a bunch of stuff. It doesn't replace a car for all trips, but you'd be surprised how many trips it replaces.

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sir, that's an electric bike.

I have a tern, it's amazing . I can bike at 30mph, most of my errands within a ten mile trip are doable on bike. I do grocery shopping, cargo delivery, a bunch of stuff. It doesn't replace a car for all trips, but you'd be surprised how many trips it replaces.

It doesn't look like it works for any kind of cargo movement. It does not look like it can handle furniture, bags of groceries, or open boxes. A car does all those things.

Unless you have a trailer, I guess?

Re: Price of FSD will rise to $15k in North America on September 5th

#80
post #71
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> That is just an absurd statement. No it isn't. It is also not early days either and we have given FSD enough time to meet the claims of achieving Level 5 with those strong and 'confident' deadlines even set by Musk himself, which he knew he couldn't meet, but the gullible customers and fans rushed in and fell for it anyway. Not only they have all been missed, this year, Tesla finally admitted that it was Level 2 an…

Admitted? The difference between L2 and L5 is liability, it is not a metric of how capable the system is.

> Admitted?

Yes. Admitted. [0]

> The difference between L2 and L5 is liability.

Everyone from the regulators to Musk himself have known that for years that it is more than just liability and none of the claims of achieving 'Level 5' FSD and the hype around the robotaxis have ever materialized with many customers falling for the scam lead by the pied piper (Musk) and once again increased prices on a broken product.

[0] https://www.news18.com/news/auto/teslas-full-self-driving-cl...

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