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Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

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Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#71
post #35

Okay these loans certainly sound like a bad deal, but what are people supposed to do? Say your car breaks and you can’t get to work. For all of us here billing out >$100hr or whatever your local consulting rate is, the answer is some calculus around the cost of losing your job vs the cost of fixing it. But for MOST people, the cost of fixing it is functionally infinite. They literally do not have even a few hundred d…

I don't want to tut-tut the poor, but I do want to tut-tut consumer culture in general. There are a whole lot of people who _should_ be able to afford an unexpected car repair bill, and could quite easily do so, if they weren't spending $100 a month on cable TV, $800 every other year on a high-end smartphone, $500/month on owning an SUV when a $200/mo economy car would serve just fine, etc., and put the money into a…

> $100 a month on cable TV

given that the average American spends 4 hours/day watching TV[1], that's well under $1 per hour of entertainment. There aren't a lot of hobbies or entertainment media that are cheaper.

1: https://www.statista.com/statistics/186833/average-televisio...

Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#72

What's HN's opinion on 0% balance transfers? Yes, there's usually a 3% fee but... I've been able to borrow about $5k-$12k for a one time 3% fee over 18 months multiple times in a row now. I make sure to always pay the balance back before it is due. Why don't more people who need a cash infusion do this?

Be careful with balance transfers. At 18 months, a 3% fee is like a 3.75% APR. If the balance transfer is only 12 months, it's about 5.5%. Still a lot better than a subprime installment loan, but a 3% fee is not a 3% APR.

But minimum payments are super low, so you can store the cash somewhere high interest and pay most of it back in a lump sum. If cash is 2% right now, your minimums might be $90-100ish a month, and the rest can wait till month 12. Theres little to no incentive to pay it off early except to lower your utilization.

A 10,000 3% loan over the course of one year equal payments has $147.00 interest. A 3% transfer has $300, but your balance in month 12 will be 8846, which is like $80 back in interest if you save those what would be monthly payments until the end. Under this math, a 3% balance transfer is equivalent to 4.5% APR one year loan.

Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#73
post #5
post #3

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am leery of government-backed loans. Look what FHA did to the housing market and what student loans have done to the cost of college.

I'm not entirely sure what FHA did to the housing market, but as for student loans, yes it wasn't a great outcome, but it is a substantially better outcome than everyone being in debt with high interest rates with predatory lenders.

No, it's not a better outcome than if the market was private because frankly no one would graduate with $150k in debt for a degree in basket weaving if private lenders were backing the loans. A well regulated private market would prevent the extreme situations that we are seeing today.

You can make a (somewhat legitimate) argument that we shouldn't require young kids to major in subjects that result in good paying jobs, but on the other hand you wind up with the mess that we are in if you don't.

The status quo cannot go on. I'm in favor of either fully privatizing the system again, OR fully socializing it. In either case, the government would absolutely not be backing loans anymore.

Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#74
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’m sorry but this is a ridiculous, unactionable answer that is functionally equivalent to “well we should make things better”. Yes of course we should, HOW? We need more innovative solutions to these problems. I like seeing electric bicycle shares, I like seeing community-based, high density housing with shared kitchens and bathrooms, I like predictive diagnostics and telemedicine (although the FDA is fighting it).

How about paying people more? That's pretty actionable. Jeff Bezos doesn't need 100 billion dollars. "Just get rid of unexpected expenses" is the one that sounds ridiculous to me.

How is that actionable? Are you going to show up at Jeff Bezos’s house and rob him?

Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#75
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Instead we should be looking at ways to make it so that giant unpredicted expenses don’t happen at all. Or maybe fix it from the other end: reduce inequality so fewer people are living paycheck to paycheck and can actually build savings to use for unpredicted expenses.

I’m sorry but this is a ridiculous, unactionable answer that is functionally equivalent to “well we should make things better”. Yes of course we should, HOW? We need more innovative solutions to these problems. I like seeing electric bicycle shares, I like seeing community-based, high density housing with shared kitchens and bathrooms, I like predictive diagnostics and telemedicine (although the FDA is fighting it).

There's no need to put people in dorms with shared bathrooms and kitchens. Yeesh. We have plenty enough wealth to house people better than that and not even notice the cost.

Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#76
Not an expert at all in this area, but if people are interested in statistics for people's financial habits, the Federal Reserve's most recent "Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households" [1] is useful.

It's a survey of about 10,000 people and, as far as I can tell, is the source for many claims like "40% of American adults cannot meet an unexpected $400 expense". That statistic in particular is consistent for the past few years.

There are also many other interesting statistics:

* 17% of adults are not able to pay all of their current month's bills in full

* 20% of adults had major unexpected medical bills in the last year

* Among young adults, hispanic people are twice as likely to attend for-profit colleges than white people, and black people are five times as likely

* Half of those who attended for-profit schools would change their choice if they could; a quarter of those who attend other schools would

Seems like addressing the costs of medical care and education would go a very long way.

[1] https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/2018-repor...

Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#77
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s uncharitable to have a disdain for those without empathy when a large component of success is luck? If you think success is guaranteed with grit and hard work, you are woefully misinformed. You can do everything right and still fail hard. “Personal responsibility” is a dog whistle for the willful ignorance of the necessity of government regulation and social safety nets.

Granted I only have 5 decades of perspective but I have noticed people who get lucky tend to be the ones who dont quit. The ones who quit tend to call those who dont quit lucky.

[deleted]

Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#78
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How about paying people more? That's pretty actionable. Jeff Bezos doesn't need 100 billion dollars. "Just get rid of unexpected expenses" is the one that sounds ridiculous to me.

How is that actionable? Are you going to show up at Jeff Bezos’s house and rob him?

It's actionable by passing laws that limit the upside executives can extract from capital investments and raise minimum wage on large business. There will always be unexpected expenses, so you have to pay people enough to be able to save.

Much better than making people dependent on those who control the mechanisms for allegedly limiting unexpected expenses; that's just a plan for increasing social control available to elites. High density housing with shared kitchens and bathrooms sounds like a dystopian hellhole designed to strip people of their dignity, and that's something you think is a good thing? We already saw tenement buildings in the 19th century.

Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#79
post #37
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I understand the downvoters here want someone else to take care of them. Sorry. If you want a functioning society you have to contribute. Not mooch. In the words of JFK And so, my fellow Americans: ask not what your country can do for you — ask what you can do for your country.

I think most people are downvoting you for being an asshole. There’s a way to make your point without being so incendiary and callous. “We are not enemies, but friends. We must not be enemies. Though passion may have strained, it must not break our bonds of affection. The mystic chords of memory will swell when again touched, as surely they will be, by the better angels of our nature.”

I have very few friends. I have a discriminating taste aka standards.

Something society has lost.

Re: Online installment loans have taken the subprime market by storm

#80
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Might have trouble finding an apartment. The lowered credit score will probably cause increased costs for things like car insurance. Life insurance may be a no-go. Employers in some industries do credit checks, too. It's a good option in crushing debt, but it's not without significant mid-term downsides.

If they are in the ballpark of bankruptcy, their credit score will already be destroyed. Bankruptcy will actually improve a credit score

Bankruptcy will eventually improve the score. It's not instant, and may substantially worsen it in the short term. Some organizations that do credit checks may also have a "no recent bankruptcy" policy despite accepting lower credit scores.

Not everyone's way behind at the time they declare bankruptcy, either. We did it because six figures worth of medical debt was ceasing to be juggleable, and disability approval (and back pay) looked to be years out still. Credit score was largely fine at the time we filed.

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