Live data from Hacker News

Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

reuters.com

71–80 of 452 posts

Re: Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

#71

90%! Did we really let ourselves become so reliant on Ukraine and Taiwan for computer chips? Taiwan being the next country most under threat. In fact, Reuters just reported that "Taiwan warns Chinese aircraft in its air defence zone" https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taiwan-reports-ni...

as a Chinese raised in China myself, this happens pretty regularly since years ago. I don’t think Winnie the Pooh has big balls to attack Taiwan in recent future. China has too much to lose right now.

Has China ever sent their army into another country post their independence ?

Re: Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

#72
post #37
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But we saved some money by shuttering all our factories and outsourcing everything, so, who's to say what the right answer was. (/s)

"We saved some money" is how economics works in price competitive markets. This is a result of many players doing what keeps each one competitive, but without collaborating on what the large scale effects are down the road.

Autonomous agents responding to their environments can create some really wondrous outcomes and also some really, really stupid ones.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ant_mill

Re: Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

#73
post #11

How is neon extracted and why does one country have a 90% monopoly (in this specific grade)? edit: Found this C&EN story from 2016 that adds context: - "Chip makers, which account for more than 90% of global neon consumption, are already experiencing high prices and some shortages stemming from the Russian conflict with Ukraine, Shon-Roy says. The war, which started in 2014, interrupted global supplies of the gas, ab…

Scale and geographic concentration tend to push prices lower, even if just fractionally, and relatively low costs of transport for basically anything in the world mean there's no penalty for buying from far away, so there aren't many factors pushing back from geographic concentration. Add to that concentration in other industries - a market with fewer larger buyers means larger average individual demand than otherwis…

> Scale and geographic concentration tend to push prices lower

Neon is extracted from the atmosphere. There is no geographic concentration to exploit (well, I guess technically Antarctica is coldest and so has a volumetric advantage). If Ukraine had the bulk of the supply it's simply because someone decided to invest in a bunch of manufacturing infrastructure there.

Re: Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

#74
post #38

90%! Did we really let ourselves become so reliant on Ukraine and Taiwan for computer chips? Taiwan being the next country most under threat. In fact, Reuters just reported that "Taiwan warns Chinese aircraft in its air defence zone" https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taiwan-reports-ni...

Are we in favor of economics/capitalism here or are we not? Because the economics literature is quite clear that international trade is beneficial to all involved. It's what we insist that developing countries focus on exports when loaning them money. For many years, Taiwan has been the poster child that we point to when trying to change the ways of Cuba or Venezuela. Are these principles so weak that we would allow…

> economics/capitalism

lmao

Re: Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

#75
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think they'll be watching what happens in Ukraine very carefully. Then they'll be calibrating their predictions about what would happen if they invaded Taiwan with Russia's experience in Ukraine.

I doubt the TSMC fabs would survive a PLA invasion of Taiwan. If nothing else, the CIA would probably blow them up during the attack.

I doubt they care about TSMC.

The CCP understands (or at least was predicting back with Jiang and Hu) that eventually China will democratize. Taiwan is a democracy right now. Democratic countries almost never re-unite into a single country. I can only name one instance of this happening in the last 70 years, and in some ways East Germany wasn't really a democracy yet.

The CCP knows that Taiwanese reunification will never really happen peacefully. Leaders will talk about it, they'll negotiate a bit, but then it won't happen because the status-quo is always more attractive. They know that their only chance at national reunification is now or in the next 10 years or so.

It's now or never. It has to happen by force or it will never happen. If China swallows Taiwan and then democratizes, that can be managed - a restive province can be placated and bought-off. But if China democratizes before reunification, then Taiwan is separate forever.

Re: Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

#76

90%! Did we really let ourselves become so reliant on Ukraine and Taiwan for computer chips? Taiwan being the next country most under threat. In fact, Reuters just reported that "Taiwan warns Chinese aircraft in its air defence zone" https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taiwan-reports-ni...

as a Chinese raised in China myself, this happens pretty regularly since years ago. I don’t think Winnie the Pooh has big balls to attack Taiwan in recent future. China has too much to lose right now.

You can't assume dictators are rational. Xi Jinping thinks he is singularly entitled to run the lives of billions of human beings.

Re: Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

#77
post #38

90%! Did we really let ourselves become so reliant on Ukraine and Taiwan for computer chips? Taiwan being the next country most under threat. In fact, Reuters just reported that "Taiwan warns Chinese aircraft in its air defence zone" https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taiwan-reports-ni...

Are we in favor of economics/capitalism here or are we not? Because the economics literature is quite clear that international trade is beneficial to all involved. It's what we insist that developing countries focus on exports when loaning them money. For many years, Taiwan has been the poster child that we point to when trying to change the ways of Cuba or Venezuela. Are these principles so weak that we would allow…

> international trade is beneficial to all involved

But what kind of trade? Not unrestricted - Taiwan itself used protectionism to grow its industries when they were not yet able to compete on the global market:

James K. Galbraith has stated that [..] " ... none of the world's most successful trading regions, including Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and now mainland China, reached their current status by adopting neoliberal trading rules." - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparative_advantage#Criticis...

Re: Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

#79
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But we saved some money by shuttering all our factories and outsourcing everything, so, who's to say what the right answer was. (/s)

And when the orange man came and said we should bring it back, I laughed at home and call him an idiot!

Trump’s claims were largely about bringing manufacturing jobs to America. Not reducing defense dependencies on vulnerable nations.

Re: Ukraine is a major producer of neon gas, critical for lasers used in chipmaking

#80
post #12
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We’re seeing this with lithium. Canada and the US have significant amounts in the ground but the mining and refining infra simply isn’t there. Neon distillation does seem much simpler and cleaner, from my layman perspective.

Mining (and refining) especially tends to come with some nasty environmental effects that we've been quite happy to outsource to other parts of the world with less empowered citizenry (and often cheaper labor). Rare-earth elements are the same way - they're relatively abundant, but China is enormously over-represented in the market because the west doesn't like mining and China doesn't care.

Not just lithium. This program aired on the Aussie ABC last night on the terrible way Cobalt mining is being done in Congo and the total dystopia that has been allowed to occur. https://youtu.be/_V3bIzNX4co
Post reply on HN