This is strictly anecdotal evidence, but I'll throw in my 2 cents here. I have a private pilot certificate and am working toward an instrument rating right now, which involves being in continuous contact with air traffic control, flying in low / zero visibility conditions, and relying on aircraft instruments to guide me on landings. On numerous(if not all), I've had my iPhone with me, switched on and even in my lap a…
Given the number of flights I have been on (not all that many) and assuming I'm not particularly more or less likely to have this happen than anybody else (I'm feeling comfortably average here), and given the number of cell phones on a flight, I rather suspect that the average commercial flight of a big plane has at least one cell phone on for the duration with probability approaching 1.
Make of that what you will. My point is mostly that the odds that this debate are entirely academic and in fact flights routinely fly with cell phones on are in fact very good.