Live data from Hacker News

Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

businessdesk.co.nz

71–80 of 172 posts

Re: Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

#71
post #2

The problem with New Zealand seems to be that if you have an education, it is often no where else to use that education than Auckland or Wellington. I have never been to New Zealand, but the problem seems to be very similar to the housing problems we have in Norway. The sub arctic capital city of Oslo, has ridiculously high prices.

And even Auckland and Wellington are generally pathetic in terms of pay compared to Australia, or anywhere else in the world.

Re: Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

#72
How are the lending laws in New Zealand, if they're regulated?

Here in Norway, one can loan 5x of annual gross income (minus any debt you have), and at least a 15% down payment.

Average annual household income here is 610000 NOK (~64500 USD). Average home price here (end of April) is 4483328 NOK (~473914 USD), so the ratio here would be 7.34 - but that's assuming single income household. For double income, that ratio would obviously halved.

In any case, the average person buying an average home here would have to save up a down payment equivalent to 2.34 annual gross incomes, in order to get the maximum possible loan/mortgage (5x annual income)...and that's assuming this person is completely debt-free.

If this person managed to save up 25% of their annual income, it would still take almost 10 years to save up for that down payment - but the housing market will likely outpace the saving potential of a your average person. So now you have to save up 2-5 extra years to afford the down payment. All while you're paying rent that is much higher than the mortgage would be.

Lesson learned is that being an average single person trying to buy an average house sucks, at least over here.

(Caveat: obviously most people do not purchase "average" homes, but start on the lower end - and most will save up with partners, as well as enjoy appreciating value of their first "starter" home)

Re: Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

#73
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not many people can actually do that no

GP must think the maximum tax rate is reached at 5 million euro a year. In most Euro countries you're at 45% (combining both social security and income tax) at around 50k/year. Or actually close to 60% taxed if you count the 33% paid by the company in social security tax that is somewhat hidden to the employee.

In the well known tax haven where I live, Finland (sum of taxes and employee part of pension and other social security, 2020. YMMV due to municipalities setting different rates, deductions etc):

  30% at 50k
  40% at 100k
  49.5% at 250k
  52% at 500k
  53.5% at 1000k
I have these handy in a spreadsheet I use to calculate.. things. (Nope, not making enough yet for special arrangements to make sense. edit: aside from the commonly used tricks my current employer already provides)

Capital gains is 30%-34%.

Re: Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

#75
post #21

Compared to some other countries: The Netherlands: €31.5k average household income, average house price €387k - so 12.3x. UK: £31.4k average household income, average house price £274k - so 8.7x.

That's not correct. I suspect that the source you saw said: > As of 2017, the average annual real disposable income of Dutch households was roughly 31,500 euros. Disposable household income would be, at a minimum, after tax, and possibly after accommodation. You'd want to increase that by about 60% to account for tax/etc, which would be 50.4K. That seems more reasonable to me, and would put the multiplier at 7.7. Not…

I don't think London throws them out of whack all that much. I'm around Milton Keynes/Bedford so SE but a bit further than most folk would want to commute to London (and I'd imagine a reasonable percentage of the population live within a similar radius of London) and that average house price feels about right. You'd might manage to get a three-bed terrace or two-bed semi for that sort of amount I'd say.

Re: Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

#76

Compared to some other countries: The Netherlands: €31.5k average household income, average house price €387k - so 12.3x. UK: £31.4k average household income, average house price £274k - so 8.7x.

What is most depressing to me, where do people get the money??? It would take me 30 years of saving to get 500k, that's like 70-80% of my working life. That's assuming you don't get sick or lose your job. This metric annoy me because only a fraction of your income can go toward rent or mortgage . You would pay over 100k in interest fees alone on a long term mortgage.

Real incomes cant keep up with compounding, especially when the latter is basically tax free. It's driven by capital gains, not salaries.

What's most depressing to me is that the only time a party promised to slow down this madness they were destroyed in an election.

People voted for this. The majority voted for this.

Re: Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

#77

Compared to some other countries: The Netherlands: €31.5k average household income, average house price €387k - so 12.3x. UK: £31.4k average household income, average house price £274k - so 8.7x.

What is most depressing to me, where do people get the money??? It would take me 30 years of saving to get 500k, that's like 70-80% of my working life. That's assuming you don't get sick or lose your job. This metric annoy me because only a fraction of your income can go toward rent or mortgage . You would pay over 100k in interest fees alone on a long term mortgage.

A friend of mine is selling his 1 bed terrace (about £200K) and the prospective buyers are older than they would have been twenty years ago - in their 30s not their 20s is the impression I get. I imagine there are large mortgages too. Possibly some help from parents or inheritances as well. And couples so two salaries.

Re: Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

#78
post #59

I'm currently living in Tokyo and have family visiting from NZ. I've already had a few uncomfortable conversations about when I'll be coming back. Realistically I won't be, not only would I lose more than half my salary, but I would then have to dedicate a large portion of what's left on an overpriced hovel that's probably rotting from the inside. It's no wonder that most of the people I graduated with left the count…

> I've already had a few uncomfortable conversations about when I'll be coming back

If they truly care for you, they'd understand that where you are right now is better than back home. If a place is expensive and unaffordable, the best option for you (and anyone really) is to leave.

Re: Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

#79
post #48
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you explain what the cause of this sharp rise is? The linked article has nothing on that. It even feels a bit alarming without much depth. And is anything being done? In the Netherlands, many investors, big and small, are buying up houses to rent out. Airbnb renting was a part of this as well. Many local governments are now creating rules, like, you have to live in the house when you buy it. Also, some taxes for…

A lot of demand for housing (both to buy and rent), and in my experience (live in Wellington) a lot of the newer apartments being built seem very much architected with buy to let in mind, so I think renting is a large part of it, along with limited supply. The government did tighten the rules a bit several years ago so that effectively (there are ways around it), you needed to be a resident to buy property, but I don…

foreign buyers don't truly make up much of the market - any rules set against them is really just there to win political points imho.

Re: Average home prices in New Zealand reaches 8.8 times average household income

#80
post #63

So, if the average person can save 10% of their income, it takes 8.8 years to save a 10% down payment? Factor in tax and the time it takes to save a down payment is starting to look close to the time it took my parents’ generation to own a house free and clear.

This is assuming the priced don’t increase. In many places, the prices increase so fast your downpayment grows faster than your savings. Home value goes up 10%, from 1 million to 1.1 million, 20% downpayment goes up from $200k to $220k. If you’re saving under $1666 per mo, you’re actually further away than you were last year. In Vancouver, the average price is $1.36 million and it went up 21% in a year. For detached,…

you don't save money by merely keeping it in your savings account (at least, not for the past decade and a half).

You "save" by investing that savings in stocks (and may be some mix of bonds too if person is more fiscally conservative).

Post reply on HN