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Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

phys.org

71–80 of 80 posts

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#71

Rises the question which temperature is the "right" one. Assuming we can control climate change at some point in the future Like having a clima-council which votes to lower or rise the temperature. Would definetly cause conflicts between very hot and cold nations

The economic consequences would be absolutely huge. Take my native Canada for an example. There's breathtaking amounts of land that's currently of little economic value because of a shortened growing season and permafrost. A small increase in temperature would have a huge impact on the usability of that land. Conversely, other places in the world would suffer desertification and suffer greatly. As an amusing side-not…

BTW: it is CO2 not C02... (sorry)

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#72
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks for this. I’ve been interested in permaculture since coming across it at festivals but I’ve been put off how everyone seems to be selling courses. This is the first free one I’ve found. It feels a bit like minimalism where everyone tried to practice it by selling ebooks about minimalism.

I took two courses. It is electrifying, and a great new way of looking at the world. But of course, when I was done with the course, I looked at where I could make some money doing permaculture. There were, as far as I could see, two ways: * teach * do landscape design The first is much much easier to get into and isn't as hard as the latter. I think that is why you see so many courses. I have applied permaculture to…

That’s really interesting, thanks. Can you share any more about how you’ve applied permaculture to your daily life?

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#73

Anyone fascinated by this article, I highly suggest reading Sapiens by Yuval Noah Harari. I just recently picked it up after seeing it recommended on a couple of threads here and it did not disappoint. Humans have been affecting ecology for a long long time. If you are like me, you're probably wondering what you can do to mitigate some of the effects, while legislation and societal action is important. I also recomme…

Thanks for this. I’ve been interested in permaculture since coming across it at festivals but I’ve been put off how everyone seems to be selling courses. This is the first free one I’ve found. It feels a bit like minimalism where everyone tried to practice it by selling ebooks about minimalism.

Totally agree, with the minimalism analogy.

And the whole ebook thing is quite frankly off-putting. There is a ton of hive mind/group think in this field which I find very off putting as well... I was at a Native Plant nursery and asked if they had any apple trees. Now as a computer programmer, permaculture is a hobby to me, I don't have the time to study it full time. But if I'm interested in something, I do read as much as I can about the subject. I had just read "Beyond the War on Invasive Species: A Permaculture Approach to Ecosystem Restoration" [0] which explores who defines native plants (pesticide industry) and why (to sell more pesticides).

So rather than having a friendly dialog, my request was met with a snarky and dismissive "Apple trees aren't native." I replied, "Define native." knowing this is actually a quite controversial subject.

But honestly permaculture is like any other field. There are some people who identify with their tightly held beliefs and don't question them. It bugs me but it doesn't take away from some of the great things are doing in this field. I've found that the best thing to do is to focus on people not topics.

For example, if someone asks me to learn Javascript. I tell them to focus on people like Eric Elliot, Douglass Crockford, Dan Abramov, etc. You will learn more doing guided learning from what they think is important than some random blog post on arrow functions. In the permaculture world, I recommend reading as much as you can from these people:

- Bill Mollison

- Elliot Coleman

- Mark Shepard

These people are great, and reading from them will produce more of a knowledge than any course. (Still recommend doing a course to meet other people interested in this stuff)... but some of the best recommended reading to me from permies wasn't about permaculture at all:

- Thinking in Systems by Donella Meadows - It is dry but well worth it. Permaculture in a way is systems thinking applied to environment. Understanding the underlying science is the difference between knowing Javascript programming and just knowing one Javascript Framework.

- Hard Rain by Tim Egan - Beautiful anthropological history of the PNW.

- https://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/08/opinion/against-sustainab...

- https://grist.org/article/doe-reprint/

- https://e360.yale.edu/features/environmental_failure_a_case_...

- https://monthlyreview.org/2002/09/01/capitalism-and-ecology/

I've found that people willing to dive into the science and areas that influence permaculture is the difference between someone who actually cares and someone who is an instagram farmer. And speaking of which, beware of biodynamics, it's a total pseudoscience [2] that people are starting to conflate that with permaculture. Biodynamic farmers will often tell you stuff like "oh it's like organic farming" or "You can do both permaculture and biodynamics". Maybe. But to me, new age mysticism isn't going to fix the environmental problems we have.

At the end of the day, the best way to learn permaculture is to get your hands dirty and start caring for plants. Even if you live in a city apartment with hardly any sun, treat it as a environment and find plants like peace lily's and devil's ivy that will grow just fine.

[0] https://www.chelseagreen.com/product/beyond-the-war-on-invas...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malus

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biodynamic_agriculture#Effecti...

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#74
post #68
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There’s some evidence that the Little Ice Age was caused by a sudden decrease in farm acreage cause by sudden depopulation during the Black Death. I hesitate to call it anthropogenic because it’s the opposite of that. I suppose the delay of the cold period counts, though.

a sudden decrease in farm acreage but.. it wouldn't happen that way (like throwing a switch). Crops would rot in the field and then be replaced by native plants. Is this evidence presented in paper(s)?

Having trouble parsing your complaint.

The moment the farmer dies without an heir, his field is fallow. From that point forward, whatever germinates will grow if it can compete. So pioneer species get free reign and they can spread widely in only a few years.

The little ice age was almost 300 years. From a geologic standpoint or even a glacial one, trees sprouting up all over in a five year time frame is pretty sudden, but the sudden event I was talking about was acreage of unmanaged land.

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#75

Geeze this conclusion seems rather counter intuitive, a much smaller human population's pre-modern agriculture had enough of an impact on climate so much as to prevent an ice age?

They only argue that the impact was enough to offset a decline from 270 ppm CO2 to 250 ppm CO2 to instead wind up at 280 ppm CO2 at the preindustrial stage. Over about 8,000 years. Call it 40 ppm CO2 over 7000 years to make the number a little larger and its 0.005 ppm CO2/yr.

We're currently increasing CO2 in the atmosphere by 2 ppm CO2/yr or 350 times faster.

So he's not claiming that pre-modern agriculture had a huge impact on CO2 levels, but that those CO2 levels do have rather large climate impact over time. He does this by comparisons with prior ice age due to similarities in the precession of the Earth. The paper is about MIS19 which is 18 interglacials ago, which provides a good analog in the orbital properties, and which there is CO2 data for in ice cores.

That can then be correlated with the paleoclimate record showing glacial inception happening ~10,000 years after the maximum in MIS19. Using the actual paleoclimate data from MIS19 to control a GCM for MIS1 they run the GCM forwards from the glacial maximum and find that the mean global temperature falls by 1.2K and that the high Arctic cools by 5-6K with 3K falls in temperature over most of the Arctic and Siberia.

That paints a consistent picture where by right before the pre-industrial revolution the Earth should have been cooler and continental shield glaciers should have started forming across Northern Canada and Siberia. And this matches the paleoclimate record of MIS19.

If this seems counter intuitive at all, then your calibration of how much human impact is necessary to produce global climate changes (particularly over thousands of years) is likely off.

That also means that the argument that climate change will be beneficial is correct in a way, but pre-industrial humans already made that impact. We're well beyond the climate impact that would produce a consistent, beneficial boost to global temperature and are blasting the furnace.

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What books do you recommend do a university student without much familiarity in the subject looking for practical design advice?

Not OP, but I can recommend these two books: "Making Small Farms Work" by Richard Perkins and "Restoration Agriculture: Real World Permaculture for Farmers" by Mark Shepard Then there are the books by Bill Mollison that arguably started it all: "Permaculture: A Designers' Manual", and "Introduction to Permaculture"

These are great! Thank you, for sharing.

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#77
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Instead of courses, I recommend to get a couple books on Permaculture and also look to see if any universities have extension courses for Permaculture or any topic related to it. Chances are, most of the teachers are now familiar with Permaculture and can speak to the “historical” methods and the “Permaculture” methods. Yes, a lot of people have been trying to make money of the cerificstion courses, which I think is…

hi, I am interested in permaculture, can you please recommend the books and contact info would be great!

george_kaplan provided some excellent references for books.

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#78
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Instead of courses, I recommend to get a couple books on Permaculture and also look to see if any universities have extension courses for Permaculture or any topic related to it. Chances are, most of the teachers are now familiar with Permaculture and can speak to the “historical” methods and the “Permaculture” methods. Yes, a lot of people have been trying to make money of the cerificstion courses, which I think is…

The referenced link is for a free online course

Awesome! I will add that to my list of things to check out.

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#79

Anyone fascinated by this article, I highly suggest reading Sapiens by Yuval Noah Harari. I just recently picked it up after seeing it recommended on a couple of threads here and it did not disappoint. Humans have been affecting ecology for a long long time. If you are like me, you're probably wondering what you can do to mitigate some of the effects, while legislation and societal action is important. I also recomme…

Instead of courses, I recommend to get a couple books on Permaculture and also look to see if any universities have extension courses for Permaculture or any topic related to it. Chances are, most of the teachers are now familiar with Permaculture and can speak to the “historical” methods and the “Permaculture” methods. Yes, a lot of people have been trying to make money of the cerificstion courses, which I think is…

Apologies for the grammar and spelling issues, I wrote the original comment on my mobile phone and find that experience frustrating, and I usually miss things.

Re: Ancient farmers spared us from glaciers but changed Earth's climate: study

#80
post #71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The economic consequences would be absolutely huge. Take my native Canada for an example. There's breathtaking amounts of land that's currently of little economic value because of a shortened growing season and permafrost. A small increase in temperature would have a huge impact on the usability of that land. Conversely, other places in the world would suffer desertification and suffer greatly. As an amusing side-not…

BTW: it is CO2 not C02... (sorry)

Sorry that was me being lazy. On my dovark keyboard. C,0,2 are all right next to each other on my right hand and since numbers are behind the shift key, my left hand just holds the shift down. The alternative is a bit of a finger juggle because my caps lock is remapped as well.
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