My biggest takeaway right now is to study the crypto firms and projects that are having trouble as a way to abstract what red flags to look for. For example, with Terra the abstraction was that pegs don't work as we've seen many a time, especially when Soros broke the BoE. I took a small bath with my Terra holding and life goes on. I can do that because I didn't use leverage, I can lose everything I put into crypto,…
I do have a great analysis framework for crypto projects: "is crypto project?" -> "stay away"
I think that the future is a probability distribution, and there is a non-zero probability that crypto doesn't die but keeps growing. Therefore, I'm not all in, but I'm not all out.